(ZTO) ZTO Express (Cayman) - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US98980A1051

ZTO: Express, Delivery, Freight, Logistics

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as a leading express delivery and logistics services provider in China, specializing in high-volume express delivery solutions for e-commerce platforms, traditional merchants, and individual users. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company has established a robust network across China, leveraging its extensive infrastructure to ensure efficient and reliable delivery services. ZTOs offerings include freight forwarding, last-mile delivery, and value-added logistics services, catering to the growing demands of Chinas e-commerce sector and beyond.

ZTO Express (NYSE: ZTO) is listed on the New York Stock Exchange as a common stock, representing a key player in the Air Freight & Logistics industry under the GICS classification. The companys market capitalization stands at approximately $15.22 billion USD, reflecting its significant scale and market presence. With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.97 and a forward P/E of 9.68, ZTO exhibits a valuation profile that suggests moderate growth expectations. Its price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.79 and price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.34 further highlight its financial health and operational efficiency. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 15.75% underscores its ability to generate profits from shareholder equity.

Over the next three months, ZTOs stock price is expected to remain range-bound, with technical indicators suggesting a potential consolidation phase. The SMA 20 of 18.65 and SMA 50 of 19.25 indicate a narrowing gap between short-term and medium-term moving averages, signaling a possible breakout or breakdown depending on market sentiment. The SMA 200 of 20.12 provides a longer-term support level, suggesting that any downward movement may be limited. The average true range (ATR) of 0.74 reflects moderate volatility, which could amplify price movements in either direction.

From a fundamental perspective, ZTOs strong market position and stable financial metrics position it well to capitalize on Chinas growing e-commerce and logistics demand. The forward P/E of 9.68 suggests that investors anticipate continued earnings growth, supported by the companys expanding service offerings and operational efficiency. However, any potential macroeconomic headwinds or industry-specific challenges could impact short-term performance. Overall, ZTOs stock is expected to trade within a narrow range, with upside potential driven by earnings outperformance and downside risks mitigated by its strong financial fundamentals.

Additional Sources for ZTO Stock

ZTO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 15,220m
Sector Industrials
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
GiC Sub-Industry Air Freight & Logistics
IPO / Inception 2016-10-27

ZTO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -50.0
Fundamental 89.3
Dividend Rating 61.0
Rel. Strength 2.7
Analysts 4.62/5
Fair Price Momentum 17.40 USD
Fair Price DCF 354.75 USD

ZTO Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 3.61%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.64%
Annual Growth 5y 26.45%
Payout Consistency 96.8%

ZTO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -3.2%
Growth Correlation 12m -46.5%
Growth Correlation 5y -82.7%
CAGR 5y -6.37%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.11
Sharpe Ratio 12m -0.80
Alpha -14.79
Beta 0.578
Volatility 43.99%
Current Volume 1525.1k
Average Volume 20d 2269.9k
What is the price of ZTO stocks?
As of April 28, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 19.07 with a total of 1,525,076 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.71%, over one month by -1.86%, over three months by +2.22% and over the past year by -6.80%.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) a good stock to buy?
Yes, based on ValueRay Fundamental Analyses, ZTO Express (Cayman) (NYSE:ZTO) is currently (April 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 89.26 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of ZTO as of April 2025 is 17.40. This means that ZTO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -8.76%.
Is ZTO a buy, sell or hold?
ZTO Express (Cayman) has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62. Therefor, it is recommend to buy ZTO.
  • Strong Buy: 15
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecast for ZTO stock price target?
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) will be worth about 19 in April 2026. The stock is currently trading at 19.07. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -0.21%.
Issuer Forecast Upside
Wallstreet Target Price 25.9 35.9%
Analysts Target Price 38.1 99.8%
ValueRay Target Price 19 -0.2%