(TWLO) Twilio - Overview
Stock: Messaging, Voice, Email, Flex, Segment
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 63.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -45.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.563 |
| Beta Downside | 1.510 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TWLO Twilio January 02, 2026
Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) operates a cloud-based customer-engagement platform that enables businesses to embed voice, messaging, email, video and authentication capabilities directly into their applications via APIs. The firm is organized into two primary segments: Twilio Communications, which powers real-time interaction channels, and Twilio Segment, a data-infrastructure suite that consolidates customer data to deliver personalized experiences.
Key recent metrics show the company generated roughly $3.8 billion in revenue for FY 2023, representing a 20 % year-over-year increase driven largely by strong growth in its Messaging and Segment businesses. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) now exceeds $2.5 billion, and the gross margin has stabilized around 70 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of its software-as-a-service model.
Twilio’s performance is closely tied to broader macro trends such as the ongoing digital-transformation wave and the expanding “API economy,” which are prompting enterprises to outsource communications infrastructure rather than build it in-house. Competitive pressure from players like Amazon Connect, Microsoft Azure Communication Services, and traditional telecoms remains a material risk, especially as cloud-communication spend becomes a larger share of enterprise IT budgets.
For a deeper dive into Twilio’s valuation metrics, you might find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 67.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.01 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 55.86% < 20% (prev 65.63%; Δ -9.76% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 867.0m > Net Income 67.2m |
| Net Debt (360.0m) to EBITDA (295.6m): 1.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (159.2m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.88% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 4838 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 49.58% > 50% (prev 43.23%; Δ 6.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.34 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 295.6m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m) |
Altman Z'' -5.47
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 3.48b - Total Current Liabilities 742.3m) / Total Assets 9.71b |
| B: -0.83 (Retained Earnings -8.10b / Total Assets 9.71b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 103.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.87b) |
| D: -4.44 (Book Value of Equity -8.08b / Total Liabilities 1.82b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.47 = D |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 613.1m/550.9m, Revenue 4.90b/4.34b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 48.88% / 49.66%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 4.90b / 4.34b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 67.2m - CFO 867.0m) / TA 9.71b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of TWLO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.26%, over one month by -16.34%, over three months by -15.46% and over the past year by -22.90%.
Is TWLO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TWLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 145 | 31.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 145 | 31.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 102.8 | -6.9% |
TWLO Fundamental Data Overview February 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.5339
P/S = 3.4174
P/B = 2.1479
P/EG = 44.9559
Revenue TTM = 4.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 295.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 991.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 360.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.37b USD (16.73b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 103.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m)
EV/FCF = 18.13x (Enterprise Value 15.37b / FCF TTM 847.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.52% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Enterprise Value 15.37b)
FCF Margin = 17.31% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Net Margin = 1.37% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 4.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.61% (prev 48.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.58 (Enterprise Value 15.37b / Total Assets 9.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.09% (Interest Expense 88.5m / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 81.4m (EBIT 103.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 4.68 (Total Current Assets 3.48b / Total Current Liabilities 742.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 360.0m / EBITDA 295.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.42 (Net Debt 360.0m / FCF TTM 847.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.68% (Net Income 67.2m / Total Assets 9.71b)
RoE = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.97b)
RoCE = 1.15% (EBIT 103.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.97b + L.T.Debt 991.9m))
RoIC = 0.91% (NOPAT 81.4m / Invested Capital 8.97b)
WACC = 11.35% (E(16.73b)/V(17.83b) * Re(11.67%) + D(1.09b)/V(17.83b) * Rd(8.09%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.30% ; FCFF base≈818.5m ; Y1≈837.7m ; Y5≈929.0m
Fair Price DCF = 62.44 (EV 9.83b - Net Debt 360.0m = Equity 9.47b / Shares 151.6m; r=11.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.23% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 77.36 | EPS CAGR: 9.24% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 96.63 | Revenue CAGR: 12.26% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.45 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.7% | Growth Revenue=+8.7%