CA Stock Analysis: Carrefour | PA

Grocery Stores | PA, France | Market Cap: 11.159m EUR | 12M Return: 32.6% | FR0000120172 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Food Retail, Hypermarkets, E-Commerce, Financial Services
Total Rating 44
Safety 41
Buy Signal 0.02
Grocery Stores
Industry Rotation: -9.5
Market Cap: 12.9B
Avg Turnover: 33.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.3%
VaR 5th Pctl3.76%
VaR vs Median2.77%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.20
Rel. Str. IBD56.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group75
Character TTM
Beta0.019
Beta Downside-0.123
Hurst Exponent0.457
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.17%
CAGR/Max DD0.18
CAGR/Mean DD0.43

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.1% 7
Feb +1.1% 8
Mar -0.2% 5
Apr +1.4% 34
May +0.4% 5
Jun -2.6% 40
Jul -0.5% 5
Aug -0.6% 23
Sep +2.0% 25
Oct +0.8% 14
Nov -0.5% 13
Dec -0.3% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CA Carrefour

Carrefour SA is a French-founded multinational food retailer established in 1959 and headquartered in Massy, France. The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience stores, club stores, and cash-and-carry outlets, alongside a soft discount format and e-commerce platforms across Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. Beyond core grocery retail, Carrefour generates revenue through adjacent activities including financial services, banking, insurance, property development, travel ticketing, shopping mall rentals, and franchise operations.

Carrefour operates within the food retail sub-industry of consumer staples, a sector characterized by high volume, low margin sales and stable, recession-resistant demand. Its multi-format strategy (hypermarkets, supermarkets, discount banners, and online) is a common approach among European grocers seeking to defend market share against hard discount competitors and shifting consumer shopping habits.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • France hypermarket sales decline amid Aldi Lidl price competition
  • Brazil and Latin America operations drive revenue growth
  • E-commerce and convenience store expansion accelerates digital sales
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5
Net Income: 750.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.32 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -3.18% < 20% (prev -2.80%; Δ -0.38% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 3.62b > Net Income 750.0m
Net Debt (15.8b) to EBITDA (4.84b): 3.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.90 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (707.0m) vs 12m ago 3.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 16.61% > 18% (prev 19.38%; Δ -2.77% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 148.9% > 50% (prev 160.1%; Δ -11.16% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 599.0m)
Beneish M -2.84
DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 8.18b/8.05b, Revenue 81.7b/88.4b)
GMI: 1.17 (GM 19.38% / 16.61%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 81.7b / 88.4b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 750.0m - CFO 3.62b) / TA 54.4b)
Beneish M = -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of CA shares?

As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 15.76 with a total of 1,503,977 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.88%, over one month by -3.92%, over three months by +0.40% and over the past year by +32.62%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.30 (which is 2.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is CA a buy, sell or hold?

Carrefour has no consensus analysts rating.

Carrefour (CA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 12.9b (11.2b EUR * 1.1541 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.1308
P/E Forward = 8.7642
P/S = 0.1319
P/B = 1.0084
P/EG = 0.5307
Revenue TTM = 81.7b EUR
EBIT TTM = 3.06b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.84b EUR
Long Term Debt = 7.58b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.46b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.97b
Net Debt = 15.8b EUR (calculated: Debt 21.1b - CCE 5.29b)
Enterprise Value = 26.9b EUR (11.2b + Debt 21.1b - CCE 5.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.10 (Ebit TTM 3.06b / Interest Expense TTM 599.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.52x (Enterprise Value 26.9b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
FCF Yield = 7.99% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Enterprise Value 26.9b)
FCF Margin = 2.63% (FCF TTM 2.15b / Revenue TTM 81.7b)
Net Margin = 0.92% (Net Income TTM 750.0m / Revenue TTM 81.7b)
Gross Margin = 16.61% ((Revenue TTM 81.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 68.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.20% (prev 17.01%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 26.9b / Total Assets 54.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.84% (Interest Expense 599.0m / Debt 21.1b)
Taxrate = 24.81% (502.0m / 2.02b)
NOPAT = 2.30b (EBIT 3.06b * (1 - 24.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 22.4b / Total Current Liabilities 25.0b)
Debt / Equity = 1.90 (Debt 21.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 15.8b / EBITDA 4.84b)
Debt / FCF = 7.33 (Net Debt 15.8b / FCF TTM 2.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.37% (Net Income 750.0m / Total Assets 54.4b)
RoE = 6.95% (Net Income TTM 750.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 10.8b)
RoCE = 16.63% (EBIT 3.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.8b + L.T.Debt 7.58b))
RoIC = 7.71% (NOPAT 2.30b / Invested Capital 29.8b)
WACC = 3.49% (E(11.2b)/V(32.2b) * Re(6.05%) + D(21.1b)/V(32.2b) * Rd(2.84%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 6.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -79.65 | Cagr: -1.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.13% ; FCFF base≈2.23b ; Y1≈2.08b ; Y5≈1.88b
[DCF] Fair Price = 19.80 (EV 29.8b - Net Debt 15.8b = Equity 14.0b / Shares 707.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -8.94% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -39.65 | Revenue CAGR: -1.19% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.72 | Chg30d=-0.51% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=+0.45% | Revisions=-10% | GrowthEPS=+8.7% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=4, down=10)