(VEL) Velocity Financial - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US92262D1019

VEL: Loans, Mortgages, Securitization, Portfolio Management, Financing

Velocity Financial, Inc. (NYSE:VEL) is a specialized real estate finance company focused on originating, securitizing, and managing a diversified portfolio of loans secured by first mortgage liens on commercial and residential properties. The company targets income-generating assets, including 1-4 unit non-owner-occupied residential rental properties, mixed-use buildings combining residential and commercial spaces, and multi-family properties such as apartment buildings and condominiums. It also provides financing for retail, office, and warehouse properties, including self-storage, auto services, hospitality, and light industrial assets. Additionally, the firm offers short-term and interest-only loans for the acquisition and improvement of 1-4 unit residential properties, catering to independent real estate investors and small business owners. Velocity Financial operates through a network of independent mortgage brokers and has been active since 2004, with its headquarters in Westlake Village, California.

From a technical perspective, VEL shares have shown a short-term downtrend, with the 20-day SMA (18.55) below the 50-day SMA (18.99) and 200-day SMA (19.04). The stock is currently trading at 18.73, slightly above its 20-day moving average but below its 50-day and 200-day averages. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.31 indicates moderate volatility. On the fundamental side, the company has a market capitalization of $612.62 million, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.05 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26, reflecting a reasonable valuation relative to its book value. The return on equity (RoE) of 13.45% highlights profitable operations, while the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 3.79 suggests a premium valuation relative to revenue.

Based on the provided and , the 3-month outlook for Velocity Financial, Inc. (NYSE:VEL) is as follows: The stock is expected to trade sideways to slightly lower in the near term, as the 20-day SMA is below the 50-day SMA, indicating short-term weakness. However, the proximity of the 20-day SMA to the 50-day SMA suggests potential stabilization. The ATR of 0.31 indicates moderate volatility, with potential price fluctuations within a narrow range. Fundamentally, the companys strong return on equity (RoE) of 13.45% and reasonable P/B ratio of 1.26 suggest underlying financial health, which may support the stock price over the medium term. Overall, the stock is likely to remain range-bound, with a potential downside of 5-7% and limited upside, barring significant positive catalysts.

Additional Sources for VEL Stock

VEL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 642m
Sector Financial Services
Industry Mortgage Finance
GiC Sub-Industry Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
IPO / Inception 2020-01-17

VEL Stock Ratings

Growth 5y 71.9%
Fundamental 51.6%
Dividend 0.0%
Rel. Strength -11.2
Analysts 3.5/5
Fair Price Momentum 19.33 USD
Fair Price DCF 24.52 USD

VEL Dividends

No Dividends Paid

VEL Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -1.7%
Growth Correlation 12m 59.1%
Growth Correlation 5y 80.5%
CAGR 5y 18.43%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 0.27
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.20
Alpha -4.68
Beta 1.044
Volatility 25.04%
Current Volume 308.4k
Average Volume 20d 159.5k
What is the price of VEL stocks?
As of March 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 18.55 with a total of 308,433 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.64%, over one month by -0.96%, over three months by -7.11% and over the past year by +6.00%.
Is Velocity Financial a good stock to buy?
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay Fundamental Analyses, Velocity Financial (NYSE:VEL) is currently (March 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 51.62 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of VEL as of March 2025 is 19.33. This means that VEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.2%.
Is VEL a buy, sell or hold?
Velocity Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefor, it is recommend to hold VEL.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecast for VEL stock price target?
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, VEL Velocity Financial will be worth about 20.9 in March 2026. The stock is currently trading at 18.55. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +12.56%.
Issuer Forecast Upside
Wallstreet Target Price 21.8 17.3%
Analysts Target Price 21.8 17.3%
ValueRay Target Price 20.9 12.6%