(SEG) Seaport Entertainment - Overview
Stock: Dining, Retail, Real Estate, Entertainment Events
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 72.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.60 |
| Alpha | -40.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.019 |
| Beta Downside | 1.269 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.49 |
Description: SEG Seaport Entertainment January 01, 2026
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE MKT: SEG) owns, develops, and operates a mixed-use portfolio of entertainment-focused real estate and hospitality assets concentrated in New York City and Las Vegas. The business is organized into three operating segments: (1) Landlord Operations – ownership and management of restaurant, retail, office, entertainment, and residential properties; (2) Hospitality – six dining and nightlife concepts (The Fulton, Mister Dips, Carne Mare, Malibu Farm, Gitano, The Lawn Club) plus the Tin Building mixed-use venue; and (3) Sponsorships, Events & Entertainment – the Las Vegas Aviators Triple-A baseball team, the Las Vegas Ballpark, Air-Rights at Fashion Show Mall, and a suite of event and sponsorship agreements.
Key quantitative drivers to watch include: (i) occupancy and average rent per square foot in the Landlord Operations segment, which historically tracks the health of NYC commercial real-estate cycles; (ii) same-store sales growth and labor cost ratios for the Hospitality venues, which are sensitive to post-pandemic tourism rebounds and discretionary consumer spending; and (iii) attendance and ancillary revenue per fan at the Las Vegas Aviators, a leading indicator of the minor-league baseball market’s contribution to overall earnings. Recent industry data suggest that NYC hospitality RevPAR has risen ~7 % YoY in Q4 2024, while Las Vegas tourism traffic is up 12 % year-over-year, both of which could lift SEG’s top line if the company can capture a proportional share.
Note: the provided GICS sub-industry (“Tires & Rubber”) appears to be a classification error; SEG’s activities align with the “Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure” sector, which has a different risk profile and valuation multiples. Analysts should therefore reference the correct sector benchmarks when modeling.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform aggregates SEG’s financials, peer multiples, and forward-looking metrics in one searchable dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -121.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 202.1% < 20% (prev 23.89%; Δ 178.2% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -26.4m > Net Income -121.5m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 7.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.7m) vs 12m ago 130.4% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 3.19% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 289.1% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 18.73% > 50% (prev 17.83%; Δ 0.89% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -30.66 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -89.2m / Interest Expense TTM 4.06m) |
Altman Z'' -0.21
| A: 0.36 (Total Current Assets 290.7m - Total Current Liabilities 40.5m) / Total Assets 699.1m |
| B: -0.19 (Retained Earnings -131.5m / Total Assets 699.1m) |
| C: -0.19 (EBIT TTM -124.5m / Avg Total Assets 660.9m) |
| D: -0.65 (Book Value of Equity -131.4m / Total Liabilities 203.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.21 = B |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 9.86m/9.35m, Revenue 123.8m/111.1m) |
| GMI: 9.32 (GM 3.19% / 29.71%) |
| AQI: 0.61 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.85) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 123.8m / 111.1m) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI -121.5m - CFO -26.4m) / TA 699.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 4.18 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of SEG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.56%, over one month by -1.09%, over three months by -16.11% and over the past year by -26.15%.
Is SEG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SEG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30 | 50.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30 | 50.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.4 | -13% |
SEG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 0.5046
Revenue TTM = 123.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -124.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -89.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 100.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 156.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 50.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 291.3m USD (240.6m + Debt 156.9m - CCE 106.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -30.66 (Ebit TTM -124.5m / Interest Expense TTM 4.06m)
EV/FCF = -6.55x (Enterprise Value 291.3m / FCF TTM -44.5m)
FCF Yield = -15.26% (FCF TTM -44.5m / Enterprise Value 291.3m)
FCF Margin = -35.92% (FCF TTM -44.5m / Revenue TTM 123.8m)
Net Margin = -98.17% (Net Income TTM -121.5m / Revenue TTM 123.8m)
Gross Margin = 3.19% ((Revenue TTM 123.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 119.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -4.38% (prev 16.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.42 (Enterprise Value 291.3m / Total Assets 699.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.08% (Interest Expense 128.0k / Debt 156.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -98.4m (EBIT -124.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.17 (Total Current Assets 290.7m / Total Current Liabilities 40.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 156.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 485.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.57 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 50.7m / EBITDA -89.2m)
Debt / FCF = -1.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 50.7m / FCF TTM -44.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 524.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -18.38% (Net Income -121.5m / Total Assets 699.1m)
RoE = -23.18% (Net Income TTM -121.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 524.1m)
RoCE = -19.93% (EBIT -124.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 524.1m + L.T.Debt 100.6m))
RoIC = -15.73% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -98.4m / Invested Capital 625.2m)
WACC = 5.88% (E(240.6m)/V(397.5m) * Re(9.67%) + D(156.9m)/V(397.5m) * Rd(0.08%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -6.70%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -44.5m)
EPS Correlation: 96.49 | EPS CAGR: 2044 % | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 27.36 | Revenue CAGR: 56.31% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.97 | Chg30d=+0.110 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.58 | Chg30d=+0.380 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+58.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.1%