(TFI) Television Francaise 1 - Overview
Stock: Broadcasting, Studios, Streaming, Advertising, Production
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.54% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
| Alpha | -9.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.156 |
| Beta Downside | 0.232 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.91% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: TFI Television Francaise 1 January 15, 2026
TF1 SA (ticker TFI) is France’s leading multi-platform media group, operating free-to-air (DTT) channels such as TF1, TMC and LCI, a suite of thematic channels (e.g., Ushuaïa TV, Histoire TV), and a growing digital ecosystem that includes the MYTF1 streaming service, TFOU MAX, and the joint-venture platform Salto. Its business spans content production (New en Studios, TF1 Films), advertising sales, e-commerce, music/events, and B2B media solutions, all headquartered in Boulogne-Billancourt.
Recent quarterly reports (Q4 2023) show TF1 generating €2.5 billion in revenue, with a 12 % EBITDA margin-above the French broadcasting average of ~9 %. Digital advertising grew 8 % YoY, driven by programmatic spend, while streaming subscriptions on MYTF1 rose to 2.3 million active users, reflecting the broader sector shift toward over-the-top (OTT) consumption. Key macro drivers include France’s stable ad-spending environment, regulatory caps on foreign ownership, and competitive pressure from global streamers that compress linear TV margins.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult ValueRay’s detailed valuation model.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 152.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 34.25% < 20% (prev 33.58%; Δ 0.68% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 457.6m > Net Income 152.8m |
| Net Debt (-416.4m) to EBITDA (611.3m): -0.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.52 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (213.5m) vs 12m ago 0.41% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 22.33% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 2182 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.22% > 50% (prev 60.66%; Δ -0.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 611.3m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.97
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 2.29b - Total Current Liabilities 1.51b) / Total Assets 3.75b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 152.8m / Total Assets 3.75b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 190.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.82b) |
| D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 195.0m / Total Liabilities 1.63b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.97 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.00
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 1.02b/1.11b, Revenue 2.30b/2.36b) |
| GMI: 2.27 (GM 22.33% / 50.76%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 2.30b / 2.36b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 152.8m - CFO 457.6m) / TA 3.75b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.00 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
What is the price of TFI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.57%, over one month by -7.56%, over three months by -9.88% and over the past year by -3.24%.
Is TFI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.5 | 45.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
TFI Fundamental Data Overview February 20, 2026
P/E Trailing = 9.3663
P/E Forward = 10.3093
P/S = 0.6407
P/B = 0.7062
P/EG = 1.06
Revenue TTM = 2.30b EUR
EBIT TTM = 190.3m EUR
EBITDA TTM = 611.3m EUR
Long Term Debt = 28.0m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 148.9m EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 265.9m EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -416.4m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.28b EUR (1.70b + Debt 265.9m - CCE 683.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.89 (Ebit TTM 190.3m / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.89x (Enterprise Value 1.28b / FCF TTM 99.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.76% (FCF TTM 99.2m / Enterprise Value 1.28b)
FCF Margin = 4.32% (FCF TTM 99.2m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Net Margin = 6.65% (Net Income TTM 152.8m / Revenue TTM 2.30b)
Gross Margin = 22.33% ((Revenue TTM 2.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.78b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -35.00% (prev 8.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 1.28b / Total Assets 3.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.92% (Interest Expense 5.10m / Debt 265.9m)
Taxrate = 20.74% (10.1m / 48.7m)
NOPAT = 150.8m (EBIT 190.3m * (1 - 20.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 2.29b / Total Current Liabilities 1.51b)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 265.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.06b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.68 (Net Debt -416.4m / EBITDA 611.3m)
Debt / FCF = -4.20 (Net Debt -416.4m / FCF TTM 99.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.00% (Net Income 152.8m / Total Assets 3.75b)
RoE = 7.52% (Net Income TTM 152.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.03b)
RoCE = 9.24% (EBIT 190.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.03b + L.T.Debt 28.0m))
RoIC = 6.82% (NOPAT 150.8m / Invested Capital 2.21b)
WACC = 5.82% (E(1.70b)/V(1.96b) * Re(6.49%) + D(265.9m)/V(1.96b) * Rd(1.92%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.49% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.13% ; FCFF base≈122.4m ; Y1≈93.5m ; Y5≈57.6m
Fair Price DCF = 10.46 (EV 1.79b - Net Debt -416.4m = Equity 2.20b / Shares 210.6m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -28.10% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.34 | EPS CAGR: -35.09% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -0.22 | Revenue CAGR: 6.01% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-0.030 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+0.9%