(ARRD) ArcelorMittal - Overview
Stock: Steel, Flat, Long, Tubes, Ore
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.61% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -4.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 66.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.86 |
| Alpha | 80.10 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.489 |
| Beta Downside | 0.671 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.69 |
Description: ARRD ArcelorMittal December 31, 2025
ArcelorMittal S.A. (XETRA: ARRD) is a vertically integrated steel and mining group with operations across the Americas, Europe, Asia and Africa. It manufactures a full spectrum of steel products-from semi-finished slabs, blooms and billets to finished flat and long products such as hot- and cold-rolled coils, tinplate, structural sections and seamless pipes-and sells them to automotive, appliance, construction, energy and machinery customers through a centralized marketing network and distributors.
Key recent metrics (as of Q2 2024) show net sales of €33.5 billion, an EBITDA margin of roughly 12 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.3×, reflecting the company’s ongoing cost-restructuring and investment in higher-margin specialty steels. The firm’s performance is tightly linked to three macro drivers: (1) global steel demand, which is projected to grow 2-3 % annually in 2025-27 as emerging-market infrastructure expands; (2) raw-material pricing, especially iron-ore and coking-coal, which remain volatile due to geopolitical supply constraints in Brazil, Ukraine and South Africa; and (3) carbon-pricing regimes, under which ArcelorMittal’s 2025 target of 30 % CO₂-intensity reduction will affect both operating costs and eligibility for green-steel premiums.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of how these factors translate into valuation risk and upside, you may want to explore the detailed analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 2.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.82% < 20% (prev 15.70%; Δ -0.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 4.28b > Net Income 2.58b |
| Net Debt (9.13b) to EBITDA (5.03b): 1.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (764.0m) vs 12m ago -4.14% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.63% > 18% (prev -0.68%; Δ 7730 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.66% > 50% (prev 66.85%; Δ -3.18% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.03b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m) |
Altman Z'' 3.68
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 32.53b - Total Current Liabilities 23.48b) / Total Assets 98.77b |
| B: 0.48 (Retained Earnings 47.25b / Total Assets 98.77b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 2.26b / Avg Total Assets 95.97b) |
| D: 1.30 (Book Value of Equity 54.60b / Total Liabilities 42.09b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.68 = AA |
Beneish M -3.06
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 4.50b/4.24b, Revenue 61.09b/62.28b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.89 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 61.09b / 62.28b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 2.58b - CFO 4.28b) / TA 98.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ARRD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.23%, over one month by +28.95%, over three months by +54.75% and over the past year by +88.26%.
Is ARRD a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARRD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 32.4 | -36.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 61.6 | 20.3% |
ARRD Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
Market Cap USD = 43.16b (36.58b EUR * 1.1801 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.6875
P/E Forward = 13.1926
P/S = 0.5987
P/B = 0.7886
P/EG = 0.3833
Revenue TTM = 61.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.26b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.38b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.87b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 52.30b USD (43.16b + Debt 14.87b - CCE 5.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.01 (Ebit TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m)
EV/FCF = 901.7x (Enterprise Value 52.30b / FCF TTM 58.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.11% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Enterprise Value 52.30b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Revenue TTM 61.09b)
Net Margin = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 2.58b / Revenue TTM 61.09b)
Gross Margin = 76.63% ((Revenue TTM 61.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.79% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 52.30b / Total Assets 98.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.56% (Interest Expense 84.0m / Debt 14.87b)
Taxrate = 20.99% (106.0m / 505.0m)
NOPAT = 1.79b (EBIT 2.26b * (1 - 20.99%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 32.53b / Total Current Liabilities 23.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 14.87b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.82 (Net Debt 9.13b / EBITDA 5.03b)
Debt / FCF = 157.5 (Net Debt 9.13b / FCF TTM 58.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.69% (Net Income 2.58b / Total Assets 98.77b)
RoE = 4.94% (Net Income TTM 2.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.35b)
RoCE = 3.60% (EBIT 2.26b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.35b + L.T.Debt 10.49b))
RoIC = 2.76% (NOPAT 1.79b / Invested Capital 64.85b)
WACC = 5.86% (E(43.16b)/V(58.03b) * Re(7.72%) + D(14.87b)/V(58.03b) * Rd(0.56%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.72% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈430.8m ; Y1≈282.8m ; Y5≈129.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 4.11b - Net Debt 9.13b = -5.02b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -43.86 | EPS CAGR: -42.36% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.54 | Revenue CAGR: -7.30% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0