(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - Overview

Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 18.958m USD | Total Return: 18.3% in 12m

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Fuels, Petrochemicals, Electricity
Total Rating 44
Safety 72
Buy Signal 0.35
Oil & Gas Integrated
Industry Rotation: +3.9
Market Cap: 19.0B
Avg Turnover: 71.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility46.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.54%
VaR vs Median-1.34%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Rel. Str. IBD70.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta0.612
Beta Downside0.174
Hurst Exponent0.505
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.79%
CAGR/Max DD1.23
CAGR/Mean DD3.96
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of YPF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.06, "2021-06": -1.22, "2021-09": 0.59, "2021-12": 0.81, "2022-03": 0.64, "2022-06": 2.01, "2022-09": 1.72, "2022-12": 1.19, "2023-03": 0.87, "2023-06": 0.86, "2023-09": -0.33, "2023-12": -4.75, "2024-03": 1.66, "2024-06": 1.32, "2024-09": 3.8246, "2024-12": -0.74, "2025-03": 0.5775, "2025-06": 163.29, "2025-09": -0.53, "2025-12": -1.67, "2026-03": 0.9724,
EPS CAGR: -17.60%
EPS Trend: -1.9%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of YPF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 234890, 2021-06: 315873, 2021-09: 353558, 2021-12: 411312, 2022-03: 401451, 2022-06: 595970, 2022-09: 742552, 2022-12: 786493, 2023-03: 820325, 2023-06: 1036763, 2023-09: 1473630, 2023-12: 2153826, 2024-03: 3602196, 2024-06: 4389865, 2024-09: 5058762, 2024-12: 4844208, 2025-03: 4600, 2025-06: 4641000, 2025-09: 6627836.534, 2025-12: 6593344, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 110.92%
Rev. Trend: 18.1%
Last SUE: 0.05
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Tailwind, Pullback 52w, Confidence

Description: YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima

YPF Sociedad Anónima is a vertically integrated energy company headquartered in Buenos Aires, operating across the entire hydrocarbon value chain in Argentina and South America. Its business model encompasses upstream exploration and production, midstream logistics, and downstream refining and marketing of fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals.

The company maintains a significant presence in the agribusiness sector by supplying fertilizers, crop protection products, and specialized fuels while managing the commercialization of grains and by-products. As an integrated oil and gas entity, YPF manages the volatility of commodity prices by capturing margins from both raw extraction and the sale of higher-value refined products and power generation.

The company is a primary developer of the Vaca Muerta formation, one of the worlds largest shale gas and oil reserves, which is central to Argentinas energy self-sufficiency goals. For a deeper look at how these regional operations impact valuation, visit ValueRay to continue your research.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Vaca Muerta shale production growth targets drive long term revenue expansion
  • Argentine government fuel price deregulation impacts downstream profitability and margins
  • Macroeconomic stabilization and inflation reduction influence domestic energy consumption levels
  • Infrastructure expansion for natural gas exports determines future capital expenditure efficiency
  • Federal energy policy shifts affect dividend distribution and foreign investment inflows
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: -1171.53b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.70 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -7.85% < 20% (prev -10.84%; Δ 2.99% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 3725.68b > Net Income -1171.53b
Net Debt (14827.77b) to EBITDA (4445.63b): 3.34 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.87 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (391.6m) vs 12m ago -0.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.81% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2.75k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.96% > 50% (prev 59.11%; Δ -10.16% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4445.63b / Interest Expense TTM 955.18b)
Altman Z'' 1.32
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 9398.13b - Total Current Liabilities 10799.79b) / Total Assets 42715.99b
B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 9160.16b / Total Assets 42715.99b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1340.36b / Avg Total Assets 36494.36b)
D: 0.56 (Book Value of Equity 14866.95b / Total Liabilities 26691.15b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.32 = BB
Beneish M -2.55
DSRI: 1.81 (Receivables 3877.07b/2149.95b, Revenue 17866.78b/17895.03b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 27.81% / 27.55%)
AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.10)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 17866.78b / 17895.03b)
TATA: -0.11 (NI -1171.53b - CFO 3725.68b) / TA 42715.99b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of YPF shares? As of May 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.66 with a total of 1,000,172 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.04%, over one month by +7.56%, over three months by +17.97% and over the past year by +18.29%.
Is YPF a buy, sell or hold? YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YPF price?
Analysts Target Price 54.3 24.4%
YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 May 2026
Market Cap ARS = 26436.37b (18.96b USD * 1394.5 USD.ARS)
P/E Forward = 8.1967
P/S = 0.0007
P/B = 1.4578
P/EG = 0.1007
Revenue TTM = 17866.78b ARS
EBIT TTM = 1340.36b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 4445.63b ARS
Long Term Debt = 8.23b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3849.50b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16181.55b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14827.77b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42141.86b ARS (26436.37b + Debt 16181.55b - CCE 476.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.40 (Ebit TTM 1340.36b / Interest Expense TTM 955.18b)
EV/FCF = 556.8x (Enterprise Value 42141.86b / FCF TTM 75.69b)
FCF Yield = 0.18% (FCF TTM 75.69b / Enterprise Value 42141.86b)
FCF Margin = 0.42% (FCF TTM 75.69b / Revenue TTM 17866.78b)
Net Margin = -6.56% (Net Income TTM -1171.53b / Revenue TTM 17866.78b)
Gross Margin = 27.81% ((Revenue TTM 17866.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12898.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.87% (prev 28.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 42141.86b / Total Assets 42715.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 309.06b / Debt 16181.55b)
Taxrate = 0.18% (1.04b / 570.24b)
NOPAT = 1337.91b (EBIT 1340.36b * (1 - 0.18%))
Current Ratio = 0.87 (Total Current Assets 9398.13b / Total Current Liabilities 10799.79b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 16181.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15691.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.34 (Net Debt 14827.77b / EBITDA 4445.63b)
Debt / FCF = 195.9 (Net Debt 14827.77b / FCF TTM 75.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14744.40b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.21% (Net Income -1171.53b / Total Assets 42715.99b)
RoE = -7.95% (Net Income TTM -1171.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 14744.40b)
RoCE = 9.09% (EBIT 1340.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 14744.40b + L.T.Debt 8.23b))
 RoIC = 10.4k% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT 1337.91b / Invested Capital 12.85b)
 WACC = 5.77% (E(26436.37b)/V(42617.92b) * Re(8.13%) + D(16181.55b)/V(42617.92b) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 4.49 | Cagr: 0.11%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈75.69b ; Y1≈49.69b ; Y5≈22.72b
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 721.35b - Net Debt 14827.77b = -14106.42b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -1.94 | EPS CAGR: -17.60% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.10 | Revenue CAGR: 110.9% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.69 | Chg30d=+3.37% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+283.0% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.59 | Chg30d=+5.84% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+51.6% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%