(TWLO) Twilio - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Infrastructure | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 18.926m USD | Total Return: 36.1% in 12m
Industry Rotation: -25.8
Avg Turnover: 196M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 65.8
EPS Trend: 68.5%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: 96.7%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
P/E ratio 594.4
Altman Z'' -5.43 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Twilio Inc. provides customer engagement platform solutions globally, operating through two segments: Twilio Communications and Twilio Segment.
The company offers Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) and software for customer-end user communication, encompassing messaging, voice, email, and user authentication. This business model is common among Communication Platform as a Service (CPaaS) providers.
Additionally, Twilio provides software products like Segment, a platform that unifies real-time contextual data to enable personalized customer relationships, including AI capabilities. This positions Twilio within the broader Customer Data Platform (CDP) market.
For more in-depth analysis, explore ValueRays comprehensive reports.
- Customer engagement platform demand drives revenue growth
- Messaging and voice API usage impacts top-line performance
- Segment acquisition expands customer data platform market share
- Cloud communication infrastructure costs influence profitability
- Regulatory changes in data privacy could affect operations
| Net Income: 33.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.08% < 20% (prev 58.93%; Δ -5.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.04b > Net Income 33.8m |
| Net Debt (-1.33b) to EBITDA (269.0m): -4.96 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (152.3m) vs 12m ago -8.19% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.00% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 4.85k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 51.61% > 50% (prev 45.19%; Δ 6.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.28 (Total Current Assets 3.58b - Total Current Liabilities 887.0m) / Total Assets 9.77b |
| B: -0.85 (Retained Earnings -8.34b / Total Assets 9.77b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 51.6m / Avg Total Assets 9.82b) |
| D: -4.27 (Book Value of Equity -8.33b / Total Liabilities 1.95b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -5.43 = D |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 636.7m/588.5m, Revenue 5.07b/4.46b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 49.00% / 50.00%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.61 / AQ_t-1 0.63) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 5.07b / 4.46b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 33.8m - CFO 1.04b) / TA 9.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.55%, over one month by -6.26%, over three months by -10.88% and over the past year by +36.14%.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 144.6 | 22.9% |
P/E Forward = 24.2718
P/S = 3.735
P/B = 2.5367
P/EG = 0.263
Revenue TTM = 5.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 51.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 269.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 992.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.33b USD (recalculated: Debt 1.14b - CCE 2.47b)
Enterprise Value = 17.59b USD (18.93b + Debt 1.14b - CCE 2.47b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 51.6m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 17.03x (Enterprise Value 17.59b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
FCF Yield = 5.87% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Enterprise Value 17.59b)
FCF Margin = 20.39% (FCF TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Net Margin = 0.67% (Net Income TTM 33.8m / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Gross Margin = 49.00% ((Revenue TTM 5.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.64% (prev 48.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.80 (Enterprise Value 17.59b / Total Assets 9.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 1.14b)
Taxrate = 38.59% (21.3m / 55.1m)
NOPAT = 31.7m (EBIT 51.6m * (1 - 38.59%))
Current Ratio = 4.03 (Total Current Assets 3.58b / Total Current Liabilities 887.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 1.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.82b)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.96 (Net Debt -1.33b / EBITDA 269.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.29 (Net Debt -1.33b / FCF TTM 1.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.34% (Net Income 33.8m / Total Assets 9.77b)
RoE = 0.43% (Net Income TTM 33.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.94b)
RoCE = 0.58% (EBIT 51.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.94b + L.T.Debt 992.3m))
RoIC = 0.35% (NOPAT 31.7m / Invested Capital 8.93b)
WACC = 8.76% (E(18.93b)/V(20.06b) * Re(9.29%) + D(1.14b)/V(20.06b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 9.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -8.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.88% ; FCFF base≈882.8m ; Y1≈892.7m ; Y5≈968.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 107.7 (EV 14.99b - Net Debt -1.33b = Equity 16.32b / Shares 151.5m; r=8.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.76% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 68.47 | EPS CAGR: 163.9% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 96.67 | Revenue CAGR: 12.60% | SUE: 3.08 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg7d=-0.000 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=25
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.42 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+10.8% | Growth Revenue=+12.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.39 | Chg7d=-0.001 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+17.9% | Growth Revenue=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.18 (9 Up / 13 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.1% (Discount Rate 9.3% - Earnings Yield 0.2%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +3.9% (Analyst 13.0% - Implied 9.1%)