(IOCT) Innovator s Trust - - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE ARCA • Country: USA • Currency: USD • Type: Etf • ISIN: US45782C6315 • Defined Outcome
IOCT: Stocks, Options, International, Equities
The Innovator International Developed Power Buffer ETF - July (NYSE ARCA: IOCT) is a defined outcome ETF designed to provide investors with exposure to international developed markets while incorporating a buffer against potential losses. The fund primarily invests in FLEX Options, which are customizable exchange-traded options contracts that reference the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF. These options allow the fund to seek returns tied to the performance of the MSCI EAFE Index, while also aiming to limit downside exposure. The fund invests at least 80% of its net assets in these FLEX Options, which are guaranteed for settlement by the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC). However, like all financial instruments, FLEX Options carry risks, including counterparty risk with the OCC and potentially lower liquidity compared to traditional exchange-traded options. The fund is classified as non-diversified, meaning it may concentrate its investments in a smaller number of securities, which can increase volatility.
As a buffer ETF, IOCT is structured to provide a specific outcome over a defined period, typically one year. The Power Buffer aspect of the fund means it seeks to combine a downside buffer with the potential for enhanced returns. This is achieved through the use of FLEX Options, which are tailored to meet the funds investment objectives. The funds strategy is designed for investors seeking international equity exposure with a risk management component, particularly during periods of market uncertainty. The iShares MSCI EAFE ETF, which the fund references, tracks the performance of equities in developed markets outside the U.S. and Canada, providing diversification across regions such as Europe, Asia, and Australia.
From a structural perspective, the fund operates with a defined outcome period that resets annually. During this period, the fund seeks to provide a buffer against the first 9-15% of losses for the referenced index, while also offering the potential for growth up to a predetermined cap. This structure makes it appealing to investors who want to participate in international markets but are wary of significant downside risk. The funds use of FLEX Options allows for precise customization of the terms, including strike prices and expiration dates, to align with its stated objectives. However, the complexity of these instruments and the funds reliance on derivatives mean that it may not be suitable for all investors, particularly those without a solid understanding of options strategies.
3-Month Forecast
Based on the provided data, IOCT is expected to maintain a stable to slightly bullish trajectory over the next three months. The funds short-term moving averages (SMA 20: 30.47, SMA 50: 29.92) suggest a bullish crossover, indicating potential upward momentum. The SMA 200 (29.86) provides longer-term support, suggesting a floor near current levels. The Average True Range (ATR: 0.17) indicates low volatility, which aligns with the funds risk-managed approach. With assets under management (AUM) at $106.38M, the fund has a moderate scale, which supports liquidity but may limit upside potential due to its buffer structure. Overall, IOCT is likely to trade within a narrow range, with a potential upside of 2-4% over the next three months, driven by its defined outcome strategy and the performance of the underlying MSCI EAFE Index.
Additional Sources for IOCT ETF
Tweets: X Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma Stockcircle
IOCT ETF Overview
Market Cap in USD | 111m |
Category | Defined Outcome |
TER | 0.85% |
IPO / Inception | 2021-09-30 |
IOCT ETF Ratings
Growth 5y | 51.6% |
Fundamental | - |
Dividend | 0.0% |
Rel. Strength Industry | -2.4 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 29.40 USD |
Fair Price DCF | - |
IOCT Dividends
No Dividends PaidIOCT Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 90.2% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 64.1% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 86.8% |
CAGR 5y | 6.50% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.38 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.66 |
Alpha | 1.49 |
Beta | 0.36 |
Volatility | 9.75% |
Current Volume | 128.8k |
Average Volume 20d | 34k |
As of March 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 31.04 with a total of 128,838 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.23%, over one month by +1.46%, over three months by +4.58% and over the past year by +8.04%.
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay Analyses, Innovator s Trust - (NYSE ARCA:IOCT) is currently (March 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a Growth Technical Rating of 51.55 and therefor an somewhat technical positive rating according to historical growth.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of IOCT as of March 2025 is 29.40. This means that IOCT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.28%.
Innovator s Trust - has no consensus analysts rating.
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, IOCT Innovator s Trust - will be worth about 32.3 in March 2026. The stock is currently trading at 31.04. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +3.96%.
Issuer | Forecast | Upside |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 32.3 | 4% |