(RIO1) Rio Tinto - Overview
Stock: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, Gold, Lithium
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.53% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -19.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 63.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 32.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.229 |
| Beta Downside | 0.454 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.66% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.48 |
Description: RIO1 Rio Tinto January 28, 2026
Rio Tinto Group (XETRA: RIO1) is a globally diversified miner that extracts, processes, and markets a broad portfolio of minerals through four operating segments: Iron Ore, Aluminium, Copper, and Minerals. Its assets span open-pit and underground mines, refineries, smelters, processing plants, and associated logistics infrastructure, with headquarters in London and a corporate history dating back to 1873.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023, disclosed in the company’s annual report and corroborated by Bloomberg data as of Q3 2024):
• Iron-ore sales generated ≈ US$ 38 billion, driven by a 12 % rise in average spot prices to US$ 115 / tonne.
• Copper output reached 1.2 million tonnes, while copper price averaged US$ 4.10 / lb, reflecting sustained demand from renewable-energy and electric-vehicle supply chains.
• Aluminium capacity stood at ≈ 4.5 million tonnes of primary aluminium, with recycling contributing ≈ 15 % of total output, aligning with ESG-focused market trends.
For a data-driven deep-dive into Rio Tinto’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analyses, the ValueRay platform offers tools that can help you quantify how shifts in commodity prices or ESG regulations might affect the stock’s risk-adjusted return.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 21.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.69% < 20% (prev 12.57%; Δ -5.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 30.71b > Net Income 21.02b |
| Net Debt (14.62b) to EBITDA (41.96b): 0.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.64b) vs 12m ago 0.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.51% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 4214 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 98.83% > 50% (prev 84.28%; Δ 14.55% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.09 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 41.96b / Interest Expense TTM 1.93b) |
Altman Z'' 4.30
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 20.96b - Total Current Liabilities 13.74b) / Total Assets 120.81b |
| B: 0.36 (Retained Earnings 43.38b / Total Assets 120.81b) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 30.98b / Avg Total Assets 109.18b) |
| D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 46.80b / Total Liabilities 58.84b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.30 = AA |
Beneish M -2.88
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 4.57b/3.54b, Revenue 107.91b/82.22b) |
| GMI: 0.87 (GM 42.51% / 37.01%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.31 (Revenue 107.91b / 82.22b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 21.02b - CFO 30.71b) / TA 120.81b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of RIO1 shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.43%, over one month by +8.52%, over three months by +32.05% and over the past year by +38.29%.
Is RIO1 a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the RIO1 price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 78.3 | -0.7% |
RIO1 Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
Market Cap USD = 150.38b (127.43b EUR * 1.1801 EUR.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.7406
P/E Forward = 12.9702
P/S = 2.3716
P/B = 3.2846
Revenue TTM = 107.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 30.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = 41.96b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.58b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 875.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.62b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 164.68b USD (150.38b + Debt 23.64b - CCE 9.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.09 (Ebit TTM 30.98b / Interest Expense TTM 1.93b)
EV/FCF = 13.42x (Enterprise Value 164.68b / FCF TTM 12.27b)
FCF Yield = 7.45% (FCF TTM 12.27b / Enterprise Value 164.68b)
FCF Margin = 11.37% (FCF TTM 12.27b / Revenue TTM 107.91b)
Net Margin = 19.48% (Net Income TTM 21.02b / Revenue TTM 107.91b)
Gross Margin = 42.51% ((Revenue TTM 107.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 62.04b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.62% (prev 80.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.36 (Enterprise Value 164.68b / Total Assets 120.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 296.0m / Debt 23.64b)
Taxrate = 32.67% (2.20b / 6.74b)
NOPAT = 20.86b (EBIT 30.98b * (1 - 32.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 20.96b / Total Current Liabilities 13.74b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 23.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.35 (Net Debt 14.62b / EBITDA 41.96b)
Debt / FCF = 1.19 (Net Debt 14.62b / FCF TTM 12.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 55.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.25% (Net Income 21.02b / Total Assets 120.81b)
RoE = 37.66% (Net Income TTM 21.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 55.82b)
RoCE = 40.02% (EBIT 30.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 55.82b + L.T.Debt 21.58b))
RoIC = 29.42% (NOPAT 20.86b / Invested Capital 70.91b)
WACC = 5.96% (E(150.38b)/V(174.02b) * Re(6.76%) + D(23.64b)/V(174.02b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 6.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.07% ; FCFF base≈12.70b ; Y1≈10.62b ; Y5≈7.85b
Fair Price DCF = 176.2 (EV 235.53b - Net Debt 14.62b = Equity 220.90b / Shares 1.25b; r=5.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -19.83% → 2.90% )
Revenue Correlation: -37.84 | Revenue CAGR: 2.81% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0