(TRN) Trinity Industries - Overview
Stock: Railcars, Leasing, Components, Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.50% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 140.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.47 |
| Alpha | -30.64 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.949 |
| Beta Downside | 0.923 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.58% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
Description: TRN Trinity Industries January 14, 2026
Trinity Industries Inc. (NYSE: TRN) operates under the TrinityRail brand, offering railcar products and services in North America through two distinct segments: the Railcar Leasing and Services Group and the Rail Products Group.
The Railcar Leasing and Services Group owns and leases a fleet of 109,635 freight and tank railcars (as of 12/31/2023), originates leases for third-party investors, and provides maintenance, modification, and logistics services to industrial shippers and railroads across agriculture, construction, metals, consumer products, energy, and refined chemicals markets.
The Rail Products Group designs and manufactures new freight and tank railcars, as well as related parts and components, selling or leasing them to railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers in the same commodity sectors.
According to Trinity’s 2023 Form 10-K, the company generated roughly $1.2 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12 %, and its railcar utilization rate hovered around 95 %-both metrics that are highly sensitive to U.S. freight rail volume trends and macro-level interest-rate environments that affect leasing demand.
For a deeper quantitative view of Trinity’s valuation drivers, you may find it worthwhile to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 95.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.63% < 20% (prev 21.69%; Δ 6.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 383.9m > Net Income 95.4m |
| Net Debt (5.71b) to EBITDA (651.6m): 8.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.22 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (81.9m) vs 12m ago -2.62% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.30% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2609 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 24.47% > 50% (prev 36.73%; Δ -12.25% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.58 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 651.6m / Interest Expense TTM 270.5m) |
Altman Z'' 1.29
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 1.13b - Total Current Liabilities 511.5m) / Total Assets 8.93b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 1.02b / Total Assets 8.93b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 428.6m / Avg Total Assets 8.89b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 1.02b / Total Liabilities 7.68b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.29 = BB |
Beneish M -3.22
| DSRI: 1.22 (Receivables 341.0m/418.8m, Revenue 2.18b/3.25b) |
| GMI: 0.78 (GM 26.30% / 20.61%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.67 (Revenue 2.18b / 3.25b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 95.4m - CFO 383.9m) / TA 8.93b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.22 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TRN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.74%, over one month by +5.32%, over three months by +18.66% and over the past year by -15.73%.
Is TRN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TRN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.5 | -6.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.5 | -6.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 32.6 | 7.3% |
TRN Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.0803
P/S = 1.0681
P/B = 2.2989
P/EG = 2.78
Revenue TTM = 2.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 428.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 651.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.94b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 840.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 5.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.20b USD (2.32b + Debt 5.94b - CCE 66.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.58 (Ebit TTM 428.6m / Interest Expense TTM 270.5m)
EV/FCF = -20.69x (Enterprise Value 8.20b / FCF TTM -396.4m)
FCF Yield = -4.83% (FCF TTM -396.4m / Enterprise Value 8.20b)
FCF Margin = -18.22% (FCF TTM -396.4m / Revenue TTM 2.18b)
Net Margin = 4.39% (Net Income TTM 95.4m / Revenue TTM 2.18b)
Gross Margin = 26.30% ((Revenue TTM 2.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.14% (prev 26.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 8.20b / Total Assets 8.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 69.8m / Debt 5.94b)
Taxrate = 23.03% (11.1m / 48.2m)
NOPAT = 329.9m (EBIT 428.6m * (1 - 23.03%))
Current Ratio = 2.22 (Total Current Assets 1.13b / Total Current Liabilities 511.5m)
Debt / Equity = 5.94 (Debt 5.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.76 (Net Debt 5.71b / EBITDA 651.6m)
Debt / FCF = -14.39 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.71b / FCF TTM -396.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.07% (Net Income 95.4m / Total Assets 8.93b)
RoE = 9.26% (Net Income TTM 95.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = 6.15% (EBIT 428.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 5.94b))
RoIC = 4.85% (NOPAT 329.9m / Invested Capital 6.81b)
WACC = 3.29% (E(2.32b)/V(8.27b) * Re(9.41%) + D(5.94b)/V(8.27b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.96%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -396.4m)
EPS Correlation: 11.27 | EPS CAGR: -16.51% | SUE: -3.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 42.77 | Revenue CAGR: 18.25% | SUE: -1.16 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.31 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-47.2% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%