(UNP) Union Pacific - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 157.595m USD | Total Return: 23.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 712M
EPS Trend: 92.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 40.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) operates the largest freight railroad network in North America, connecting 23 states across the western two-thirds of the United States. Founded in 1862 and headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, the company functions as a critical link in the global supply chain, transporting agricultural products, energy resources, industrial chemicals, and finished automobiles.
The railroad industry operates as a capital-intensive duopoly in the western U.S., where high barriers to entry exist due to the extensive physical infrastructure required for operations. Union Pacific’s business model relies on Precision Scheduled Railroading to optimize asset utilization and reduce the operating ratio, a key efficiency metric in the transportation sector. Investors can find deeper insights into these operational metrics on ValueRay.
As a primary mover of intermodal containers and bulk commodities, the companys performance is closely tied to industrial production and international trade volumes. The rail sector typically offers higher fuel efficiency compared to long-haul trucking, providing a competitive advantage in transporting heavy freight over long distances.
- Operating ratio improvements drive margin expansion through Precision Scheduled Railroading efficiency
- Intermodal volume fluctuations reflect broader consumer spending and e-commerce demand trends
- Industrial production levels dictate bulk commodity and chemical shipment revenue growth
- Fluctuating fuel prices and labor contract negotiations impact core operating expenses
- Federal Railroad Administration safety mandates and surface transportation board pricing oversight
| Net Income: 7.21b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.39 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.57% < 20% (prev -6.94%; Δ 5.37% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 9.52b > Net Income 7.21b |
| Net Debt (31.3b) to EBITDA (13.0b): 2.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.6m) vs 12m ago -1.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.67% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 4.52k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.76% > 50% (prev 35.40%; Δ 0.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 13.0b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.21b - Total Current Liabilities 4.60b) / Total Assets 69.6b |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 70.4b / Total Assets 69.6b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.5b / Avg Total Assets 69.1b) |
| D: 1.45 (Book Value of Equity 72.6b / Total Liabilities 50.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.80 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 1.99b/1.97b, Revenue 24.7b/24.2b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 45.67% / 45.51%) |
| AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 24.7b / 24.2b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 7.21b - CFO 9.52b) / TA 69.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 271.10 with a total of 3,092,176 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.46%,
over one month by +0.81%,
over three months by +2.66% and
over the past year by +23.69%.
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 291.1 | 7.4% |
P/E Trailing = 21.8289
P/E Forward = 21.097
P/S = 6.3804
P/B = 8.1269
P/EG = 3.2454
Revenue TTM = 24.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.5b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 29.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.10b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.4b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 854.0m
Net Debt = 31.3b USD (calculated: Debt 32.4b - CCE 1.04b)
Enterprise Value = 189b USD (158b + Debt 32.4b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.01 (Ebit TTM 10.5b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 33.15x (Enterprise Value 189b / FCF TTM 5.70b)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 5.70b / Enterprise Value 189b)
FCF Margin = 23.07% (FCF TTM 5.70b / Revenue TTM 24.7b)
Net Margin = 29.20% (Net Income TTM 7.21b / Revenue TTM 24.7b)
Gross Margin = 45.67% ((Revenue TTM 24.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.21% (prev 44.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.71 (Enterprise Value 189b / Total Assets 69.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.04% (Interest Expense 1.31b / Debt 32.4b)
Taxrate = 23.69% (528.0m / 2.23b)
NOPAT = 7.99b (EBIT 10.5b * (1 - 23.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 4.21b / Total Current Liabilities 4.60b)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 32.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.41 (Net Debt 31.3b / EBITDA 13.0b)
Debt / FCF = 5.50 (Net Debt 31.3b / FCF TTM 5.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.44% (Net Income 7.21b / Total Assets 69.6b)
RoE = 40.38% (Net Income TTM 7.21b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.9b)
RoCE = 21.98% (EBIT 10.5b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.9b + L.T.Debt 29.8b))
RoIC = 12.21% (NOPAT 7.99b / Invested Capital 65.5b)
WACC = 6.88% (E(158b)/V(190b) * Re(7.66%) + D(32.4b)/V(190b) * Rd(4.04%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.91 | Cagr: -1.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.03% ; FCFF base≈5.77b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.69b
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.09 (EV 89.0b - Net Debt 31.3b = Equity 57.6b / Shares 593.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -2.98% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.63 | EPS CAGR: 5.90% | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.33 | Revenue CAGR: 0.43% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.31 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.57 | Chg30d=+0.96% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+7.8% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.69 | Chg30d=+0.80% | Revisions=+60% | GrowthEPS=+8.8% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%