ALV Stock Analysis: Allianz SE VNA O.N. | XETRA

Insurance - Diversified | XETRA, Germany | Market Cap: 166.241m EUR | 12M Return: 25.7% | DE0008404005 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Property Insurance, Life Insurance, Health Insurance, Asset Management
Total Rating 48
Safety 28
Buy Signal 0.49
Insurance - Diversified
Industry Rotation: -9.6
Market Cap: 194B
Avg Turnover: 216M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility15.5%
VaR 5th Pctl2.89%
VaR vs Median13.5%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.25
Rel. Str. IBD72.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group71.1
Character TTM
Beta0.092
Beta Downside-0.409
Hurst Exponent0.519
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD12.35%
CAGR/Max DD2.62
CAGR/Mean DD11.52
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ALV over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 5.22, "2021-09": 5.01, "2021-12": 9.08, "2022-03": 1.36, "2022-06": 3.85, "2022-09": 6.02, "2022-12": 4.99, "2023-03": 5.43, "2023-06": 5.97, "2023-09": 5.2, "2023-12": 5.47, "2024-03": 6.42, "2024-06": 6.13, "2024-09": 6.54, "2024-12": 6.31, "2025-03": 6.6, "2025-06": 7.38, "2025-09": 7.44, "2025-12": 7.17, "2026-03": 0, "2026-06": 6.47,
EPS CAGR: 3.37%
EPS Trend: 29.0%
Last SUE: -0.17
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ALV over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 28090, 2021-09: 34400, 2021-12: 90155, 2022-03: 44300, 2022-06: 37400, 2022-09: 34900, 2022-12: 32377, 2023-03: 25223, 2023-06: 38056, 2023-09: 25920, 2023-12: 35031, 2024-03: 36786, 2024-06: 30803, 2024-09: 35384, 2024-12: 35929, 2025-03: 26925, 2025-06: 33090, 2025-09: 39782, 2025-12: 37858, 2026-03: 31065, 2026-06: 50935,
Rev. CAGR: 6.25%
Rev. Trend: 77.0%
Last SUE: 0.34
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.2% 10
Feb +0.6% 19
Mar +1.6% 18
Apr +5.5% 7
May -0.9% 8
Jun -2.2% 9
Jul -0.3% 8
Aug -1.0% 0
Sep -1.3% 18
Oct -0.9% 2
Nov +2.6% 15
Dec +0.7% 17

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ALV Allianz SE VNA O.N.

Allianz SE is a global financial services company headquartered in Munich, Germany, founded in 1890. It operates through three core segments: Property-Casualty insurance (covering motor liability, accident, fire, general liability, credit, and travel), Life/Health insurance (offering annuities, term and endowment policies, unit-linked products, and health/long-term care coverage), and Asset Management (providing equity, fixed income, multi-asset, and alternative investment products to third-party institutional and retail investors). In addition to these core segments, Allianz offers retail banking and digital investment services.

As a multi-line insurer, Allianz benefits from a diversified business model that spreads risk across different insurance lines while generating fee-based income through its asset management operations, which is typically less capital-intensive than underwriting insurance. The combination of insurance underwriting and asset management under one corporate structure is characteristic of major European financial groups and provides exposure to both insurance premiums and global capital markets through subsidiaries such as PIMCO and Allianz Global Investors.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • P&C combined ratio improves on disciplined pricing and benign cat losses
  • Asset Management AUM and fees fall on equity market weakness
  • Solvency II capital strength supports sustained dividend growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 11.8b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.11 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -140.7% < 20% (prev -141.1%; Δ 0.46% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 33.2b > Net Income 11.8b
Net Debt (-582b) to EBITDA (17.6b): -33.09 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.74 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (382.2m) vs 12m ago -0.99% < -2%
Gross Margin: 85.11% > 18% (prev 82.54%; Δ 2.58% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 15.45% > 50% (prev 13.23%; Δ 2.23% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 22.84 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 758.0m)
Altman Z'' -1.09
A: -0.21 (Total Current Assets 633b - Total Current Liabilities 857b) / Total Assets 1073b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 36.0b / Total Assets 1073b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Avg Total Assets 1033b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 62.9b / Total Liabilities 1007b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.09 = CCC
Beneish M -2.75
DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 13.7b/9.89b, Revenue 160b/131b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 82.54% / 85.11%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 1.22 (Revenue 160b / 131b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 11.8b - CFO 33.2b) / TA 1073b)
Beneish M = -2.75 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ALV shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at EUR 445.40 with a total of 297,171 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.55%, over one month by +4.28%, over three months by +13.91% and over the past year by +25.68%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 437.70 (which is 1.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is ALV a buy, sell or hold?

Allianz SE VNA O.N. has no consensus analysts rating.

Allianz SE VNA O.N. (ALV) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 194b (166b EUR * 1.1683 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.3799
P/E Forward = 14.3678
P/S = 1.0441
P/B = 2.6426
P/EG = 3.2649
Revenue TTM = 160b EUR
EBIT TTM = 17.3b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 17.6b EUR
Long Term Debt = 31.3b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.00b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 36.1b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.39b
Net Debt = -582b EUR (calculated: Debt 36.1b - CCE 618b)
Enterprise Value = 166b EUR (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.84 (Ebit TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 758.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.27x (Enterprise Value 166b / FCF TTM 31.5b)
FCF Yield = 18.96% (FCF TTM 31.5b / Enterprise Value 166b)
FCF Margin = 19.74% (FCF TTM 31.5b / Revenue TTM 160b)
Net Margin = 7.39% (Net Income TTM 11.8b / Revenue TTM 160b)
Gross Margin = 85.11% ((Revenue TTM 160b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 90.66% (prev 79.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.15 (Enterprise Value 166b / Total Assets 1073b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.10% (Interest Expense 758.0m / Debt 36.1b)
Taxrate = 25.66% (4.30b / 16.8b)
NOPAT = 12.9b (EBIT 17.3b * (1 - 25.66%))
Current Ratio = 0.74 (Total Current Assets 633b / Total Current Liabilities 857b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 36.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 62.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -33.09 (Net Debt -582b / EBITDA 17.6b)
Debt / FCF = -18.46 (Net Debt -582b / FCF TTM 31.5b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 62.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.14% (Net Income 11.8b / Total Assets 1073b)
RoE = 18.75% (Net Income TTM 11.8b / Total Stockholder Equity 62.9b)
RoCE = 18.37% (EBIT 17.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 62.9b + L.T.Debt 31.3b))
RoIC = 6.11% (NOPAT 12.9b / Invested Capital 211b)
WACC = 5.45% (E(166b)/V(202b) * Re(6.30%) + D(36.1b)/V(202b) * Rd(2.10%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.18 | Cagr: -1.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.97% ; FCFF base≈31.0b ; Y1≈32.2b ; Y5≈36.5b
[DCF] Fair Price = 3.02k (EV 563b - Net Debt -582b = Equity 1145b / Shares 379.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 4.10% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 29.03 | EPS CAGR: 3.37% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.99 | Revenue CAGR: 6.25% | SUE: 0.34 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=7.51 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=31.15 | Chg30d=+0.57% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+8.9% | GrowthRev=-11.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=33.51 | Chg30d=+2.59% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=6, down=1)