(DB1) Deutsche Börse - Ratings and Ratios
Indices,Trading,Clearing,Data,Funds
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.77% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.16% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 |
| Alpha | -0.04 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.702 |
| Beta | -0.016 |
| Beta Downside | 0.028 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.51% |
| Mean DD | 5.60% |
| Median DD | 3.12% |
Description: DB1 Deutsche Börse September 29, 2025
Deutsche Börse AG (XETRA: DB1) is a globally-active exchange operator headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany, with operations spanning Europe, the United States and the Asia-Pacific region. The firm is organized into four primary segments: Investment Management Solutions, Trading & Clearing, Fund Services, and Securities Services.
Within Investment Management Solutions the company provides a suite of index and research products-including the STOXX and DAX families, ISS governance solutions, custom-index design, and licensing-as well as analytics software and pre-IPO/listing advisory services. Trading & Clearing covers cash, spot, derivatives and FX markets through platforms such as Xetra, Börse Frankfurt, Tradegate, and Eurex, together with European commodity clearing. Fund Services comprises securities issuance, settlement, asset-servicing, the Clearstream Fund Centre, and Kneip’s fund-data management platform. Securities Services also extends to the third-party clearing house Nodal Clear and a range of SaaS and API solutions under the Deutsche Börse and 7 Market Technology brands.
Key financial metrics (FY 2023) show net revenue of €5.0 billion, a 4 % YoY increase driven largely by higher trading volumes and index licensing fees, and an EBIT margin of roughly 42 %, reflecting the capital-light nature of the exchange business. The company’s cash-flow conversion remains strong, with free cash flow covering > 150 % of dividend payouts.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect Deutsche Börse include the continued migration of equity and derivatives trading to electronic venues (global electronic trading volumes grew ~ 9 % in 2023), expanding demand for ESG-focused indices (ESG-related index licensing grew > 15 % YoY), and regulatory trends such as MiFID II and EMIR that reinforce the value of centralized clearing and data services. Macro-economic factors-particularly interest-rate cycles and corporate-earnings growth-also influence trading activity and, by extension, fee-based revenue.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s proprietary valuation models useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (1.99b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 433.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 46.74% (prev 33.35%; Δ 13.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.74b > Net Income 1.99b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.71b) to EBITDA (3.46b) ratio: -0.49 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (183.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.15% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.28% (prev 69.22%; Δ -14.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 2.63% (prev 3.84%; Δ -1.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 22.92 (EBITDA TTM 3.46b / Interest Expense TTM 129.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.29
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 270.02b - Total Current Liabilities 266.64b) / Total Assets 294.27b |
| (B) 0.03 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.21b / Total Assets 294.27b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 2.98b / Avg Total Assets 275.19b |
| (D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 9.61b / Total Liabilities 283.25b |
| Total Rating: 0.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.28
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.23% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.36% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.91 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.19)% |
| 7. RoE 18.67% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 66.66% |
| 9. EPS Trend 78.37% |
What is the price of DB1 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.29%, over one month by -2.47%, over three months by -13.38% and over the past year by +2.74%.
Is DB1 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DB1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 256.6 | 13.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 237.2 | 5.2% |
DB1 Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap EUR = 40.63b (40.63b EUR * 1.0 EUR.EUR)
P/E Trailing = 20.1918
P/E Forward = 18.5874
P/S = 5.5644
P/B = 3.6767
P/EG = 3.237
Beta = 0.398
Revenue TTM = 7.23b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.98b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.46b EUR
Long Term Debt = 6.22b EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.13b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.58b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.71b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 48.50b EUR (40.63b + Debt 9.58b - CCE 1.71b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 22.92 (Ebit TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 129.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.23% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Enterprise Value 48.50b)
FCF Margin = 28.36% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Revenue TTM 7.23b)
Net Margin = 27.47% (Net Income TTM 1.99b / Revenue TTM 7.23b)
Gross Margin = 54.28% ((Revenue TTM 7.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.18% (prev 57.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.16 (Enterprise Value 48.50b / Total Assets 294.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.41% (Interest Expense 39.2m / Debt 9.58b)
Taxrate = 26.09% (189.5m / 726.3m)
NOPAT = 2.20b (EBIT 2.98b * (1 - 26.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 270.02b / Total Current Liabilities 266.64b)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 9.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.49 (Net Debt -1.71b / EBITDA 3.46b)
Debt / FCF = -0.83 (Net Debt -1.71b / FCF TTM 2.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.64b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.67% (Net Income 1.99b / Total Assets 294.27b)
RoE = 18.67% (Net Income TTM 1.99b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.64b)
RoCE = 17.66% (EBIT 2.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.64b + L.T.Debt 6.22b))
RoIC = 17.07% (NOPAT 2.20b / Invested Capital 12.89b)
WACC = 4.88% (E(40.63b)/V(50.22b) * Re(5.96%) + D(9.58b)/V(50.22b) * Rd(0.41%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 5.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.26% ; FCFE base≈2.22b ; Y1≈2.21b ; Y5≈2.34b
Fair Price DCF = 225.9 (DCF Value 41.40b / Shares Outstanding 183.3m; 5y FCF grow -0.83% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 78.37 | EPS CAGR: 12.96% | SUE: 0.87 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 66.66 | Revenue CAGR: 14.85% | SUE: 0.49 | # QB: 0