(UNFI) United Natural Foods - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9111631035
Stock: Groceries, Produce, Perishables, Snacks, Wellness
Total Rating 44
Risk 85
Buy Signal -0.33
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 15.76 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.013 |
| Beta Downside | 1.121 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 79.48% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
Description: UNFI United Natural Foods January 15, 2026
United Natural Foods, Inc. (UNFI) distributes a broad portfolio of natural, organic, specialty, and conventional grocery and non-food items across the United States and Canada. The business is organized into three segments-Natural, Wholesale, and Retail-and serves grocery chains, independent retailers, and food-service customers through brands such as Essential Everyday, Shoppers Value, Wild Harvest, and Cub Foods.
Key operational metrics that investors watch include same-store sales growth (historically 2-4% YoY in the Natural segment), gross margin expansion (average ~23% in 2023, driven by higher-margin organic products), and the share of organic/non-GMO SKUs (≈30% of total SKU count). The sector is currently influenced by three macro drivers: (1) sustained consumer demand for healthier and sustainably sourced foods, (2) inflationary pressure on fresh-produce margins, and (3) supply-chain bottlenecks that heighten the value of UNFI’s integrated logistics and shelf-management services.
For a deeper quantitative analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -101.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.05% < 20% (prev 3.88%; Δ -0.82% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 542.0m > Net Income -101.0m |
| Net Debt (3.43b) to EBITDA (320.0m): 10.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (60.7m) vs 12m ago 1.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 13.34% > 18% (prev 0.13%; Δ 1321 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 409.0% > 50% (prev 392.9%; Δ 16.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 320.0m / Interest Expense TTM 143.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.45
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 3.50b - Total Current Liabilities 2.53b) / Total Assets 7.56b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 1.02b / Total Assets 7.56b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 2.00m / Avg Total Assets 7.76b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 974.0m / Total Liabilities 6.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.45 = BB |
Beneish M -3.15
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 1.03b/1.10b, Revenue 31.75b/31.30b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 13.34% / 12.97%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.12) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 31.75b / 31.30b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -101.0m - CFO 542.0m) / TA 7.56b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of UNFI shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.69 with a total of 742,056 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.29%, over one month by +20.14%, over three months by +9.21% and over the past year by +31.85%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.29%, over one month by +20.14%, over three months by +9.21% and over the past year by +31.85%.
Is UNFI a buy, sell or hold?
United Natural Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.09.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold UNFI.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 41.1 | 1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 41.1 | 1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.3 | 3.9% |
UNFI Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.2678
P/S = 0.0736
P/B = 1.4664
P/EG = 3.74
Revenue TTM = 31.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 320.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.92b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 157.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.77b USD (2.34b + Debt 3.47b - CCE 38.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.01 (Ebit TTM 2.00m / Interest Expense TTM 143.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.76x (Enterprise Value 5.77b / FCF TTM 344.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.96% (FCF TTM 344.0m / Enterprise Value 5.77b)
FCF Margin = 1.08% (FCF TTM 344.0m / Revenue TTM 31.75b)
Net Margin = -0.32% (Net Income TTM -101.0m / Revenue TTM 31.75b)
Gross Margin = 13.34% ((Revenue TTM 31.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.41% (prev 13.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 5.77b / Total Assets 7.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.98% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 3.47b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.58m (EBIT 2.00m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 2.53b)
Debt / Equity = 2.24 (Debt 3.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.72 (Net Debt 3.43b / EBITDA 320.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.97 (Net Debt 3.43b / FCF TTM 344.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.30% (Net Income -101.0m / Total Assets 7.56b)
RoE = -6.36% (Net Income TTM -101.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
RoCE = 0.06% (EBIT 2.00m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.59b + L.T.Debt 1.92b))
RoIC = 0.04% (NOPAT 1.58m / Invested Capital 3.55b)
WACC = 4.35% (E(2.34b)/V(5.81b) * Re(9.65%) + D(3.47b)/V(5.81b) * Rd(0.98%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈237.2m ; Y1≈155.7m ; Y5≈71.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.26b - Net Debt 3.43b = -1.17b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -59.62 | EPS CAGR: -34.97% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.71 | Revenue CAGR: 1.49% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=2.18 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+207.4% | Growth Revenue=+0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+0.110 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+27.1% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%
P/S = 0.0736
P/B = 1.4664
P/EG = 3.74
Revenue TTM = 31.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.00m USD
EBITDA TTM = 320.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.92b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 157.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.77b USD (2.34b + Debt 3.47b - CCE 38.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.01 (Ebit TTM 2.00m / Interest Expense TTM 143.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.76x (Enterprise Value 5.77b / FCF TTM 344.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.96% (FCF TTM 344.0m / Enterprise Value 5.77b)
FCF Margin = 1.08% (FCF TTM 344.0m / Revenue TTM 31.75b)
Net Margin = -0.32% (Net Income TTM -101.0m / Revenue TTM 31.75b)
Gross Margin = 13.34% ((Revenue TTM 31.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.41% (prev 13.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 5.77b / Total Assets 7.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.98% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 3.47b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 1.58m (EBIT 2.00m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 3.50b / Total Current Liabilities 2.53b)
Debt / Equity = 2.24 (Debt 3.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.72 (Net Debt 3.43b / EBITDA 320.0m)
Debt / FCF = 9.97 (Net Debt 3.43b / FCF TTM 344.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.30% (Net Income -101.0m / Total Assets 7.56b)
RoE = -6.36% (Net Income TTM -101.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.59b)
RoCE = 0.06% (EBIT 2.00m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.59b + L.T.Debt 1.92b))
RoIC = 0.04% (NOPAT 1.58m / Invested Capital 3.55b)
WACC = 4.35% (E(2.34b)/V(5.81b) * Re(9.65%) + D(3.47b)/V(5.81b) * Rd(0.98%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈237.2m ; Y1≈155.7m ; Y5≈71.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.26b - Net Debt 3.43b = -1.17b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: -59.62 | EPS CAGR: -34.97% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 73.71 | Revenue CAGR: 1.49% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-07-31): EPS=2.18 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+207.4% | Growth Revenue=+0.5%
EPS next Year (2027-07-31): EPS=2.77 | Chg30d=+0.110 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+27.1% | Growth Revenue=+2.0%