(UNP) Union Pacific - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Railroads | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 148.722m USD | Total Return: 15.4% in 12m

Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Metals
Total Rating 63
Safety 85
Buy Signal 0.44
Railroads
Industry Rotation: -1.8
Market Cap: 149B
Avg Turnover: 651M USD
ATR: 1.90%
Peers RS (IBD): 32.8
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility19.4%
Rel. Tail Risk-4.88%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.57
Alpha0.50
Character TTM
Beta0.537
Beta Downside1.071
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD17.75%
CAGR/Max DD0.60
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of UNP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 2, "2021-06": 2.73, "2021-09": 2.57, "2021-12": 2.66, "2022-03": 2.57, "2022-06": 2.93, "2022-09": 3.05, "2022-12": 2.67, "2023-03": 2.67, "2023-06": 2.57, "2023-09": 2.51, "2023-12": 2.71, "2024-03": 2.69, "2024-06": 2.74, "2024-09": 2.75, "2024-12": 2.91, "2025-03": 2.7, "2025-06": 3.03, "2025-09": 3.01, "2025-12": 3.11,
EPS CAGR: 5.22%
EPS Trend: 46.0%
Last SUE: 3.26
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of UNP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 5001, 2021-06: 5504, 2021-09: 5566, 2021-12: 5733, 2022-03: 5860, 2022-06: 6269, 2022-09: 6566, 2022-12: 6180, 2023-03: 6056, 2023-06: 5963, 2023-09: 5941, 2023-12: 6159, 2024-03: 6031, 2024-06: 6007, 2024-09: 6091, 2024-12: 6121, 2025-03: 6027, 2025-06: 6154, 2025-09: 6244, 2025-12: 6085,
Rev. CAGR: 1.01%
Rev. Trend: -6.0%
Last SUE: -0.47
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: UNP Union Pacific

Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest freight-rail network, moving a diverse mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, intermodal containers, and automotive goods-across the United States from its headquarters in Omaha, Nebraska.

Recent performance highlights include a 2025 operating ratio of 61.4% (down from 62.0% in 2024), record-high carloads of 22.5 billion tons in Q4 2025, and net earnings of $4.8 billion for the full year, driven by strong demand for agricultural products and a resurgence in renewable-fuel shipments. Key economic drivers remain robust grain exports, increased ethanol-related freight, and ongoing U.S. infrastructure spending that supports rail-linked construction material transport.

For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Freight volume growth boosts railway revenue
  • Fuel price volatility impacts operating costs
  • Economic recession reduces industrial demand
  • Labor negotiations influence operational efficiency
  • Regulatory changes affect rail network capacity
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 7.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.81 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -1.87% < 20% (prev -5.08%; Δ 3.21% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 9.29b > Net Income 7.14b
Net Debt (30.54b) to EBITDA (12.95b): 2.36 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.5m) vs 12m ago -2.48% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.69% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4.52k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 35.67% > 50% (prev 35.81%; Δ -0.14% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.95b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
Altman Z'' 5.70
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.55b - Total Current Liabilities 5.01b) / Total Assets 69.70b
B: 1.00 (Retained Earnings 69.53b / Total Assets 69.70b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.47b / Avg Total Assets 68.71b)
D: 1.40 (Book Value of Equity 71.72b / Total Liabilities 51.23b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 5.70 = AAA
Beneish M -3.02
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.86b/1.89b, Revenue 24.51b/24.25b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 45.69% / 45.46%)
AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 24.51b / 24.25b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 7.14b - CFO 9.29b) / TA 69.70b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of UNP shares? As of April 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 250.51 with a total of 1,274,332 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.02%, over one month by +2.63%, over three months by +9.73% and over the past year by +15.36%.
Is UNP a buy, sell or hold? Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93. Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?
Analysts Target Price 272.3 8.7%
Union Pacific (UNP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 11 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 20.9282
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 6.0678
P/B = 8.5557
P/EG = 2.615
Revenue TTM = 24.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 179.27b USD (148.72b + Debt 31.81b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.00 (Ebit TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 32.60x (Enterprise Value 179.27b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
FCF Yield = 3.07% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Enterprise Value 179.27b)
FCF Margin = 22.44% (FCF TTM 5.50b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Net Margin = 29.12% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Gross Margin = 45.69% ((Revenue TTM 24.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.88% (prev 46.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.57 (Enterprise Value 179.27b / Total Assets 69.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 31.81b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (560.0m / 2.41b)
NOPAT = 8.04b (EBIT 10.47b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 4.55b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.72 (Debt 31.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 30.54b / EBITDA 12.95b)
Debt / FCF = 5.55 (Net Debt 30.54b / FCF TTM 5.50b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.39% (Net Income 7.14b / Total Assets 69.70b)
RoE = 41.95% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.02b)
RoCE = 22.14% (EBIT 10.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.02b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.29% (NOPAT 8.04b / Invested Capital 49.34b)
WACC = 6.62% (E(148.72b)/V(180.54b) * Re(7.87%) + D(31.81b)/V(180.54b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.41% ; FCFF base≈5.66b ; Y1≈5.48b ; Y5≈5.44b
[DCF] Fair Price = 175.4 (EV 134.67b - Net Debt 30.54b = Equity 104.13b / Shares 593.7m; r=6.62% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -4.41% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 45.97 | EPS CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 3.26 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -6.04 | Revenue CAGR: 1.01% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.10 | Chg7d=-0.024 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.38 | Chg7d=-0.009 | Chg30d=-0.012 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+3.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.60 | Chg7d=+0.022 | Chg30d=+0.036 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (1 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 3.1% (Discount Rate 7.9% - Earnings Yield 4.8%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.7% (Analyst 3.9% - Implied 3.1%)
External Resources
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