(TPH) TRI Pointe Homes - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US87265H1095
Stock: Detached Homes, Attached Homes, Mortgage, Title, Insurance
Total Rating 34
Risk 86
Buy Signal -0.65
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.01 |
| Alpha | -14.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.575 |
| Beta Downside | 0.358 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.97% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.44 |
Description: TPH TRI Pointe Homes January 12, 2026
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (NYSE: TPH) designs, builds, and sells single-family attached and detached homes across the United States, operating through a Homebuilding segment and a Financial Services segment that offers mortgage, title, escrow, and property-and-casualty insurance solutions. Sales are conducted via company-owned representatives and independent brokers, and the firm retains ownership of many of its development lots.
Key recent metrics (2023) include: total revenue of roughly $2.5 billion, an average selling price (ASP) of about $500 k per home, and a net profit margin near 5 %. The company reported a backlog of approximately $2.0 billion, indicating forward-looking demand. Sector-wide, TPH’s performance is sensitive to housing-starts data, mortgage-rate movements, and labor-cost pressures in the construction market-variables that have shown heightened volatility since early 2024.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit, which aggregates recent earnings revisions and price-target trends for TPH.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 310.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 111.0% < 20% (prev 89.24%; Δ 21.80% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 300.7m > Net Income 310.1m |
| Net Debt (473.9m) to EBITDA (453.2m): 1.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 24.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (89.6m) vs 12m ago -5.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.58% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 2235 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 76.82% > 50% (prev 94.13%; Δ -17.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.84 (Total Current Assets 4.34b - Total Current Liabilities 177.6m) / Total Assets 4.99b |
| B: 0.66 (Retained Earnings 3.30b / Total Assets 4.99b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 423.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.88b) |
| D: 1.96 (Book Value of Equity 3.30b / Total Liabilities 1.69b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 10.27 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.44
| DSRI: 1.73 (Receivables 164.0m/113.7m, Revenue 3.75b/4.50b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 22.58% / 23.29%) |
| AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 3.75b / 4.50b) |
| TATA: 0.00 (NI 310.1m - CFO 300.7m) / TA 4.99b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of TPH shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 35.46 with a total of 1,061,629 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.33%, over one month by +11.90%, over three months by +12.79% and over the past year by -2.98%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.33%, over one month by +11.90%, over three months by +12.79% and over the past year by -2.98%.
Is TPH a buy, sell or hold?
TRI Pointe Homes has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy TPH.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TPH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.2 | 7.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.2 | 7.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.9 | 9.8% |
TPH Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Trailing = 9.9381
P/E Forward = 14.0647
P/S = 0.7858
P/B = 0.877
P/EG = 1.0821
Revenue TTM = 3.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 423.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 453.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 118.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 473.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.42b USD (2.95b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 792.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 423.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 12.61x (Enterprise Value 3.42b / FCF TTM 271.3m)
FCF Yield = 7.93% (FCF TTM 271.3m / Enterprise Value 3.42b)
FCF Margin = 7.23% (FCF TTM 271.3m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Net Margin = 8.27% (Net Income TTM 310.1m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Gross Margin = 22.58% ((Revenue TTM 3.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.46% (prev 21.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 3.42b / Total Assets 4.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 9.76m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 27.00% (20.8m / 76.9m)
NOPAT = 309.0m (EBIT 423.2m * (1 - 27.00%))
Current Ratio = 24.46 (Total Current Assets 4.34b / Total Current Liabilities 177.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.05 (Net Debt 473.9m / EBITDA 453.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.75 (Net Debt 473.9m / FCF TTM 271.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.35% (Net Income 310.1m / Total Assets 4.99b)
RoE = 9.36% (Net Income TTM 310.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.31b)
RoCE = 9.43% (EBIT 423.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.31b + L.T.Debt 1.18b))
RoIC = 7.09% (NOPAT 309.0m / Invested Capital 4.36b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(2.95b)/V(4.21b) * Re(8.04%) + D(1.27b)/V(4.21b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.14% ; FCFF base≈315.2m ; Y1≈281.9m ; Y5≈238.7m
Fair Price DCF = 78.50 (EV 7.22b - Net Debt 473.9m = Equity 6.75b / Shares 86.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.04% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -48.91 | EPS CAGR: -45.60% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -12.40 | Revenue CAGR: -8.85% | SUE: 3.54 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.055 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=-0.097 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-19.5% | Growth Revenue=-7.5%
P/E Forward = 14.0647
P/S = 0.7858
P/B = 0.877
P/EG = 1.0821
Revenue TTM = 3.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 423.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 453.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 118.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 473.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.42b USD (2.95b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 792.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 423.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 12.61x (Enterprise Value 3.42b / FCF TTM 271.3m)
FCF Yield = 7.93% (FCF TTM 271.3m / Enterprise Value 3.42b)
FCF Margin = 7.23% (FCF TTM 271.3m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Net Margin = 8.27% (Net Income TTM 310.1m / Revenue TTM 3.75b)
Gross Margin = 22.58% ((Revenue TTM 3.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.90b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.46% (prev 21.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 3.42b / Total Assets 4.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 9.76m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 27.00% (20.8m / 76.9m)
NOPAT = 309.0m (EBIT 423.2m * (1 - 27.00%))
Current Ratio = 24.46 (Total Current Assets 4.34b / Total Current Liabilities 177.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.05 (Net Debt 473.9m / EBITDA 453.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.75 (Net Debt 473.9m / FCF TTM 271.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.35% (Net Income 310.1m / Total Assets 4.99b)
RoE = 9.36% (Net Income TTM 310.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.31b)
RoCE = 9.43% (EBIT 423.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.31b + L.T.Debt 1.18b))
RoIC = 7.09% (NOPAT 309.0m / Invested Capital 4.36b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(2.95b)/V(4.21b) * Re(8.04%) + D(1.27b)/V(4.21b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.14% ; FCFF base≈315.2m ; Y1≈281.9m ; Y5≈238.7m
Fair Price DCF = 78.50 (EV 7.22b - Net Debt 473.9m = Equity 6.75b / Shares 86.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.04% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -48.91 | EPS CAGR: -45.60% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -12.40 | Revenue CAGR: -8.85% | SUE: 3.54 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.21 | Chg30d=-0.055 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.28 | Chg30d=-0.097 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-19.5% | Growth Revenue=-7.5%