(UNP) Union Pacific - NYSE
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 152.513m USD | Total Return: 17.1% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 750M
EPS Trend: 91.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 40.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) is a major U.S. freight railroad operator, running its business through subsidiary Union Pacific Railroad Company. The company transports a broad range of commodities, including grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated goods, coal and renewables, chemicals, plastics, forest products, metals and ores, petroleum and liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, sand, finished automobiles, automotive parts, and intermodal containerized merchandise. Customers include grain processors, animal feeders, ethanol and renewable biofuel producers, and manufacturers across multiple industries. Founded in 1862 and headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, Union Pacific is a publicly traded large-cap industrial stock.
As a Class I freight railroad, Union Pacific operates in a capital-intensive, network-based sector where revenue is tied to shipping volumes of bulk commodities, industrial inputs, and intermodal containers rather than passenger fares. Intermodal service, which involves moving truck freight in containers on rail cars, is a key growth segment for the industry, connecting shippers to long-haul rail economics while still enabling door-to-door delivery.
- Intermodal volume growth offsets coal and grain declines
- Operating ratio improves on PSR cost discipline
- STB regulatory actions threaten rail pricing power
| Net Income: 7.21b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.57% < 20% (prev -6.94%; Δ 5.37% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 9.52b > Net Income 7.21b |
| Net Debt (31.3b) to EBITDA (13.1b): 2.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.6m) vs 12m ago -1.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.67% > 18% (prev 45.51%; Δ 0.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.76% > 50% (prev 35.40%; Δ 0.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.09 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.6b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.21b - Total Current Liabilities 4.60b) / Total Assets 69.6b |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 70.4b / Total Assets 69.6b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.6b / Avg Total Assets 69.1b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 19.4b / Total Liabilities 50.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.69 = AA |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 1.99b/1.97b, Revenue 24.7b/24.2b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 45.51% / 45.67%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 24.7b / 24.2b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 7.21b - CFO 9.52b) / TA 69.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 258.61 with a total of 1,541,994 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.26%, over one month by -4.11%, over three months by +9.05% and over the past year by +17.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 250.20 (which is 3.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 291.7 | 12.8% |
P/E Trailing = 21.1598
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 6.1746
P/B = 7.8542
P/EG = 3.1365
Revenue TTM = 24.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.6b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.1b USD
Long Term Debt = 29.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 854.0m
Net Debt = 31.3b USD (calculated: Debt 32.4b - CCE 1.04b)
Enterprise Value = 184b USD (153b + Debt 32.4b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.09 (Ebit TTM 10.6b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 32.26x (Enterprise Value 184b / FCF TTM 5.70b)
FCF Yield = 3.10% (FCF TTM 5.70b / Enterprise Value 184b)
FCF Margin = 23.07% (FCF TTM 5.70b / Revenue TTM 24.7b)
Net Margin = 29.20% (Net Income TTM 7.21b / Revenue TTM 24.7b)
Gross Margin = 45.67% ((Revenue TTM 24.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.21% (prev 44.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.64 (Enterprise Value 184b / Total Assets 69.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.04% (Interest Expense 1.31b / Debt 32.4b)
Taxrate = 22.17% (2.06b / 9.27b)
NOPAT = 8.23b (EBIT 10.6b * (1 - 22.17%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 4.21b / Total Current Liabilities 4.60b)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 32.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.39 (Net Debt 31.3b / EBITDA 13.1b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 31.3b / FCF TTM 5.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.44% (Net Income 7.21b / Total Assets 69.6b)
RoE = 40.38% (Net Income TTM 7.21b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.9b)
RoCE = 22.20% (EBIT 10.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.9b + L.T.Debt 29.8b))
RoIC = 12.64% (NOPAT 8.23b / Invested Capital 65.1b)
WACC = 6.73% (E(153b)/V(185b) * Re(7.49%) + D(32.4b)/V(185b) * Rd(4.04%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.91 | Cagr: -1.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.03% ; FCFF base≈5.77b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.69b
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.09 (EV 89.0b - Net Debt 31.3b = Equity 57.6b / Shares 593.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -2.98% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.58 | EPS CAGR: 4.98% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 40.33 | Revenue CAGR: 0.43% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+0.27% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.31 | Chg30d=+0.19% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.59 | Chg30d=+0.14% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+8.0% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.70 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+8.9% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%