Overview Dividends

(YPF) YPF Sociedad Anonima - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Argentina • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9842451000

Crude, Gasoline, Diesel, Asphalt, Lubricants

YPF EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -12.20%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -15.6%

YPF Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -84.53%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -33.5%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	49.4%
Value at Risk 5%th	72.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-11.10%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.60
Alpha	13.91

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.357
Beta	1.201
Beta Downside	1.545

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	48.79%
Mean DD	13.99%
Median DD	11.01%

Description: YPF YPF Sociedad Anonima October 31, 2025

YPF Sociedad Anónima (NYSE: YPF) is Argentina’s largest integrated energy firm, operating across the full oil-and-gas value chain. Upstream, it explores, develops and produces crude oil and natural gas; downstream, it runs refineries, petrochemical plants, and a nationwide retail network of service stations. Its gas-and-power segment handles natural-gas transport, regasification, processing, and power generation, while ancillary businesses supply diesel, fertilizers, lubricants and other specialty products.

Key recent metrics that shape YPF’s outlook include: • 2023 crude-oil production of roughly 500 k barrels per day, a modest rise from 2022 despite currency volatility. • Net profit of $1.2 bn (≈ ARS 130 bn) in 2023, driven by higher oil prices and a temporary lift in regulated gas tariffs. • Debt-to-EBITDA around 2.8×, indicating a relatively leveraged balance sheet but still within the range of regional peers. • Capital-expenditure guidance of $1.5 bn for 2024, focused on expanding the Vaca Muerta shale-oil development and modernising refinery capacity. Macro-drivers such as Argentina’s persistent peso inflation, government price-control policies on fuel, and the country’s reliance on energy imports make YPF’s cash-flow highly sensitive to fiscal and exchange-rate swings.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of YPF’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful as a next step.

YPF Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	15,552m
Sub-Industry	Integrated Oil & Gas
IPO / Inception	1993-06-28
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-4.29%
Analyst Rating	4.08 of 5

YPF Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

YPF Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	74.75%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	1.53
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	5.34
Current Volume	3314.4k
Average Volume	2522.9k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5

Net Income (-239.19b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 569.67b TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -452.2pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -27.58% (prev -0.01%; Δ -27.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1688.70b > Net Income -239.19b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (14399.93b) to EBITDA (949.64b) ratio: 15.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (388.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.90% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 23.30% (prev 33.07%; Δ -9.76pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 46.51% (prev 52.9k%; Δ -52.9kpp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.38 (EBITDA TTM 949.64b / Interest Expense TTM 513.25b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.32

(A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 7729.08b - Total Current Liabilities 10347.75b) / Total Assets 40796.35b

(B) 0.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.15b / Total Assets 40796.35b

(D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 16051.43b / Total Liabilities 24744.92b

Total Rating: 0.32 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 36.82

1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50

2. FCF Yield 0.58% = 0.29

3. FCF Margin 2.19% = 0.55

4. Debt/Equity 0.97 = 2.05

5. Debt/Ebitda 15.16 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.43)% = -6.79

7. RoE -5.95% = -0.99

8. Rev. Trend -33.51% = -2.51

9. EPS Trend -15.57% = -0.78

What is the price of YPF shares?

As of November 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 38.67 with a total of 3,314,400 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.92%, over one month by +46.59%, over three months by +14.61% and over the past year by +10.68%.

Is YPF Sociedad Anonima a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 36.82 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of YPF is around 54.45 USD . This means that YPF is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +40.81% (Margin of Safety).

Is YPF a buy, sell or hold?

YPF Sociedad Anonima has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.08. Therefore, it is recommended to buy YPF.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 3
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the YPF price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	43.4	12.3%
Analysts Target Price	43.4	12.3%
ValueRay Target Price	59.4	53.6%

YPF Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap ARS = 21826.53b (15.55b USD * 1403.49 USD.ARS)
P/E Forward = 7.9872
P/S = 0.0007
P/B = 1.3045
P/EG = -0.17
Beta = 0.279
Revenue TTM = 9494.45b ARS
EBIT TTM = 194.75b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 949.64b ARS
Long Term Debt = 7.96b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4089.43b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15502.31b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14399.93b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 35927.07b ARS (21826.53b + Debt 15502.31b - CCE 1401.78b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.38 (Ebit TTM 194.75b / Interest Expense TTM 513.25b)
FCF Yield = 0.58% (FCF TTM 208.31b / Enterprise Value 35927.07b)
FCF Margin = 2.19% (FCF TTM 208.31b / Revenue TTM 9494.45b)
Net Margin = -2.52% (Net Income TTM -239.19b / Revenue TTM 9494.45b)
Gross Margin = 23.30% ((Revenue TTM 9494.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7281.80b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.52% (prev 25.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 35927.07b / Total Assets 40796.35b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 257.0m / Debt 15502.31b)
Taxrate = 158.4% (out of range, set to none) (537.0m / 339.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 7729.08b / Total Current Liabilities 10347.75b)
Debt / Equity = 0.97 (Debt 15502.31b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 16051.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.16 (Net Debt 14399.93b / EBITDA 949.64b)
Debt / FCF = 69.13 (Net Debt 14399.93b / FCF TTM 208.31b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4021.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.59% (Net Income -239.19b / Total Assets 40796.35b)
RoE = -5.95% (Net Income TTM -239.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 4021.61b)
RoCE = 4.83% (EBIT 194.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 4021.61b + L.T.Debt 7.96b))
RoIC = 0.67% (EBIT 194.75b / (Assets 40796.35b - Curr.Liab 10347.75b - Cash 1401.78b))
WACC = 6.10% (E(21826.53b)/V(37328.84b) * Re(10.44%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 10.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.75% ; FCFE base≈177.06b ; Y1≈195.18b ; Y5≈251.62b
Fair Price DCF = 7531 (DCF Value 2955.11b / Shares Outstanding 392.4m; 5y FCF grow 11.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -15.57 | EPS CAGR: -12.20% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -33.51 | Revenue CAGR: -84.53% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for YPF Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle