(TFI) Television Francaise 1 - Ratings and Ratios
Broadcasting, Streaming, Studios, Advertising, Entertainment
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.31% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 12.07% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.41% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 69.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.90% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.77 |
| Alpha | 14.34 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.49 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.382 |
| Beta | 0.149 |
| Beta Downside | 0.219 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.91% |
| Mean DD | 9.34% |
| Median DD | 9.44% |
Description: TFI Television Francaise 1 November 12, 2025
TF1 SA (ticker TFI) is France’s leading multimedia group, operating a portfolio that spans free-to-air (DTT) channels such as TF1, TMC, TFX and LCI, a suite of thematic channels (e.g., TV Breizh, Ushuaïa TV, Histoire TV), digital services (MYTF1, TFOU MAX, Salto), production studios (Newen Studios), e-commerce, music/events, and advertising solutions. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt, France.
In FY 2023 TF1 generated roughly €2.5 billion of revenue, with advertising accounting for about 70 % of total sales and digital advertising growing ~12 % year-on-year-a trend driven by the broader shift of French ad spend toward programmatic video. The group commands an estimated 27 % share of the French TV audience, which translates into a premium position for both traditional and programmatic ad inventory. Recent quarterly reports show an EBITDA margin of ~15 %, consistent with the capital-intensive nature of broadcast infrastructure but above the European broadcasting average of ~12 %.
Key sector drivers include the recovery of French advertising spend after the COVID-19 slowdown, accelerated adoption of over-the-top (OTT) services, and regulatory pressure to maintain French-language content quotas, all of which influence TF1’s revenue mix and cost structure. Assuming the French ad market continues to grow at 5 % CAGR through 2027, TF1’s digital-first initiatives could lift its overall margin by 1–2 percentage points. For a deeper quantitative look at TF1’s valuation metrics and how they compare to peers, you might explore the data platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (182.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.95pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 31.23% (prev 28.68%; Δ 2.55pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 522.6m > Net Income 182.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-408.3m) to EBITDA (754.4m) ratio: -0.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.51 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.62% (prev 33.82%; Δ 16.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.16% (prev 62.87%; Δ 1.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 16.98 (EBITDA TTM 754.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.48
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 2.18b - Total Current Liabilities 1.44b) / Total Assets 3.65b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.45b / Total Assets 3.65b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 280.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.68b |
| (D) 1.28 = Book Value of Equity 2.01b / Total Liabilities 1.57b |
| Total Rating: 4.48 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.72
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 16.46% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.96% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.27)% |
| 7. RoE 9.01% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -29.84% |
| 9. EPS Trend -17.34% |
What is the price of TFI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.67%, over one month by +0.18%, over three months by -4.98% and over the past year by +21.00%.
Is TFI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.5 | 27.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.1 | 11.1% |
TFI Fundamental Data Overview December 22, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 1.70b (1.70b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 9.3663
P/E Forward = 9.5969
P/S = 0.7259
P/B = 0.8472
P/EG = 1.06
Beta = 0.869
Revenue TTM = 2.36b EUR
EBIT TTM = 280.1m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 754.4m EUR
Long Term Debt = 43.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 149.8m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 229.7m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -408.3m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b EUR (1.70b + Debt 229.7m - CCE 638.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.98 (Ebit TTM 280.1m / Interest Expense TTM 16.5m)
FCF Yield = 16.46% (FCF TTM 211.9m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 8.96% (FCF TTM 211.9m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 7.72% (Net Income TTM 182.6m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 50.62% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.17b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.78% (prev 65.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.35 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 3.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 2.90m / Debt 229.7m)
Taxrate = 19.38% (11.2m / 57.8m)
NOPAT = 225.8m (EBIT 280.1m * (1 - 19.38%))
Current Ratio = 1.51 (Total Current Assets 2.18b / Total Current Liabilities 1.44b)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 229.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.54 (Net Debt -408.3m / EBITDA 754.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.93 (Net Debt -408.3m / FCF TTM 211.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.01% (Net Income 182.6m / Total Assets 3.65b)
RoE = 9.01% (Net Income TTM 182.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.03b)
RoCE = 13.53% (EBIT 280.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.03b + L.T.Debt 43.0m))
RoIC = 10.17% (NOPAT 225.8m / Invested Capital 2.22b)
WACC = 5.90% (E(1.70b)/V(1.93b) * Re(6.56%) + D(229.7m)/V(1.93b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.45% ; FCFE base≈199.5m ; Y1≈150.6m ; Y5≈91.0m
Fair Price DCF = 8.15 (DCF Value 1.72b / Shares Outstanding 210.6m; 5y FCF grow -29.07% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -17.34 | EPS CAGR: -35.09% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -29.84 | Revenue CAGR: -11.27% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.9%