(VLO) Valero Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US91913Y1001
Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Ethanol, Renewable Diesel
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.69% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.62% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.22% |
| Payout Consistency | 29.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 51.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.66% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 |
| Alpha | 16.95 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.556 |
| Beta | 0.978 |
| Beta Downside | 1.511 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.22% |
| Mean DD | 15.82% |
| Median DD | 15.32% |
Description: VLO Valero Energy December 03, 2025
Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO) refines and markets petroleum-based and low-carbon transportation fuels across North America, Europe, and Latin America, operating through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. Its product slate includes CARBOB and CBOB gasoline blendstocks, CARB diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, asphalt, and a range of aromatics and residual fuels, sold via wholesale rack, bulk channels, and branded retail outlets such as Valero, Beacon, and Texaco.
Key operational metrics (2023) show a refining throughput of ~3.2 million barrels per day and an adjusted refining margin of roughly $12 per barrel, reflecting strong gasoline demand but sensitivity to crude price volatility. The Renewable Diesel segment, anchored by the Diamond Green Diesel brand, now runs at ~1.1 million bd yr⁻¹ capacity, benefitting from the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s tax credits for low-carbon fuels. Ethanol production remains modest (~0.4 million bd yr⁻¹), with co-products like dry distillers grains supporting the animal-feed market, a sector that typically exhibits inverse correlation with fuel demand.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Valero’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise toolkit you may find useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (1.47b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.38b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.13% (prev 6.45%; Δ 0.68pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.84b > Net Income 1.47b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.82b) to EBITDA (5.38b) ratio: 1.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.60 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (309.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 3.34% (prev 4.46%; Δ -1.13pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 206.8% (prev 222.8%; Δ -15.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.27 (EBITDA TTM 5.38b / Interest Expense TTM 552.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.40
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 23.50b - Total Current Liabilities 14.73b) / Total Assets 58.62b |
| (B) 0.80 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 47.17b / Total Assets 58.62b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 0.80 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 2.36b / Avg Total Assets 59.50b |
| (D) 1.46 = Book Value of Equity 46.47b / Total Liabilities 31.87b |
| Total Rating: 5.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.06
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.04% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.54% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.13)% |
| 7. RoE 6.12% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -77.22% |
| 9. EPS Trend -54.25% |
What is the price of VLO shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 168.30 with a total of 3,156,384 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by -4.61%, over three months by +8.07% and over the past year by +33.87%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.35%, over one month by -4.61%, over three months by +8.07% and over the past year by +33.87%.
Is VLO a buy, sell or hold?
Valero Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy VLO.
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 185.8 | 10.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 185.8 | 10.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 201 | 19.4% |
VLO Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
Market Cap USD = 56.09b (56.09b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 37.6125
P/E Forward = 14.5349
P/S = 0.4812
P/B = 2.2697
P/EG = 3.2533
Beta = 0.761
Revenue TTM = 123.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 894.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.82b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.90b USD (56.09b + Debt 10.58b - CCE 4.76b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.27 (Ebit TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 552.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.04% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Enterprise Value 61.90b)
FCF Margin = 3.54% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Net Margin = 1.19% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Gross Margin = 3.34% ((Revenue TTM 123.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 118.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.51% (prev 4.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 61.90b / Total Assets 58.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.58b)
Taxrate = 24.79% (361.0m / 1.46b)
NOPAT = 1.77b (EBIT 2.36b * (1 - 24.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 23.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.08 (Net Debt 5.82b / EBITDA 5.38b)
Debt / FCF = 1.33 (Net Debt 5.82b / FCF TTM 4.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 1.47b / Total Assets 58.62b)
RoE = 6.12% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.96b)
RoCE = 7.00% (EBIT 2.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.96b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 5.12% (NOPAT 1.77b / Invested Capital 34.59b)
WACC = 8.25% (E(56.09b)/V(66.67b) * Re(9.62%) + D(10.58b)/V(66.67b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.83% ; FCFE base≈4.62b ; Y1≈3.61b ; Y5≈2.33b
Fair Price DCF = 110.7 (DCF Value 33.77b / Shares Outstanding 305.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.25 | EPS CAGR: 11.06% | SUE: 2.40 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -77.22 | Revenue CAGR: -2.89% | SUE: 2.16 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=+0.766 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.85 | Chg30d=+1.107 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+26.8% | Growth Revenue=-8.3%
P/E Trailing = 37.6125
P/E Forward = 14.5349
P/S = 0.4812
P/B = 2.2697
P/EG = 3.2533
Beta = 0.761
Revenue TTM = 123.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.69b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 894.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.58b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.82b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 61.90b USD (56.09b + Debt 10.58b - CCE 4.76b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.27 (Ebit TTM 2.36b / Interest Expense TTM 552.0m)
FCF Yield = 7.04% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Enterprise Value 61.90b)
FCF Margin = 3.54% (FCF TTM 4.36b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Net Margin = 1.19% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Revenue TTM 123.07b)
Gross Margin = 3.34% ((Revenue TTM 123.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 118.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.51% (prev 4.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 61.90b / Total Assets 58.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 139.0m / Debt 10.58b)
Taxrate = 24.79% (361.0m / 1.46b)
NOPAT = 1.77b (EBIT 2.36b * (1 - 24.79%))
Current Ratio = 1.60 (Total Current Assets 23.50b / Total Current Liabilities 14.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.45 (Debt 10.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 23.75b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.08 (Net Debt 5.82b / EBITDA 5.38b)
Debt / FCF = 1.33 (Net Debt 5.82b / FCF TTM 4.36b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 23.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 1.47b / Total Assets 58.62b)
RoE = 6.12% (Net Income TTM 1.47b / Total Stockholder Equity 23.96b)
RoCE = 7.00% (EBIT 2.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 23.96b + L.T.Debt 9.69b))
RoIC = 5.12% (NOPAT 1.77b / Invested Capital 34.59b)
WACC = 8.25% (E(56.09b)/V(66.67b) * Re(9.62%) + D(10.58b)/V(66.67b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.83% ; FCFE base≈4.62b ; Y1≈3.61b ; Y5≈2.33b
Fair Price DCF = 110.7 (DCF Value 33.77b / Shares Outstanding 305.0m; 5y FCF grow -26.19% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -54.25 | EPS CAGR: 11.06% | SUE: 2.40 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -77.22 | Revenue CAGR: -2.89% | SUE: 2.16 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.83 | Chg30d=+0.766 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.85 | Chg30d=+1.107 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+26.8% | Growth Revenue=-8.3%
Additional Sources for VLO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle