(VGZ) Vista Gold - Overview
Exchange: NYSE MKT •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: CA9279263037
Stock: Gold, Exploration, Development, Australia
Total Rating 47
Risk 87
Buy Signal 0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 106% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.87 |
| Alpha | 235.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.356 |
| Beta Downside | -0.378 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 59.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.03 |
Description: VGZ Vista Gold January 18, 2026
Vista Gold Corporation (NYSE MKT: VGZ) is a development-stage gold mining company headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, with its primary asset being the 100 % owned Mt Todd gold project in the Northern Territory of Australia.
Mt Todd’s latest NI 43-101 resource (released 2023) reports approximately 2.5 million ounces of gold in the indicated and inferred categories, and the company is targeting a 2025-2026 initial production start-up. Recent financing rounds have raised US$25 million to fund drilling and permitting, while the project benefits from Australia’s stable mining policy framework and a low-cost, open-pit mining model that is highly sensitive to gold price movements (a $100 increase in spot price could lift the internal rate of return by roughly 5 %).
For a deeper dive into VGZ’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s data platform worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -7.41m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.45 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -16.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.0k% < 20% (prev 30.1k%; Δ -14.2k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.41 > 3% & CFO -6.57m > Net Income -7.41m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 12.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (125.4m) vs 12m ago 2.47% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -1.97% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ -213.2% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.44% > 50% (prev 0.30%; Δ 0.15% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -27.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -7.61m / Interest Expense TTM -279.0k) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.81 (Total Current Assets 13.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.13m) / Total Assets 15.9m |
| B: -29.39 (Retained Earnings -465.9m / Total Assets 15.9m) |
| C: -0.43 (EBIT TTM -7.69m / Avg Total Assets 18.0m) |
| D: 12.24 (Book Value of Equity 14.7m / Total Liabilities 1.20m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -80.54 = D |
What is the price of VGZ shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.37 with a total of 1,541,256 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.28%, over one month by +12.32%, over three months by +47.20% and over the past year by +245.99%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.28%, over one month by +12.32%, over three months by +47.20% and over the past year by +245.99%.
Is VGZ a buy, sell or hold?
Vista Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy VGZ.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the VGZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3 | 26.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3 | 26.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.6 | 9.3% |
VGZ Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 6.7476
P/B = 23.7659
Revenue TTM = 80.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -7.69m USD
EBITDA TTM = -7.61m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -13.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 267.7m USD (281.4m + (null Debt) - CCE 13.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -27.57 (Ebit TTM -7.69m / Interest Expense TTM -279.0k)
EV/FCF = -37.51x (Enterprise Value 267.7m / FCF TTM -7.14m)
FCF Yield = -2.67% (FCF TTM -7.14m / Enterprise Value 267.7m)
FCF Margin = -8922 % (FCF TTM -7.14m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Net Margin = -9266 % (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Gross Margin = -1.97% ((Revenue TTM 80.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 81.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.89 (Enterprise Value 267.7m / Total Assets 15.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 11.0k / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.08m (EBIT -7.69m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.35 (Total Current Assets 13.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.13m)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -13.7m / EBITDA -7.61m)
Debt / FCF = 1.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -13.7m / FCF TTM -7.14m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -41.23% (Net Income -7.41m / Total Assets 15.9m)
RoE = -47.80% (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.5m)
RoCE = -52.23% (EBIT -7.69m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 15.9m - Current Liab 1.13m))
RoIC = -39.18% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.08m / Invested Capital 15.5m)
WACC = 7.23% (E(281.4m)/V(281.4m) * Re(7.23%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.75%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.14m)
EPS Correlation: 16.20 | EPS CAGR: 2.43% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.24 | Revenue CAGR: -45.88% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+16.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
P/B = 23.7659
Revenue TTM = 80.0k USD
EBIT TTM = -7.69m USD
EBITDA TTM = -7.61m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = -13.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 267.7m USD (281.4m + (null Debt) - CCE 13.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -27.57 (Ebit TTM -7.69m / Interest Expense TTM -279.0k)
EV/FCF = -37.51x (Enterprise Value 267.7m / FCF TTM -7.14m)
FCF Yield = -2.67% (FCF TTM -7.14m / Enterprise Value 267.7m)
FCF Margin = -8922 % (FCF TTM -7.14m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Net Margin = -9266 % (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Revenue TTM 80.0k)
Gross Margin = -1.97% ((Revenue TTM 80.0k - Cost of Revenue TTM 81.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.89 (Enterprise Value 267.7m / Total Assets 15.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 11.0k / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -6.08m (EBIT -7.69m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.35 (Total Current Assets 13.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.13m)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.80 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -13.7m / EBITDA -7.61m)
Debt / FCF = 1.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -13.7m / FCF TTM -7.14m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -41.23% (Net Income -7.41m / Total Assets 15.9m)
RoE = -47.80% (Net Income TTM -7.41m / Total Stockholder Equity 15.5m)
RoCE = -52.23% (EBIT -7.69m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 15.9m - Current Liab 1.13m))
RoIC = -39.18% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.08m / Invested Capital 15.5m)
WACC = 7.23% (E(281.4m)/V(281.4m) * Re(7.23%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 7.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.75%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -7.14m)
EPS Correlation: 16.20 | EPS CAGR: 2.43% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.24 | Revenue CAGR: -45.88% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+16.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%