Overview Dividends

(UNP) Union Pacific - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9078181081

Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Grain

Rail Transportation
Market Cap in USD: 139,161m

IPO / Inception: 1978-01-13
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -11.6%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 3.99%
EPS Trend: 41.3%

Last SUE: 0.93
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.30%
Rev. Trend: 17.9%

Last SUE: -0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.33%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.96%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.01%
Payout Consistency	94.3%
Payout Ratio	46.1%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	19.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	30.1%
Relative Tail Risk	-7.99%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.10
Alpha	-7.76
CAGR/Max DD	0.37

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.492
Beta	0.664
Beta Downside	0.720

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	17.75%
Mean DD	6.99%
Median DD	6.71%

Description: UNP Union Pacific December 02, 2025

Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest Class I railroad, moving a diversified mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, industrial chemicals, forest products, automotive goods, and intermodal containers-across a 32,000-mile network that links major U.S. production hubs to coastal ports and inland markets.

Key performance indicators show the railroad generated ≈ $24.5 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an industry-leading operating ratio of ~ 60.6% and roughly 19.5 million carloads moved, underpinning a dividend yield near 3.5%. The business is highly sensitive to macro-drivers such as agricultural export volumes, construction activity, and energy sector demand (both coal and renewable fuels), while intermodal growth and rail-capacity constraints remain pivotal sector trends.

For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation sensitivities and peer comparisons, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (7.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.47b TTM)

FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.58pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -5.36% (prev -5.01%; Δ -0.35pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.73b > Net Income 7.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (32.04b) to EBITDA (12.79b) ratio: 2.51 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (593.2m) change vs 12m ago -2.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 45.93% (prev 45.24%; Δ 0.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 36.04% (prev 35.94%; Δ 0.09pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 7.97 (EBITDA TTM 12.79b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.59

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 3.90b - Total Current Liabilities 5.22b) / Total Assets 68.65b

(B) 1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 68.50b / Total Assets 68.65b

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.00 — check mapping/units

(D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 70.61b / Total Liabilities 51.34b

Total Rating: 5.59 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.94

1. Piotroski 7.50pt

2. FCF Yield 3.51%

3. FCF Margin 24.50%

4. Debt/Equity 1.90

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.51

6. ROIC - WACC (= 9.35)%

7. RoE 42.42%

8. Rev. Trend 17.93%

9. EPS Trend 41.35%

What is the price of UNP shares?

As of December 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 233.44 with a total of 902,541 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.50%, over one month by +1.28%, over three months by -0.58% and over the past year by +4.93%.

Is UNP a buy, sell or hold?

Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.

Strong Buy: 13
Buy: 3
Hold: 12
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	260.5	11.6%
Analysts Target Price	260.5	11.6%
ValueRay Target Price	245.9	5.3%

UNP Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025

Market Cap USD = 139.16b (139.16b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.8822
P/E Forward = 18.6567
P/S = 5.6694
P/B = 8.0291
P/EG = 2.6641
Beta = 0.995
Revenue TTM = 24.55b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.80b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 32.04b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 171.20b USD (139.16b + Debt 32.85b - CCE 808.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.97 (Ebit TTM 10.34b / Interest Expense TTM 1.30b)
FCF Yield = 3.51% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Enterprise Value 171.20b)
FCF Margin = 24.50% (FCF TTM 6.01b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Net Margin = 28.73% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Revenue TTM 24.55b)
Gross Margin = 45.93% ((Revenue TTM 24.55b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.46% (prev 46.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.49 (Enterprise Value 171.20b / Total Assets 68.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.00% (Interest Expense 327.0m / Debt 32.85b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (530.0m / 2.32b)
NOPAT = 7.97b (EBIT 10.34b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 3.90b / Total Current Liabilities 5.22b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 32.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.51 (Net Debt 32.04b / EBITDA 12.79b)
Debt / FCF = 5.33 (Net Debt 32.04b / FCF TTM 6.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.27% (Net Income 7.05b / Total Assets 68.65b)
RoE = 42.42% (Net Income TTM 7.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.62b)
RoCE = 22.03% (EBIT 10.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.62b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.34% (NOPAT 7.97b / Invested Capital 48.79b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(139.16b)/V(172.01b) * Re(8.46%) + D(32.85b)/V(172.01b) * Rd(1.00%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.34% ; FCFE base≈5.82b ; Y1≈5.65b ; Y5≈5.66b
Fair Price DCF = 157.2 (DCF Value 93.23b / Shares Outstanding 593.2m; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 41.35 | EPS CAGR: 3.99% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 17.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.30% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.89 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.57 | Chg30d=-0.077 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+6.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%

Additional Sources for UNP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle