(WMT) Walmart - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Consumables, Health, Home, Electronics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.05% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.42% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -21.22% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 |
| Alpha | 11.05 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.40 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.604 |
| Beta | 0.579 |
| Beta Downside | 0.521 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.93% |
| Mean DD | 3.77% |
| Median DD | 2.30% |
Description: WMT Walmart September 24, 2025
Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) operates a global network of retail and wholesale formats-including supercenters, discount stores, neighborhood markets, and Sam’s Club warehouse clubs-alongside a suite of e-commerce sites such as walmart.com, walmart.ca, Flipkart, and PhonePe. The business is organized into three reporting segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam’s Club.
The company’s merchandise breadth spans grocery (dry goods, fresh produce, dairy, meat, bakery, and beverages), health and wellness (pharmacy, optical, hearing, OTC drugs, and nutrition products), and a wide array of hard-goods (home improvement, electronics, apparel, toys, and furniture). It also provides ancillary services like digital payments, money-transfer and bill-pay solutions, co-branded credit cards, and installment lending.
Key performance indicators that investors watch include same-store sales growth (comparable store sales), which for FY 2024 was +2.6% in the U.S. segment, and e-commerce sales, now representing roughly 13% of total revenue and growing at double-digit rates year-over-year. Walmart’s operating cash flow consistently exceeds $30 billion annually, underpinning its $15 billion share-repurchase program and dividend sustainability.
Macro-economic drivers critical to Walmart’s outlook are consumer discretionary spending trends, inflation-adjusted food price dynamics, and the pace of wage growth in its core markets. A sector-wide shift toward omnichannel retail-accelerated by pandemic-induced habit changes-continues to pressure margins but also creates opportunities for higher basket sizes through services like curbside pickup and Walmart + membership.
Assumption: The FY 2024 financials cited are based on Walmart’s public filings; any forward-looking statements about e-commerce growth assume continued investment in logistics and technology without major regulatory disruptions. Uncertainty remains around international earnings, especially in markets facing currency volatility or geopolitical risk.
For a deeper quantitative dive into Walmart’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a structured framework worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (22.91b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 42.18b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.24% (prev -2.32%; Δ -0.93pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 40.98b > Net Income 22.91b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (54.32b) to EBITDA (44.93b) ratio: 1.21 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.80 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (8.01b) change vs 12m ago -0.88% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 24.91% (prev 24.70%; Δ 0.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 254.7% (prev 255.8%; Δ -1.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.68 (EBITDA TTM 44.93b / Interest Expense TTM 2.66b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.87
| (A) -0.08 = (Total Current Assets 92.92b - Total Current Liabilities 115.73b) / Total Assets 288.65b |
| (B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 101.56b / Total Assets 288.65b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 31.09b / Avg Total Assets 276.03b |
| (D) 0.46 = Book Value of Equity 89.23b / Total Liabilities 192.56b |
| Total Rating: 1.87 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 77.47
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.62% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.68 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.21 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.01)% |
| 7. RoE 25.38% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.94% |
| 9. EPS Trend -17.30% |
What is the price of WMT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.44%, over one month by +4.43%, over three months by +13.59% and over the past year by +20.65%.
Is WMT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 27
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WMT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 118.2 | 8.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 118.2 | 8.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 137.4 | 25.9% |
WMT Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 36.8252
P/E Forward = 35.461
P/S = 1.2126
P/B = 8.8868
P/EG = 4.1482
Beta = 0.649
Revenue TTM = 703.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 44.93b USD
Long Term Debt = 33.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.84b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 64.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 54.32b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 894.82b USD (840.50b + Debt 64.90b - CCE 10.58b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.68 (Ebit TTM 31.09b / Interest Expense TTM 2.66b)
FCF Yield = 3.63% (FCF TTM 32.45b / Enterprise Value 894.82b)
FCF Margin = 4.62% (FCF TTM 32.45b / Revenue TTM 703.06b)
Net Margin = 3.26% (Net Income TTM 22.91b / Revenue TTM 703.06b)
Gross Margin = 24.91% ((Revenue TTM 703.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 527.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.95% (prev 25.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 894.82b / Total Assets 288.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.83% (Interest Expense 538.4m / Debt 64.90b)
Taxrate = 25.63% (2.10b / 8.19b)
NOPAT = 23.13b (EBIT 31.09b * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 92.92b / Total Current Liabilities 115.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 64.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 96.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.21 (Net Debt 54.32b / EBITDA 44.93b)
Debt / FCF = 1.67 (Net Debt 54.32b / FCF TTM 32.45b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 90.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.94% (Net Income 22.91b / Total Assets 288.65b)
RoE = 25.38% (Net Income TTM 22.91b / Total Stockholder Equity 90.25b)
RoCE = 25.15% (EBIT 31.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 90.25b + L.T.Debt 33.40b))
RoIC = 17.62% (NOPAT 23.13b / Invested Capital 131.22b)
WACC = 7.61% (E(840.50b)/V(905.40b) * Re(8.15%) + D(64.90b)/V(905.40b) * Rd(0.83%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.48% ; FCFE base≈26.27b ; Y1≈30.99b ; Y5≈47.67b
Fair Price DCF = 100.4 (DCF Value 800.72b / Shares Outstanding 7.97b; 5y FCF grow 19.12% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -17.30 | EPS CAGR: 5.35% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.94 | Revenue CAGR: 4.37% | SUE: 1.02 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for WMT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle