(MTA) Metalla Royalty & Streaming - Overview
Stock: Gold, Silver, Copper, Royalties, Streams
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.80 |
| Alpha | 110.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.771 |
| Beta Downside | 0.351 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.65% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.29 |
Description: MTA Metalla Royalty & Streaming December 29, 2025
Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. (NYSE MKT: MTA) is a Vancouver-based royalty and streaming firm that acquires and manages production-based interests in gold, silver and copper projects. Its portfolio spans ten countries-including Canada, Australia, the United States and several Latin-American jurisdictions-and it originated as Excalibur Resources Ltd. before rebranding in December 2016.
Key metrics that investors typically watch: the company reported roughly $30 million of royalty-derived cash flow in 2023, and its market capitalization hovers around $300 million, giving a cash-flow-to-market ratio of about 10 %-a level that is modestly above the sector median. The royalty/streaming model is highly sensitive to commodity price swings; a 5 % rise in the spot gold price historically lifts Metalla’s net cash flow by approximately 3 % due to its high-grade exposure. Additionally, the firm’s geographic diversification reduces country-specific political risk, but it still faces operational risk from the underlying mine operators, especially in jurisdictions with volatile regulatory environments such as Argentina and Tanzania.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Metalla’s valuation assumptions and scenario analyses, a quick look at ValueRay’s model could help you quantify the upside and downside under different price and production assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -2.93m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 115.6% < 20% (prev -29.91%; Δ 145.5% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 2.88m > Net Income -2.93m |
| Net Debt (988.0k) to EBITDA (3.61m): 0.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (94.7m) vs 12m ago 3.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 77.69% > 18% (prev 0.49%; Δ 7719 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 3.90% > 50% (prev 1.88%; Δ 2.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.25 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.61m / Interest Expense TTM 2.03m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 15.1m - Total Current Liabilities 3.00m) / Total Assets 269.0m |
| B: -0.26 (Retained Earnings -70.7m / Total Assets 269.0m) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 507.2k / Avg Total Assets 268.9m) |
| D: 16.21 (Book Value of Equity 253.4m / Total Liabilities 15.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 16.48 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.64
| DSRI: 1.25 (Receivables 3.36m/1.30m, Revenue 10.5m/5.05m) |
| GMI: 0.64 (GM 77.69% / 49.47%) |
| AQI: 0.59 (AQ_t 0.00 / AQ_t-1 0.00) |
| SGI: 2.08 (Revenue 10.5m / 5.05m) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI -2.93m - CFO 2.88m) / TA 269.0m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.64 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of MTA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.00%, over one month by -9.02%, over three months by +17.57% and over the past year by +128.57%.
Is MTA a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9 | 22.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9 | 22.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.1 | 10.2% |
MTA Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/S = 62.1406
P/B = 2.8456
Revenue TTM = 10.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 507.2k USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.61m USD
Long Term Debt = 12.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.39m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 988.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 658.7m USD (655.3m + Debt 14.5m - CCE 11.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.25 (Ebit TTM 507.2k / Interest Expense TTM 2.03m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 658.7m / FCF TTM -215.8k)
FCF Yield = -0.03% (FCF TTM -215.8k / Enterprise Value 658.7m)
FCF Margin = -2.06% (FCF TTM -215.8k / Revenue TTM 10.5m)
Net Margin = -27.91% (Net Income TTM -2.93m / Revenue TTM 10.5m)
Gross Margin = 77.69% ((Revenue TTM 10.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.34m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.42% (prev 79.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 658.7m / Total Assets 269.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.71% (Interest Expense 392.6k / Debt 14.5m)
Taxrate = 37.29% (520.4k / 1.40m)
NOPAT = 318.0k (EBIT 507.2k * (1 - 37.29%))
Current Ratio = 5.04 (Total Current Assets 15.1m / Total Current Liabilities 3.00m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 14.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 253.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (Net Debt 988.0k / EBITDA 3.61m)
Debt / FCF = -4.58 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 988.0k / FCF TTM -215.8k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 252.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.09% (Net Income -2.93m / Total Assets 269.0m)
RoE = -1.16% (Net Income TTM -2.93m / Total Stockholder Equity 252.6m)
RoCE = 0.19% (EBIT 507.2k / Capital Employed (Equity 252.6m + L.T.Debt 12.1m))
RoIC = 0.12% (NOPAT 318.0k / Invested Capital 264.5m)
WACC = 8.61% (E(655.3m)/V(669.8m) * Re(8.76%) + D(14.5m)/V(669.8m) * Rd(2.71%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 8.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.07%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -215.8k)
EPS Correlation: 78.92 | EPS CAGR: 12.91% | SUE: -1.47 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.25 | Revenue CAGR: 52.46% | SUE: -0.91 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.02 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=+0.040 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+125.1%