(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - NYSE
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 22.096m USD | Total Return: 48.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 105M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.97 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Supp Ema20, Rs Leader, Idiosyncratic Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w, Confidence
YPF Sociedad Anónima is a vertically integrated energy company headquartered in Buenos Aires, operating across the entire hydrocarbon value chain in Argentina and South America. Its business model encompasses upstream exploration and production, midstream logistics, and downstream refining and marketing of fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals.
The company maintains a significant presence in the agribusiness sector by supplying fertilizers, crop protection products, and specialized fuels while managing the commercialization of grains and by-products. As an integrated oil and gas entity, YPF manages the volatility of commodity prices by capturing margins from both raw extraction and the sale of higher-value refined products and power generation.
The company is a primary developer of the Vaca Muerta formation, one of the worlds largest shale gas and oil reserves, which is central to Argentinas energy self-sufficiency goals. For a deeper look at how these regional operations impact valuation, visit ValueRay to continue your research.
- Vaca Muerta shale production growth targets drive long term revenue expansion
- Argentine government fuel price deregulation impacts downstream profitability and margins
- Macroeconomic stabilization and inflation reduction influence domestic energy consumption levels
- Infrastructure expansion for natural gas exports determines future capital expenditure efficiency
- Federal energy policy shifts affect dividend distribution and foreign investment inflows
| Net Income: -610b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.53% < 20% (prev -13.31%; Δ 10.79% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 > 3% & CFO 6317b > Net Income -610b |
| Net Debt (12601b) to EBITDA (6724b): 1.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.94 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (392.1m) vs 12m ago -1.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.94% > 18% (prev 26.99%; Δ 2.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.62% > 50% (prev 44.61%; Δ 22.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.00 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2587b / Interest Expense TTM 1295b) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 9338b - Total Current Liabilities 9964b) / Total Assets 42198b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -489b / Total Assets 42198b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2587b / Avg Total Assets 37123b) |
| D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 15799b / Total Liabilities 26025b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.97 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.87 (Receivables 3418b/2274b, Revenue 24733b/14297b) |
| GMI: 0.90 (GM 26.99% / 29.94%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.73 (Revenue 24733b / 14297b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI -610b - CFO 6317b) / TA 42198b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of June 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.59 with a total of 2,410,979 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.77%,
over one month by +20.45%,
over three months by +40.43% and
over the past year by +48.22%.
YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 56.7 | 7.8% |
Market Cap ARS = 31565b (22.1b USD * 1428.5 USD.ARS)
P/E Forward = 8.1967
P/S = 0.0009
P/B = 1.9441
P/EG = 0.1007
Revenue TTM = 24733b ARS
EBIT TTM = 2587b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 6724b ARS
Long Term Debt = 8.53b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2640b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14953b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 640.0m
Net Debt = 12601b ARS (calculated: Debt 14953b - CCE 2352b)
Enterprise Value = 44166b ARS (31565b + Debt 14953b - CCE 2352b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.00 (Ebit TTM 2587b / Interest Expense TTM 1295b)
EV/FCF = 38.29x (Enterprise Value 44166b / FCF TTM 1153b)
FCF Yield = 2.61% (FCF TTM 1153b / Enterprise Value 44166b)
FCF Margin = 4.66% (FCF TTM 1153b / Revenue TTM 24733b)
Net Margin = -2.47% (Net Income TTM -610b / Revenue TTM 24733b)
Gross Margin = 29.94% ((Revenue TTM 24733b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17327b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.50% (prev 28.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 44166b / Total Assets 42198b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.66% (Interest Expense 1295b / Debt 14953b)
Taxrate = 0.10% (1.88b / 1972b)
NOPAT = 2584b (EBIT 2587b * (1 - 0.10%))
Current Ratio = 0.94 (Total Current Assets 9338b / Total Current Liabilities 9964b)
Debt / Equity = 0.95 (Debt 14953b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 15799b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.87 (Net Debt 12601b / EBITDA 6724b)
Debt / FCF = 10.93 (Net Debt 12601b / FCF TTM 1153b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15546b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.64% (Net Income -610b / Total Assets 42198b)
RoE = -3.92% (Net Income TTM -610b / Total Stockholder Equity 15546b)
RoCE = 16.63% (EBIT 2587b / Capital Employed (Equity 15546b + L.T.Debt 8.53b))
RoIC = 7.68% (NOPAT 2584b / Invested Capital 33638b)
WACC = 8.27% (E(31565b)/V(46518b) * Re(8.09%) + D(14953b)/V(46518b) * Rd(8.66%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 8.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.67 | Cagr: 0.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈716b ; Y1≈821b ; Y5≈1208b
[DCF] Fair Price = 14.2k (EV 18183b - Net Debt 12601b = Equity 5582b / Shares 392.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.66 | Revenue CAGR: 90.93% | SUE: -0.03 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.00 | Chg30d=+32.45% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.89 | Chg30d=+22.73% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.39 | Chg30d=+56.22% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+367.7% | GrowthRev=+14.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.64 | Chg30d=+4.62% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+4.5% | GrowthRev=-1.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%