(MVRL) ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE ARCA • Country: USA • Currency: USD • Type: Etf • ISIN: US90269A3445 • Trading--Leveraged Equity
MVRL: Mortgage, REITs, Stocks, Securities, Bonds, Finances
The ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN (MVRL) is designed to provide leveraged exposure to the performance of publicly-traded mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) in the United States. The underlying index tracks companies that derive at least 50% of their revenues from mortgage-related activities, such as originating, servicing, or investing in mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities. The ETN applies a 1.5x leverage factor, amplifying both potential gains and losses, and rebalances monthly to maintain the leverage ratio. This product is structured as a senior unsecured debt note issued by UBS, with a maturity date of December 1, 2044.
From a technical perspective, MVRL has shown moderate volatility, with an Average True Range (ATR) of 0.45 over the last 20 days. The ETN is currently trading above its 20-day moving average (17.13) but slightly below its 50-day moving average (16.26). The 200-day moving average (16.05) indicates a sideways trend over the longer term. With an average daily volume of 12,385 shares, liquidity is relatively low, which may result in wider bid-ask spreads during periods of high market stress.
From a fundamental perspective, MVRL offers exposure to the mortgage REIT sector, which is highly sensitive to interest rate changes and macroeconomic conditions. The sector has faced challenges due to rising interest rates and tighter credit spreads, which have impacted the net interest margins of mortgage REITs. However, the ETNs leverage factor may amplify returns in a favorable interest rate environment. The fund has assets under management (AUM) of $25.72 million, indicating a relatively small pool of capital.
Over the next three months, MVRL is expected to remain sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and broader market sentiment. Based on the current technical and fundamental data:
- The 20-day SMA (17.13) and 50-day SMA (16.26) suggest potential support levels at 16.05 (200-day SMA) and resistance at 17.50.
- The ATR of 0.45 indicates that price fluctuations may remain moderate, with potential short-term price ranges between 16.96 and 17.86.
- The AUM of $25.72 million may limit the ETNs liquidity, potentially leading to volatility during periods of high trading volume.
- Volume is expected to remain low, averaging around 12,385 shares per day, unless broader market conditions drive increased interest in the mortgage REIT sector.
Additional Sources for MVRL ETF
Tweets: X Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma Stockcircle
MVRL ETF Overview
Market Cap in USD | 26m |
Category | Trading--Leveraged Equity |
IPO / Inception | 2020-06-02 |
MVRL ETF Ratings
Growth 5y | 11.8% |
Fundamental | - |
Dividend | 75.7% |
Rel. Strength Industry | 2.24 |
Analysts | - |
Fair Price Momentum | 17.75 USD |
Fair Price DCF | - |
MVRL Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 17.83% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 22.83% |
Annual Growth 5y | 6.19% |
Payout Consistency | 89.1% |
MVRL Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 76.6% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 63.6% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -35.8% |
CAGR 5y | 5.73% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.10 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.52 |
Alpha | 2.20 |
Beta | 1.05 |
Volatility | 30.13% |
Current Volume | 3.7k |
Average Volume 20d | 6.4k |
As of March 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 16.43 with a total of 3,700 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.02%, over one month by -2.64%, over three months by +2.07% and over the past year by +10.66%.
Neither. Based on ValueRay Analyses, ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X is currently (March 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of 11.84 and therefor a technical neutral rating according to historical growth.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of MVRL as of March 2025 is 17.75. This means that MVRL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.03%.
ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X has no consensus analysts rating.
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, MVRL ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X will be worth about 19.8 in March 2026. The stock is currently trading at 16.43. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +20.63%.
Issuer | Forecast | Upside |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
Analysts Target Price | - | - |
ValueRay Target Price | 19.8 | 20.6% |