YUM Stock Analysis: Yum! Brands | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 37.587m USD | 12M Return: -2.5% | US9884981013 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 327M
EPS Trend: 94.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick service restaurant (QSR) operator and franchisor headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, with operations spanning the United States, China, and other international markets. The company organizes its business into four reporting segments-KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division-each aligned with its core brands: KFC (chicken), Pizza Hut (pizza), Taco Bell (Mexican-style food), and The Habit Burger & Grill (chargrilled burgers and sandwiches). Yum! Brands was incorporated in 1997 under the former name TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc., adopting its current name in May 2002, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker YUM. As a large-cap Consumer Discretionary stock in the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, the company primarily generates revenue through a heavily franchised business model, which is typical of the global QSR sector and tends to emphasize royalty income and asset-light operations over direct restaurant ownership.
- KFC same-store sales growth in China accelerates
- Digital and delivery partnerships expand margin profile
- Taco Bell US same-store sales momentum sustains category outperformance
| Net Income: 2.22b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.87 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.08% < 20% (prev -5.10%; Δ -14.98% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 2.08b > Net Income 2.22b |
| Net Debt (13.0b) to EBITDA (2.94b): 4.43 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.59 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (279.0m) vs 12m ago -0.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.80% > 18% (prev 46.25%; Δ -0.45% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 111.8% > 50% (prev 114.3%; Δ -2.48% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.27 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 513.0m) |
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 2.54b - Total Current Liabilities 4.29b) / Total Assets 8.68b |
| B: -0.78 (Retained Earnings -6.81b / Total Assets 8.68b) |
| C: 0.35 (EBIT TTM 2.71b / Avg Total Assets 7.80b) |
| D: -0.45 (Book Value of Equity -7.11b / Total Liabilities 15.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.02 = D |
| DSRI: 0.69 (Receivables 623.0m/813.0m, Revenue 8.72b/7.91b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 46.25% / 45.80%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 8.72b / 7.91b) |
| TATA: 0.02 (NI 2.22b - CFO 2.08b) / TA 8.68b) |
| Beneish M = -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 140.35 with a total of 2,335,845 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.94%, over one month by -5.65%, over three months by -15.78% and over the past year by -2.48%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 136.00 (which is 3.1% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Yum! Brands has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefore, it is recommended to hold YUM.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 21
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 173.1 | 23.3% |
P/E Trailing = 17.4121
P/E Forward = 20.4499
P/S = 4.3094
P/B = 212.0838
P/EG = 1.7545
Revenue TTM = 8.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.81b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.7b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.43b
Net Debt = 13.0b USD (calculated: Debt 13.7b - CCE 674.0m)
Enterprise Value = 50.6b USD (37.6b + Debt 13.7b - CCE 674.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.27 (Ebit TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 513.0m)
EV/FCF = 30.15x (Enterprise Value 50.6b / FCF TTM 1.68b)
FCF Yield = 3.32% (FCF TTM 1.68b / Enterprise Value 50.6b)
FCF Margin = 19.25% (FCF TTM 1.68b / Revenue TTM 8.72b)
Net Margin = 25.42% (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Revenue TTM 8.72b)
Gross Margin = 45.80% ((Revenue TTM 8.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.26% (prev 44.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.83 (Enterprise Value 50.6b / Total Assets 8.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.74% (Interest Expense 513.0m / Debt 13.7b)
Taxrate = 24.94% (518.0m / 2.08b)
NOPAT = 2.03b (EBIT 2.71b * (1 - 24.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.59 (Total Current Assets 2.54b / Total Current Liabilities 4.29b)
Debt / Equity = -1.93 (negative equity) (Debt 13.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.43 (Net Debt 13.0b / EBITDA 2.94b)
Debt / FCF = 7.76 (Net Debt 13.0b / FCF TTM 1.68b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.42% (Net Income 2.22b / Total Assets 8.68b)
RoE = -30.35% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.22b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.30b)
RoCE = 125.5% (EBIT 2.71b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.30b + L.T.Debt 9.46b))
RoIC = 30.02% (NOPAT 2.03b / Invested Capital 6.77b)
WACC = 5.64% (E(37.6b)/V(51.3b) * Re(6.67%) + D(13.7b)/V(51.3b) * Rd(3.74%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.99 | Cagr: -1.10%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.58% ; FCFF base≈1.62b ; Y1≈1.75b ; Y5≈2.16b
[DCF] Fair Price = 73.25 (EV 33.0b - Net Debt 13.0b = Equity 20.0b / Shares 272.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 9.31% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.83 | EPS CAGR: 8.74% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.62 | Revenue CAGR: 8.72% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.48 | Chg30d=-6.68% | Revisions=-85% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.39 | Chg30d=-3.59% | Revisions=-82% | GrowthEPS=+5.6% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.92 | Chg30d=-7.19% | Revisions=+7% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=-1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=6, down=36)