(YUM) Yum! Brands - Ratings and Ratios
Chicken, Pizza, Burgers, Mexican
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.85% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.84% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.27% |
| Payout Consistency | 51.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 47.9% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | 8.13 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.384 |
| Beta | 0.330 |
| Beta Downside | 0.432 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.88% |
| Mean DD | 6.25% |
| Median DD | 5.94% |
Description: YUM Yum! Brands December 04, 2025
Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) develops, operates, and franchises quick-service restaurants worldwide through four primary divisions-KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill-covering chicken, char-grilled burgers, Mexican-style fare, and pizza. The company, originally incorporated in 1997 as TRICON Global Restaurants, rebranded to Yum! Brands in 2002 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Key operational metrics as of the latest quarter include a 3.2% same-store sales growth in the U.S. system-wide segment and a 68% franchisee-owned restaurant mix, which cushions capital intensity. The business is sensitive to commodity prices (notably chicken and beef) and labor cost inflation, while emerging-market expansion-particularly in China and India-remains a primary growth driver, accounting for roughly 30% of total restaurant count.
For a deeper dive into Yum! Brands’ valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a data-rich view worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.45b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 483.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.22 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.20% (prev 6.08%; Δ 5.12pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.91b > Net Income 1.45b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.51b) to EBITDA (2.69b) ratio: 3.91 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (281.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.40% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.17% (prev 48.57%; Δ -2.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 118.1% (prev 111.8%; Δ 6.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.01 (EBITDA TTM 2.69b / Interest Expense TTM 498.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.51
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 2.20b - Total Current Liabilities 1.30b) / Total Assets 7.19b |
| (B) -1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -7.18b / Total Assets 7.19b |
| (C) 0.37 = EBIT TTM 2.50b / Avg Total Assets 6.83b |
| (D) -0.51 = Book Value of Equity -7.50b / Total Liabilities 14.70b |
| Total Rating: -0.51 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 69.40
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.92% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.54 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 43.19)% |
| 7. RoE -18.89% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.89% |
| 9. EPS Trend 81.25% |
What is the price of YUM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.33%, over one month by +0.11%, over three months by +0.83% and over the past year by +14.87%.
Is YUM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 21
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 165.6 | 8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 165.6 | 8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 166.8 | 8.8% |
YUM Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.3262
P/E Forward = 23.1481
P/S = 5.3481
P/EG = 1.9283
Beta = 0.668
Revenue TTM = 8.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.50b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.69b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.51b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 53.62b USD (43.11b + Debt 11.55b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.01 (Ebit TTM 2.50b / Interest Expense TTM 498.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.92% (FCF TTM 1.57b / Enterprise Value 53.62b)
FCF Margin = 19.43% (FCF TTM 1.57b / Revenue TTM 8.06b)
Net Margin = 17.95% (Net Income TTM 1.45b / Revenue TTM 8.06b)
Gross Margin = 46.17% ((Revenue TTM 8.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.34b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.02% (prev 46.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.45 (Enterprise Value 53.62b / Total Assets 7.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 124.0m / Debt 11.55b)
Taxrate = 26.62% (144.0m / 541.0m)
NOPAT = 1.83b (EBIT 2.50b * (1 - 26.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.69 (Total Current Assets 2.20b / Total Current Liabilities 1.30b)
Debt / Equity = -1.54 (negative equity) (Debt 11.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.91 (Net Debt 10.51b / EBITDA 2.69b)
Debt / FCF = 6.71 (Net Debt 10.51b / FCF TTM 1.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.12% (Net Income 1.45b / Total Assets 7.19b)
RoE = -18.89% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.45b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.66b)
RoCE = 64.86% (EBIT 2.50b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.66b + L.T.Debt 11.51b))
RoIC = 49.06% (NOPAT 1.83b / Invested Capital 3.73b)
WACC = 5.87% (E(43.11b)/V(54.67b) * Re(7.23%) + D(11.55b)/V(54.67b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.34% ; FCFE base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.60b ; Y5≈1.97b
Fair Price DCF = 123.9 (DCF Value 34.39b / Shares Outstanding 277.7m; 5y FCF grow 8.67% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 81.25 | EPS CAGR: 12.38% | SUE: 1.18 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 46.89 | Revenue CAGR: 1.25% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=22
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.66 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+9.9% | Growth Revenue=+9.1%
Additional Sources for YUM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle