(TX) Ternium - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Luxembourg • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US8808901081

Stock: Steel, Slabs, Plates, Rolls, Bars, Pellets

Total Rating 55

Risk 96

Buy Signal -0.11

Steel » Steel
Age: 20y

Market Cap: 8,451m
Avg Trading Vol: 8.83M USD

ATR: 2.75%
Peers RS (IBD): 34.48

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -43.58%
EPS Trend: -64.6%

Last SUE: -0.82
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -2.39%
Rev. Trend: -6.8%

Last SUE: -0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	8.83%
Yield on Cost 5y	13.85%
Yield CAGR 5y	-1.77%
Payout Consistency	86.9%
Payout Ratio	1.9%

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	27.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-1.80%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.49
Alpha	49.18

Character TTM
Beta	0.682
Beta Downside	0.698

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	42.04%
CAGR/Max DD	0.32

Description: TX Ternium January 08, 2026

Ternium S.A. (NYSE:TX) manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of flat-rolled, long-rolled and specialty steel products across Mexico, the Southern United States, Brazil and export markets, while its Mining segment produces iron ore and pellets. The company also offers ancillary services-including scrap processing, renewable-energy projects and engineering support-and operates as a distribution hub. Ternium is a Luxembourg-registered subsidiary of Techint Holdings.

Key operational metrics (FY-2023) show steel sales of ≈ 13 Mt, a gross margin of ~ 14 % and EBITDA of $1.2 bn, reflecting a modest recovery in automotive demand and a rebound in construction activity in Brazil and Mexico. The Mining segment contributed ≈ 15 % of total revenue, with iron-ore prices averaging $115/ton, which cushions steel-margin volatility but adds exposure to commodity cycles. A primary sector driver is the global shift toward higher-strength, lightweight steel for electric-vehicle platforms, which could lift demand for Ternium’s high-grade automotive coils if capacity utilization exceeds 80 %.

For a deeper, data-driven view of TX’s valuation dynamics, explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income: 583.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.49 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 37.03% < 20% (prev 41.24%; Δ -4.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 2.26b > Net Income 583.9m
Net Debt (935.5m) to EBITDA (1.87b): 0.50 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (196.3m) vs 12m ago -0.00% < -2%
Gross Margin: 14.00% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1382 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 66.28% > 50% (prev 78.13%; Δ -11.86% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.87b / Interest Expense TTM 214.9m)

Altman Z'' 5.89

A: 0.25 (Total Current Assets 9.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.99b) / Total Assets 23.47b
B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 13.20b / Total Assets 23.47b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 23.70b)
D: 2.02 (Book Value of Equity 14.47b / Total Liabilities 7.17b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 5.89 = AAA

Beneish M -2.87

DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 2.84b/2.83b, Revenue 15.71b/18.70b)
GMI: 1.27 (GM 14.00% / 17.81%)
AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.17)
SGI: 0.84 (Revenue 15.71b / 18.70b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 583.9m - CFO 2.26b) / TA 23.47b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of TX shares?

As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.46 with a total of 209,680 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.87%, over one month by +10.14%, over three months by +25.08% and over the past year by +57.10%.

Is TX a buy, sell or hold?

Ternium has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold TX.

StrongBuy: 2
Buy: 5
Hold: 5
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TX price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	39.7	-8.7%
Analysts Target Price	39.7	-8.7%
ValueRay Target Price	52.2	20.2%

TX Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026

P/E Trailing = 14.8448
P/E Forward = 10.5042
P/S = 0.5379
P/B = 0.714
P/EG = 4.03
Revenue TTM = 15.71b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 602.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 935.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.39b USD (8.45b + Debt 2.26b - CCE 1.32b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.15 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 214.9m)
EV/FCF = -27.47x (Enterprise Value 9.39b / FCF TTM -341.7m)
FCF Yield = -3.64% (FCF TTM -341.7m / Enterprise Value 9.39b)
FCF Margin = -2.18% (FCF TTM -341.7m / Revenue TTM 15.71b)
Net Margin = 3.72% (Net Income TTM 583.9m / Revenue TTM 15.71b)
Gross Margin = 14.00% ((Revenue TTM 15.71b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.38% (prev 15.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.40 (Enterprise Value 9.39b / Total Assets 23.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.36% (Interest Expense 53.3m / Debt 2.26b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 874.3m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.46 (Total Current Assets 9.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 2.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 935.5m / EBITDA 1.87b)
Debt / FCF = -2.74 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 935.5m / FCF TTM -341.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.46% (Net Income 583.9m / Total Assets 23.47b)
RoE = 4.86% (Net Income TTM 583.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 12.01b)
RoCE = 8.19% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.01b + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 6.19% (NOPAT 874.3m / Invested Capital 14.13b)
WACC = 7.05% (E(8.45b)/V(10.71b) * Re(8.43%) + D(2.26b)/V(10.71b) * Rd(2.36%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.43% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -341.7m)
EPS Correlation: -64.57 | EPS CAGR: -43.58% | SUE: -0.82 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -6.83 | Revenue CAGR: -2.39% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.94 | Chg30d=-0.250 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.12 | Chg30d=-0.215 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+63.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.4%

Additional Sources for TX Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle