(TWLO) Twilio - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US90138F1021
Messaging, Voice, Email, Authentication, Segment
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 68.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.52% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Alpha | -2.06 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.91 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.484 |
| Beta | 1.540 |
| Beta Downside | 1.701 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.17% |
| Mean DD | 18.01% |
| Median DD | 19.67% |
Description: TWLO Twilio October 30, 2025
Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) delivers a cloud-based customer-engagement platform through two operating segments-Twilio Communications, which powers messaging, voice, email, Flex contact-center, marketing campaigns and authentication APIs, and Twilio Segment, which aggregates real-time contextual data to enable personalized user experiences.
In FY 2024 the company reported $3.2 billion in total revenue, representing a 31% year-over-year increase, and its annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew to $4.5 billion, driven primarily by strong adoption of its Messaging and Verify APIs.
Key macro drivers include the ongoing shift toward digital-first customer service, the expansion of omnichannel communication in the enterprise software market, and accelerating integration of generative AI to automate and personalize interactions-trends that have historically supported double-digit growth for cloud communications providers.
For a deeper quantitative view, the ValueRay platform offers a granular breakdown of Twilio’s forward-looking cash-flow assumptions and scenario analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (67.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 293.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.01pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 55.86% (prev 65.63%; Δ -9.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 867.0m > Net Income 67.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (360.0m) to EBITDA (295.6m) ratio: 1.22 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (159.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.07% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.88% (prev 49.66%; Δ -0.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 49.58% (prev 43.23%; Δ 6.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.34 (EBITDA TTM 295.6m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -5.47
| (A) 0.28 = (Total Current Assets 3.48b - Total Current Liabilities 742.3m) / Total Assets 9.71b |
| (B) -0.83 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -8.10b / Total Assets 9.71b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 103.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.87b |
| (D) -4.44 = Book Value of Equity -8.08b / Total Liabilities 1.82b |
| Total Rating: -5.47 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.84
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.78% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.31% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -10.25)% |
| 7. RoE 0.84% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.63% |
| 9. EPS Trend 77.36% |
What is the price of TWLO shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 127.32 with a total of 2,672,460 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.83%, over one month by -3.11%, over three months by +17.16% and over the past year by +15.40%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.83%, over one month by -3.11%, over three months by +17.16% and over the past year by +15.40%.
Is TWLO a buy, sell or hold?
Twilio has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.94.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy TWLO.
- Strong Buy: 11
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TWLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 138 | 8.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 138 | 8.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 119.9 | -5.8% |
TWLO Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 19.09b (19.09b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 303.3903
P/E Forward = 22.779
P/S = 3.8981
P/B = 2.3887
P/EG = 44.9559
Beta = 1.321
Revenue TTM = 4.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 295.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 991.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 360.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.72b USD (19.09b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 103.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.78% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Enterprise Value 17.72b)
FCF Margin = 17.31% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Net Margin = 1.37% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 4.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.61% (prev 48.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.82 (Enterprise Value 17.72b / Total Assets 9.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.09% (Interest Expense 88.5m / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = -13.96% (negative due to tax credits) (-4.56m / 32.7m)
NOPAT = 117.4m (EBIT 103.0m * (1 - -13.96%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.68 (Total Current Assets 3.48b / Total Current Liabilities 742.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 360.0m / EBITDA 295.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.42 (Net Debt 360.0m / FCF TTM 847.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.69% (Net Income 67.2m / Total Assets 9.71b)
RoE = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.97b)
RoCE = 1.15% (EBIT 103.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.97b + L.T.Debt 991.9m))
RoIC = 1.31% (NOPAT 117.4m / Invested Capital 8.97b)
WACC = 11.56% (E(19.09b)/V(20.18b) * Re(11.69%) + D(1.09b)/V(20.18b) * Rd(8.09%) * (1-Tc(-0.14)))
Discount Rate = 11.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.58% ; FCFE base≈818.5m ; Y1≈837.8m ; Y5≈931.2m
Fair Price DCF = 62.91 (DCF Value 9.54b / Shares Outstanding 151.6m; 5y FCF grow 2.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 77.36 | EPS CAGR: 9.24% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 96.63 | Revenue CAGR: 12.26% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.044 | Revisions Net=+10 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.43 | Chg30d=+0.213 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+13.4% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%
P/E Trailing = 303.3903
P/E Forward = 22.779
P/S = 3.8981
P/B = 2.3887
P/EG = 44.9559
Beta = 1.321
Revenue TTM = 4.90b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 295.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 991.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.09b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 360.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.72b USD (19.09b + Debt 1.09b - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 103.0m / Interest Expense TTM 23.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.78% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Enterprise Value 17.72b)
FCF Margin = 17.31% (FCF TTM 847.6m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Net Margin = 1.37% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Revenue TTM 4.90b)
Gross Margin = 48.88% ((Revenue TTM 4.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.50b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.61% (prev 48.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.82 (Enterprise Value 17.72b / Total Assets 9.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.09% (Interest Expense 88.5m / Debt 1.09b)
Taxrate = -13.96% (negative due to tax credits) (-4.56m / 32.7m)
NOPAT = 117.4m (EBIT 103.0m * (1 - -13.96%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.68 (Total Current Assets 3.48b / Total Current Liabilities 742.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 1.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.22 (Net Debt 360.0m / EBITDA 295.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.42 (Net Debt 360.0m / FCF TTM 847.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.97b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.69% (Net Income 67.2m / Total Assets 9.71b)
RoE = 0.84% (Net Income TTM 67.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.97b)
RoCE = 1.15% (EBIT 103.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.97b + L.T.Debt 991.9m))
RoIC = 1.31% (NOPAT 117.4m / Invested Capital 8.97b)
WACC = 11.56% (E(19.09b)/V(20.18b) * Re(11.69%) + D(1.09b)/V(20.18b) * Rd(8.09%) * (1-Tc(-0.14)))
Discount Rate = 11.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.58% ; FCFE base≈818.5m ; Y1≈837.8m ; Y5≈931.2m
Fair Price DCF = 62.91 (DCF Value 9.54b / Shares Outstanding 151.6m; 5y FCF grow 2.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 77.36 | EPS CAGR: 9.24% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 96.63 | Revenue CAGR: 12.26% | SUE: 3.11 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.044 | Revisions Net=+10 | Analysts=23
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.43 | Chg30d=+0.213 | Revisions Net=+21 | Growth EPS=+13.4% | Growth Revenue=+8.6%
Additional Sources for TWLO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle