(UNP) Union Pacific - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US9078181081
Stock: Railroad, Freight, Intermodal, Chemicals, Metals
Total Rating 55
Risk 77
Buy Signal 0.76
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.35% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.98% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.12% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.43% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -6.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.675 |
| Beta Downside | 0.732 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.55 |
Description: UNP Union Pacific January 27, 2026
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE: UNP) operates the nation’s largest freight-rail network, moving a diversified mix of commodities-including grain, fertilizers, coal, renewables, intermodal containers, and automotive goods-across the United States. Founded in 1862 and headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, the company serves grain processors, ethanol producers, construction firms, and a broad range of industrial customers.
In its most recent earnings release (Q4 2023), UNP posted a 60.5% operating ratio-the best in over two decades-driven by a 5% year-over-year increase in total carloads and a 7% rise in intermodal volume, reflecting sustained e-commerce demand. Net income reached $2.1 billion, and the dividend yield hovered around 2.0%, underscoring its cash-flow resilience. Key macro drivers include strong agricultural exports, a rebound in construction activity, and a shift toward transporting renewable-energy inputs, while declining coal shipments are partially offset by growth in renewable-fuel logistics.
For a deeper dive into UNP’s valuation nuances, consider checking ValueRay’s analyst notes.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 7.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.57 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.87% < 20% (prev -5.08%; Δ 3.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 16.36b > Net Income 7.14b |
| Net Debt (30.55b) to EBITDA (12.95b): 2.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (593.5m) vs 12m ago -2.48% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 54.21% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 5376 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.67% > 50% (prev 35.81%; Δ -0.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.95b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b) |
Altman Z'' 4.56
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 4.55b - Total Current Liabilities 5.01b) / Total Assets 69.70b |
| B: 0.98 (Retained Earnings 68.50b / Total Assets 69.70b) |
| C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 10.47b / Avg Total Assets 68.71b) |
| D: 0.36 (Book Value of Equity 18.47b / Total Liabilities 51.23b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.56 = AA |
What is the price of UNP shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 252.62 with a total of 4,344,998 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.45%, over one month by +8.13%, over three months by +16.56% and over the past year by +6.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.45%, over one month by +8.13%, over three months by +16.56% and over the past year by +6.22%.
Is UNP a buy, sell or hold?
Union Pacific has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.93.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UNP.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the UNP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 264.6 | 4.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 264.6 | 4.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 269.5 | 6.7% |
UNP Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.6244
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 5.6896
P/B = 8.5557
P/EG = 2.615
Revenue TTM = 24.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 170.00b USD (139.45b + Debt 31.81b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.00 (Ebit TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 39.78x (Enterprise Value 170.00b / FCF TTM 4.27b)
FCF Yield = 2.51% (FCF TTM 4.27b / Enterprise Value 170.00b)
FCF Margin = 17.43% (FCF TTM 4.27b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Net Margin = 29.12% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Gross Margin = 54.21% ((Revenue TTM 24.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.21% (prev 46.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.44 (Enterprise Value 170.00b / Total Assets 69.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 31.81b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (560.0m / 2.41b)
NOPAT = 8.04b (EBIT 10.47b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 4.55b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.72 (Debt 31.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 30.55b / EBITDA 12.95b)
Debt / FCF = 7.15 (Net Debt 30.55b / FCF TTM 4.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.39% (Net Income 7.14b / Total Assets 69.70b)
RoE = 41.95% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.02b)
RoCE = 22.14% (EBIT 10.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.02b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.40% (NOPAT 8.04b / Invested Capital 49.02b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(139.45b)/V(171.27b) * Re(8.40%) + D(31.81b)/V(171.27b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.58% ; FCFF base≈4.92b ; Y1≈4.78b ; Y5≈4.78b
Fair Price DCF = 125.9 (EV 105.25b - Net Debt 30.55b = Equity 74.71b / Shares 593.2m; r=6.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 47.54 | EPS CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 3.19 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -6.04 | Revenue CAGR: 1.01% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.82 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.38 | Chg30d=-0.193 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+3.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.53 | Chg30d=-0.144 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+9.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 5.6896
P/B = 8.5557
P/EG = 2.615
Revenue TTM = 24.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 30.29b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 782.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 30.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 170.00b USD (139.45b + Debt 31.81b - CCE 1.27b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.00 (Ebit TTM 10.47b / Interest Expense TTM 1.31b)
EV/FCF = 39.78x (Enterprise Value 170.00b / FCF TTM 4.27b)
FCF Yield = 2.51% (FCF TTM 4.27b / Enterprise Value 170.00b)
FCF Margin = 17.43% (FCF TTM 4.27b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Net Margin = 29.12% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Revenue TTM 24.51b)
Gross Margin = 54.21% ((Revenue TTM 24.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 79.21% (prev 46.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.44 (Enterprise Value 170.00b / Total Assets 69.70b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 325.0m / Debt 31.81b)
Taxrate = 23.26% (560.0m / 2.41b)
NOPAT = 8.04b (EBIT 10.47b * (1 - 23.26%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 4.55b / Total Current Liabilities 5.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.72 (Debt 31.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 30.55b / EBITDA 12.95b)
Debt / FCF = 7.15 (Net Debt 30.55b / FCF TTM 4.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.39% (Net Income 7.14b / Total Assets 69.70b)
RoE = 41.95% (Net Income TTM 7.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.02b)
RoCE = 22.14% (EBIT 10.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.02b + L.T.Debt 30.29b))
RoIC = 16.40% (NOPAT 8.04b / Invested Capital 49.02b)
WACC = 6.99% (E(139.45b)/V(171.27b) * Re(8.40%) + D(31.81b)/V(171.27b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.58% ; FCFF base≈4.92b ; Y1≈4.78b ; Y5≈4.78b
Fair Price DCF = 125.9 (EV 105.25b - Net Debt 30.55b = Equity 74.71b / Shares 593.2m; r=6.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.96% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 47.54 | EPS CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: 3.19 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -6.04 | Revenue CAGR: 1.01% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.82 | Chg30d=-0.067 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.38 | Chg30d=-0.193 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+3.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=13.53 | Chg30d=-0.144 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+9.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%