(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 20.249m USD | Total Return: 31.2% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 78.0M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 89.0%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Altman Z'' -15.00 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Tailwind, Confidence
YPF Sociedad Anónima is a vertically integrated energy company headquartered in Buenos Aires, operating across the entire hydrocarbon value chain in Argentina and South America. Its business model encompasses upstream exploration and production, midstream logistics, and downstream refining and marketing of fuels, lubricants, and petrochemicals.
The company maintains a significant presence in the agribusiness sector by supplying fertilizers, crop protection products, and specialized fuels while managing the commercialization of grains and by-products. As an integrated oil and gas entity, YPF manages the volatility of commodity prices by capturing margins from both raw extraction and the sale of higher-value refined products and power generation.
The company is a primary developer of the Vaca Muerta formation, one of the worlds largest shale gas and oil reserves, which is central to Argentinas energy self-sufficiency goals. For a deeper look at how these regional operations impact valuation, visit ValueRay to continue your research.
- Vaca Muerta shale production growth targets drive long term revenue expansion
- Argentine government fuel price deregulation impacts downstream profitability and margins
- Macroeconomic stabilization and inflation reduction influence domestic energy consumption levels
- Infrastructure expansion for natural gas exports determines future capital expenditure efficiency
- Federal energy policy shifts affect dividend distribution and foreign investment inflows
| Net Income: -1171b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 2.53 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 252.9 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -60.41% < 20% (prev -13.31%; Δ -47.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 122.8 > 3% & CFO 3727b > Net Income -1171b |
| Net Debt (9.71b) to EBITDA (4446b): 0.00 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (392.1m) vs 12m ago -1.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.81% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 2.75k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 111.4% > 50% (prev 44.61%; Δ 66.78% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4446b / Interest Expense TTM 955b) |
| A: -355.5 (Total Current Assets 6.72b - Total Current Liabilities 10800b) / Total Assets 30.4b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -352.0m / Total Assets 30.4b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 1341b / Avg Total Assets 16039b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 10.8b / Total Liabilities 18.7b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.33k = D |
| DSRI: 0.00 (Receivables 2.46b/2274b, Revenue 17867b/14297b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 27.81% / 26.99%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 17867b / 14297b) |
| TATA: -161.3 (NI -1171b - CFO 3727b) / TA 30.4b) |
| Beneish M = -169.8 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of May 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 47.99 with a total of 1,083,708 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.92%,
over one month by +11.76%,
over three months by +26.26% and
over the past year by +31.23%.
YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 56.5 | 17.6% |
Market Cap ARS = 28368b (20.2b USD * 1401.0 USD.ARS)
P/E Forward = 8.1967
P/S = 0.0008
P/B = 1.6569
P/EG = 0.1007
Revenue TTM = 17867b ARS
EBIT TTM = 1341b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 4446b ARS
Long Term Debt = 8.53b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.90b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.4b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 640.0m
Net Debt = 9.71b ARS (calculated: Debt 11.4b - CCE 1.69b)
Enterprise Value = 28378b ARS (28368b + Debt 11.4b - CCE 1.69b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.40 (Ebit TTM 1341b / Interest Expense TTM 955b)
EV/FCF = 369.4x (Enterprise Value 28378b / FCF TTM 76.8b)
FCF Yield = 0.27% (FCF TTM 76.8b / Enterprise Value 28378b)
FCF Margin = 0.43% (FCF TTM 76.8b / Revenue TTM 17867b)
Net Margin = -6.55% (Net Income TTM -1171b / Revenue TTM 17867b)
Gross Margin = 27.81% ((Revenue TTM 17867b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12899b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.50% (prev 28.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 934.8 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 28378b / Total Assets 30.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.38k% (Interest Expense 955b / Debt 11.4b)
Taxrate = 37.27% (243.0m / 652.0m)
NOPAT = 841b (EBIT 1341b * (1 - 37.27%))
Current Ratio = 0.00 (Total Current Assets 6.72b / Total Current Liabilities 10800b)
Debt / Equity = 1.00 (Debt 11.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.00 (Net Debt 9.71b / EBITDA 4446b)
Debt / FCF = 0.13 (Net Debt 9.71b / FCF TTM 76.8b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11599b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -7.30% (Net Income -1171b / Total Assets 30.4b)
RoE = -10.10% (Net Income TTM -1171b / Total Stockholder Equity 11600b)
RoCE = 11.55% (EBIT 1341b / Capital Employed (Equity 11600b + L.T.Debt 8.53b))
RoIC = 3.36k% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT 841b / Invested Capital 25.0b)
WACC = 8.12% (E(28368b)/V(28380b) * Re(8.12%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 6.67 | Cagr: 0.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈70.3b ; Y1≈80.6b ; Y5≈119b
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.52k (EV 1785b - Net Debt 9.71b = Equity 1775b / Shares 392.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.02 | Revenue CAGR: 81.61% | SUE: -1.03 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.51 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.14 | Chg30d=+52.11% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+354.9% | GrowthRev=+15.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.71 | Chg30d=+1.55% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=-2.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%