(EPM) Evolution Petroleum - Overview

Exchange: NYSE MKT • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US30049A1079

Stock: Oil, Gas, Onshore

Total Rating 24

Risk 69

Buy Signal -0.79

Oil & Gas E&P » Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Age: 29.8y

Market Cap: 138m
Avg Trading Vol: 1.17M USD

ATR: 3.21%
Peers RS (IBD): 8.82

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -38.40%
EPS Trend: -73.7%

Last SUE: -0.06
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -1.28%
Rev. Trend: -55.7%

Last SUE: -0.43
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	10.40%
Yield on Cost 5y	20.08%
Yield CAGR 5y	20.19%
Payout Consistency	90.3%
Payout Ratio	6.9%

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	35.2%
Relative Tail Risk	1.81%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.30
Alpha	-25.51

Character TTM
Beta	0.698
Beta Downside	1.061

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	59.45%
CAGR/Max DD	-0.10

Description: EPM Evolution Petroleum January 02, 2026

Evolution Petroleum Corporation (NYSE MKT:EPM) is a Houston-based energy firm founded in 2003 that focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of on-shore oil and gas assets across the United States.

According to its most recent Form 10-K (assumed FY 2023), the company reported an average daily production of roughly 5,000 boe/d, with a cash-flow conversion rate of about 75 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.1×, indicating moderate leverage for a small-cap E&P player. Key economic drivers include U.S. crude price volatility (WTI ± $5 / bbl swing can move earnings by ± 15 %), the pace of capital spending in the Permian and Eagle Ford basins, and the broader macro-trend of tightening global oil supply as OPEC+ maintains output cuts.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of EPM’s valuation dynamics, you may find the ValueRay platform useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income: 232.0k TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.10 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -6.30% < 20% (prev 9.80%; Δ -16.11% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 33.2m > Net Income 232.0k
Net Debt (-714.0k) to EBITDA (25.5m): -0.03 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.70 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.0m) vs 12m ago 3.37% < -2%
Gross Margin: 21.50% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ 2129 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 52.12% > 50% (prev 55.19%; Δ -3.07% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.06 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 25.5m / Interest Expense TTM 3.05m)

Altman Z'' 0.57

A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 12.5m - Total Current Liabilities 17.9m) / Total Assets 169.1m
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 21.8m / Total Assets 169.1m)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 3.23m / Avg Total Assets 163.5m)
D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 21.8m / Total Liabilities 100.0m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.57 = B

Beneish M -4.00

DSRI: 0.04 (Receivables 402.0k/10.9m, Revenue 85.2m/87.2m)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 21.50% / 21.71%)
AQI: 0.60 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 85.2m / 87.2m)
TATA: -0.20 (NI 232.0k - CFO 33.2m) / TA 169.1m)
Beneish M-Score: -4.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA

What is the price of EPM shares?

As of February 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.12 with a total of 199,683 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.26%, over one month by +22.62%, over three months by -4.62% and over the past year by -15.03%.

Is EPM a buy, sell or hold?

Evolution Petroleum has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EPM.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EPM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	5.1	24.8%
Analysts Target Price	5.1	24.8%
ValueRay Target Price	4.6	12.1%

EPM Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026

P/E Forward = 476.1905
P/S = 1.618
P/B = 1.9746
Revenue TTM = 85.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.23m USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 53.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 66.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 37.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -714.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 174.8m USD (137.9m + Debt 37.6m - CCE 714.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.06 (Ebit TTM 3.23m / Interest Expense TTM 3.05m)
EV/FCF = -28.73x (Enterprise Value 174.8m / FCF TTM -6.08m)
FCF Yield = -3.48% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Enterprise Value 174.8m)
FCF Margin = -7.14% (FCF TTM -6.08m / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Net Margin = 0.27% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Revenue TTM 85.2m)
Gross Margin = 21.50% ((Revenue TTM 85.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 66.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.52% (prev 18.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 174.8m / Total Assets 169.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.41% (Interest Expense 907.0k / Debt 37.6m)
Taxrate = 30.70% (365.0k / 1.19m)
NOPAT = 2.24m (EBIT 3.23m * (1 - 30.70%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.5m / Total Current Liabilities 17.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 37.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 69.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.03 (Net Debt -714.0k / EBITDA 25.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -714.0k / FCF TTM -6.08m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 72.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.14% (Net Income 232.0k / Total Assets 169.1m)
RoE = 0.32% (Net Income TTM 232.0k / Total Stockholder Equity 72.2m)
RoCE = 2.58% (EBIT 3.23m / Capital Employed (Equity 72.2m + L.T.Debt 53.0m))
RoIC = 1.97% (NOPAT 2.24m / Invested Capital 113.6m)
WACC = 7.03% (E(137.9m)/V(175.5m) * Re(8.49%) + D(37.6m)/V(175.5m) * Rd(2.41%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 8.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.08m)
EPS Correlation: -73.68 | EPS CAGR: -38.40% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.28% | SUE: -0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.4%

Additional Sources for EPM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle