(YUM) Yum! Brands - Ratings and Ratios
Chicken, Pizza, Burger, Mexican
YUM EPS (Earnings per Share)
YUM Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 31.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.83% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 |
| Alpha | 5.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.394 |
| Beta | 0.363 |
| Beta Downside | 0.490 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.88% |
| Mean DD | 6.08% |
| Median DD | 5.67% |
Description: YUM Yum! Brands September 29, 2025
Yum! Brands, Inc. (NYSE:YUM) is a global quick-service restaurant (QSR) franchisor that operates four distinct brand divisions-KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hub, and Habit Burger & Grill-covering chicken, Mexican-style, pizza, and char-grilled burger categories. The firm owns the brand trademarks but primarily generates revenue through franchise fees, royalties, and supply-chain services, while a minority of locations remain company-owned.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal quarter (Q2 2024) show comparable-store sales growth of 6.1% year-over-year, driven largely by a 9% increase in international markets where emerging-economy exposure is expanding. The franchise-related revenue stream contributed $1.2 billion, representing roughly 55% of total revenue, underscoring the capital-light nature of the business model.
Economic drivers that materially affect Yum! include global consumer discretionary spending trends, commodity price volatility (especially chicken and beef), and foreign-exchange fluctuations given the company’s heavy exposure to emerging markets (≈45% of sales). A sector-wide baseline is a modest 2–3% annual growth in QSR traffic, but Yum!’s diversified menu mix and strong brand recognition position it to capture a disproportionate share of that incremental demand.
For investors seeking a data-rich, forward-looking assessment of Yum!’s valuation dynamics, a deeper dive on ValueRay’s platform can surface scenario-based models and peer-adjusted multiples that go beyond headline metrics.
YUM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 41,386m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 1997-09-17 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -3.06% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.48 of 5 |
YUM Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.88% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.93% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.27% |
| Payout Consistency | 41.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 47.2% |
YUM Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 8.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.46 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.36 |
| Current Volume | 1955k |
| Average Volume | 1955k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.43b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 474.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.22 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 11.42% (prev 6.08%; Δ 5.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.91b > Net Income 1.43b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.51b) to EBITDA (2.65b) ratio: 3.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.69 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (285.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 46.26% (prev 48.57%; Δ -2.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 115.8% (prev 111.8%; Δ 4.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.96 (EBITDA TTM 2.65b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.55
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 2.20b - Total Current Liabilities 1.30b) / Total Assets 7.19b |
| (B) -1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -7.18b / Total Assets 7.19b |
| (C) 0.36 = EBIT TTM 2.45b / Avg Total Assets 6.83b |
| (D) -0.51 = Book Value of Equity -7.50b / Total Liabilities 14.70b |
| Total Rating: -0.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.56
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.02% = 1.51 |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.80% = 4.95 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.54 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.97 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 45.52)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -18.70% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 24.66% = 1.85 |
| 9. EPS Trend 55.00% = 2.75 |
What is the price of YUM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.07%, over one month by +3.50%, over three months by +2.03% and over the past year by +11.11%.
Is Yum! Brands a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of YUM is around 148.95 USD . This means that YUM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.05%.
Is YUM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 21
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the YUM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 164.6 | 10.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 164.6 | 10.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 162.3 | 8.9% |
YUM Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 29.0682
P/E Forward = 22.779
P/S = 5.1341
P/EG = 1.9505
Beta = 0.678
Revenue TTM = 7.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.45b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.65b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 48.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.51b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 51.90b USD (41.39b + Debt 11.55b - CCE 1.04b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.96 (Ebit TTM 2.45b / Interest Expense TTM 494.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.02% (FCF TTM 1.57b / Enterprise Value 51.90b)
FCF Margin = 19.80% (FCF TTM 1.57b / Revenue TTM 7.91b)
Net Margin = 18.11% (Net Income TTM 1.43b / Revenue TTM 7.91b)
Gross Margin = 46.26% ((Revenue TTM 7.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.43% (prev 46.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.21 (Enterprise Value 51.90b / Total Assets 7.19b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.04% (Interest Expense 120.0m / Debt 11.55b)
Taxrate = 23.90% (120.0m / 502.0m)
NOPAT = 1.87b (EBIT 2.45b * (1 - 23.90%))
Current Ratio = 1.69 (Total Current Assets 2.20b / Total Current Liabilities 1.30b)
Debt / Equity = -1.54 (negative equity) (Debt 11.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.50b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.97 (Net Debt 10.51b / EBITDA 2.65b)
Debt / FCF = 6.71 (Net Debt 10.51b / FCF TTM 1.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.91% (Net Income 1.43b / Total Assets 7.19b)
RoE = -18.70% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.43b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.66b)
RoCE = 68.34% (EBIT 2.45b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.66b + L.T.Debt 11.25b))
RoIC = 51.45% (NOPAT 1.87b / Invested Capital 3.63b)
WACC = 5.93% (E(41.39b)/V(52.94b) * Re(7.36%) + D(11.55b)/V(52.94b) * Rd(1.04%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.34% ; FCFE base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.60b ; Y5≈1.97b
Fair Price DCF = 123.9 (DCF Value 34.39b / Shares Outstanding 277.5m; 5y FCF grow 8.67% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 55.00 | EPS CAGR: 7.05% | SUE: 1.18 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 24.66 | Revenue CAGR: -3.59% | SUE: -3.49 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for YUM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle