(TGT) Target - Overview
Stock: Apparel, Beauty, Food, Electronics, Home
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.38% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 60.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.26 |
| Alpha | -26.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.980 |
| Beta Downside | 0.994 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.77% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.18 |
Description: TGT Target January 29, 2026
Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) is a U.S.-based general-merchandise retailer that sells a broad assortment of categories-including apparel, beauty, grocery, electronics, home goods, and household essentials-through a network of physical stores and its digital platform, Target.com. The company also leverages periodic designer collaborations, shop-in-shop concepts, and in-store amenities to differentiate its offering.
In its most recent fiscal year (FY 2024), Target reported net sales of **$106.5 billion**, a **5.5 % year-over-year increase in comparable sales**, and **digital sales representing roughly 20 % of total revenue**. Operating margin expanded to **6.8 %**, and free cash flow reached **$5.2 billion**, supporting a **2.5 % dividend yield** and ongoing share-repurchase activity.
Key macro drivers affecting Target’s outlook include: (1) **U.S. consumer confidence** remaining above pre-pandemic levels, which sustains discretionary spending; (2) **inflationary pressure** easing after a 2023 peak, allowing shoppers to allocate more to non-essential categories; and (3) **e-commerce penetration** in the broader consumer-staples retail sector continuing to rise at a **~4 % annual CAGR**, pressuring all brick-and-mortar players to enhance omnichannel capabilities.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Target’s valuation dynamics, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 3.76b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.51% < 20% (prev -1.15%; Δ 0.64% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 6.77b > Net Income 3.76b |
| Net Debt (16.22b) to EBITDA (8.40b): 1.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (455.7m) vs 12m ago -1.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.74% > 18% (prev 0.26%; Δ 2748 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 177.6% > 50% (prev 183.8%; Δ -6.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.13 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.40b / Interest Expense TTM 437.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.22
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 20.70b - Total Current Liabilities 21.24b) / Total Assets 59.99b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 8.78b / Total Assets 59.99b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 5.30b / Avg Total Assets 59.26b) |
| D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 8.34b / Total Liabilities 44.49b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.22 = BB |
Beneish M -2.95
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 1.54b/1.40b, Revenue 105.24b/107.57b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 27.74% / 26.07%) |
| AQI: 1.17 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.03) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 105.24b / 107.57b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 3.76b - CFO 6.77b) / TA 59.99b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of TGT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.56%, over one month by +10.79%, over three months by +31.26% and over the past year by -10.41%.
Is TGT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 25
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TGT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 100.8 | -12.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 100.8 | -12.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 126 | 9% |
TGT Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.2045
P/S = 0.4989
P/B = 3.2381
P/EG = 3.2299
Revenue TTM = 105.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 5.30b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.40b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 16.22b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 68.72b USD (52.51b + Debt 20.04b - CCE 3.82b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.13 (Ebit TTM 5.30b / Interest Expense TTM 437.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.84x (Enterprise Value 68.72b / FCF TTM 3.01b)
FCF Yield = 4.38% (FCF TTM 3.01b / Enterprise Value 68.72b)
FCF Margin = 2.86% (FCF TTM 3.01b / Revenue TTM 105.24b)
Net Margin = 3.58% (Net Income TTM 3.76b / Revenue TTM 105.24b)
Gross Margin = 27.74% ((Revenue TTM 105.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.23% (prev 28.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 68.72b / Total Assets 59.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 115.0m / Debt 20.04b)
Taxrate = 19.79% (170.0m / 859.0m)
NOPAT = 4.25b (EBIT 5.30b * (1 - 19.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 20.70b / Total Current Liabilities 21.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.29 (Debt 20.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.93 (Net Debt 16.22b / EBITDA 8.40b)
Debt / FCF = 5.39 (Net Debt 16.22b / FCF TTM 3.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.35% (Net Income 3.76b / Total Assets 59.99b)
RoE = 24.87% (Net Income TTM 3.76b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.13b)
RoCE = 17.38% (EBIT 5.30b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.13b + L.T.Debt 15.37b))
RoIC = 13.62% (NOPAT 4.25b / Invested Capital 31.23b)
WACC = 7.02% (E(52.51b)/V(72.55b) * Re(9.53%) + D(20.04b)/V(72.55b) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.71% ; FCFF base≈3.62b ; Y1≈2.76b ; Y5≈1.69b
Fair Price DCF = 49.62 (EV 38.69b - Net Debt 16.22b = Equity 22.47b / Shares 452.8m; r=7.02% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -28.33% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 13.84 | EPS CAGR: -14.41% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -27.05 | Revenue CAGR: -5.30% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.68 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+5.3% | Growth Revenue=+1.9%