(TWLO) Twilio - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US90138F1021

Messaging, Voice, Email, Flex, Segment

Internet Services & Infrastructure
Market Cap in USD: 20,160m

IPO / Inception: 2016-06-23
12m vs SPY: 1.08%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 9.34%
EPS Trend: 65.8%

Last SUE: 0.86
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 12.26%
Rev. Trend: 96.6%

Last SUE: 3.11
Qual. Beats: 3

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	48.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	72.5%
Relative Tail Risk	-8.60%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.56
Alpha	-7.95
CAGR/Max DD	0.75

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.422
Beta	1.493
Beta Downside	1.737

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	45.17%
Mean DD	18.10%
Median DD	19.67%

Description: TWLO Twilio January 02, 2026

Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) operates a cloud-based customer-engagement platform that enables businesses to embed voice, messaging, email, video and authentication capabilities directly into their applications via APIs. The firm is organized into two primary segments: Twilio Communications, which powers real-time interaction channels, and Twilio Segment, a data-infrastructure suite that consolidates customer data to deliver personalized experiences.

Key recent metrics show the company generated roughly $3.8 billion in revenue for FY 2023, representing a 20 % year-over-year increase driven largely by strong growth in its Messaging and Segment businesses. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) now exceeds $2.5 billion, and the gross margin has stabilized around 70 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of its software-as-a-service model.

Twilio’s performance is closely tied to broader macro trends such as the ongoing digital-transformation wave and the expanding “API economy,” which are prompting enterprises to outsource communications infrastructure rather than build it in-house. Competitive pressure from players like Amazon Connect, Microsoft Azure Communication Services, and traditional telecoms remains a material risk, especially as cloud-communication spend becomes a larger share of enterprise IT budgets.

For a deeper dive into Twilio’s valuation metrics, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (67.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 293.8m TTM)

FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 55.86% (prev 65.63%; Δ -9.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 867.0m > Net Income 67.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (360.0m) to EBITDA (295.6m) ratio: 1.22 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 4.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (159.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 48.88% (prev 49.66%; Δ -0.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 49.58% (prev 43.23%; Δ 6.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.34 (EBITDA TTM 295.6m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -5.47

(A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 3.48b - Total Current Liabilities 742.3m) / Total Assets 9.71b

(B) -0.83 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -8.10b / Total Assets 9.71b

(D) -4.44 = Book Value of Equity -8.08b / Total Liabilities 1.82b

Total Rating: -5.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.13

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 4.51%

3. FCF Margin 17.31%

4. Debt/Equity 0.14

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.22

6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.00)%

7. RoE 0.84%

8. Rev. Trend 96.63%

9. EPS Trend 65.79%

What is the price of TWLO shares?

As of January 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 132.01 with a total of 1,863,875 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.10%, over one month by -0.68%, over three months by +19.43% and over the past year by +22.28%.

Is TWLO a buy, sell or hold?

Twilio has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.94. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TWLO.

Strong Buy: 11
Buy: 9
Hold: 9
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TWLO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	145.4	10.1%
Analysts Target Price	145.4	10.1%
ValueRay Target Price	131.6	-0.3%

TWLO Fundamental Data Overview January 13, 2026

P/E Trailing = 320.4634
P/E Forward = 24.0385
P/S = 4.1175
P/B = 2.5231
P/EG = 44.9559
Beta = 1.306
Revenue TTM = 4.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 295.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 991.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 360.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.80b USD (20.16b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 103.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m)
EV/FCF = 22.17x (Enterprise Value 18.80b / FCF TTM 847.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.51% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Enterprise Value 18.80b)
FCF Margin = 17.31% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Net Margin = 1.37% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 4.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.61% (prev 48.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.94 (Enterprise Value 18.80b / Total Assets 9.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.09% (Interest Expense 88.5m / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = -13.96% (negative due to tax credits) (-4.56m / 32.7m)
NOPAT = 117.4m (EBIT 103.0m * (1 - -13.96%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.68 (Total Current Assets 3.48b / Total Current Liabilities 742.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 360.0m / EBITDA 295.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.42 (Net Debt 360.0m / FCF TTM 847.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 67.2m / Total Assets 9.71b)
RoE = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.97b)
RoCE = 1.15% (EBIT 103.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.97b + L.T.Debt 991.9m))
RoIC = 1.31% (NOPAT 117.4m / Invested Capital 8.97b)
WACC = 11.31% (E(20.16b)/V(21.25b) * Re(11.42%) + D(1.09b)/V(21.25b) * Rd(8.09%) * (1-Tc(-0.14)))
Discount Rate = 11.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.42% ; FCFF base≈818.5m ; Y1≈837.7m ; Y5≈929.0m
Fair Price DCF = 62.74 (EV 9.87b - Net Debt 360.0m = Equity 9.51b / Shares 151.6m; r=11.31% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.23% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 65.79 | EPS CAGR: 9.34% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.63 | Revenue CAGR: 12.26% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=24
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.46 | Chg30d=+0.027 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+13.9% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%

Additional Sources for TWLO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle