(MSTR) MicroStrategy - Ratings and Ratios
Bitcoin Exposure, Analytics Software, Enterprise Intelligence
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 73.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 113% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.34% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.87 |
| Alpha | -85.50 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.30 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.472 |
| Beta | 1.981 |
| Beta Downside | 1.382 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.93% |
| Mean DD | 22.10% |
| Median DD | 20.40% |
Description: MSTR MicroStrategy December 02, 2025
Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy) operates as a “bitcoin treasury company,” using its balance sheet to acquire and hold large quantities of Bitcoin while also issuing equity and fixed-income securities that give investors indirect exposure to the cryptocurrency’s price movements. In parallel, the firm sells AI-enabled enterprise analytics platforms-Strategy One for low-code insight delivery and Strategy Mosaic for unified data governance across heterogeneous sources.
Key data points (as of Q3 2024): the company’s Bitcoin holdings total roughly 150,000 BTC, representing over 30 % of its total assets; revenue from the analytics segment grew ~18 % YoY, driven by rising demand for generative-AI tools in the enterprise software market; and the firm’s free cash flow remains modest (~$50 M) because most cash is tied up in Bitcoin purchases, making the stock’s performance highly sensitive to Bitcoin price volatility. Sector-level drivers include accelerating AI adoption across industries and the broader trend of corporates using digital assets as a treasury hedge.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consult ValueRay’s MSTR dashboard to explore the latest risk-adjusted metrics and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 7.92b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.51 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 12.03 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -23.19% < 20% (prev -21.84%; Δ -1.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -62.9m > Net Income 7.92b |
| Net Debt (8.17b) to EBITDA (11.00b): 0.74 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (304.0m) vs 12m ago 54.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 70.12% > 18% (prev 0.74%; Δ 6939 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 1.16% > 50% (prev 5.60%; Δ -4.44% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 156.0 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 11.00b / Interest Expense TTM 70.4m) |
Altman Z'' 3.91
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 214.0m - Total Current Liabilities 324.1m) / Total Assets 73.62b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 18.95b / Total Assets 73.62b) |
| C: 0.27 (EBIT TTM 10.98b / Avg Total Assets 40.98b) |
| D: 1.22 (Book Value of Equity 18.94b / Total Liabilities 15.50b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.91 = AA |
Beneish M -2.81
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 113.4m/107.2m, Revenue 474.9m/467.2m) |
| GMI: 1.05 (GM 70.12% / 73.56%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 1.00 / AQ_t-1 0.97) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 474.9m / 467.2m) |
| TATA: 0.11 (NI 7.92b - CFO -62.9m) / TA 73.62b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.81 = A |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.22
| 1. Piotroski: 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: -65.18% |
| 3. FCF Margin: data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.14 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 0.74 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 6.01% |
| 7. RoE: 19.76% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -49.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 24.05% |
What is the price of MSTR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.81%, over one month by -2.03%, over three months by -42.67% and over the past year by -57.33%.
Is MSTR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSTR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 473.6 | 194.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 473.6 | 194.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 206.2 | 28.1% |
MSTR Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 2.5253
P/S = 104.122
P/B = 0.945
P/EG = 3.09
Revenue TTM = 474.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 10.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = 11.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 316.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.17b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 57.62b USD (49.45b + Debt 8.22b - CCE 54.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 156.0 (Ebit TTM 10.98b / Interest Expense TTM 70.4m)
EV/FCF = -1.53x (Enterprise Value 57.62b / FCF TTM -37.56b)
FCF Yield = -65.18% (FCF TTM -37.56b / Enterprise Value 57.62b)
FCF Margin = -7907 % (FCF TTM -37.56b / Revenue TTM 474.9m)
Net Margin = 1667 % (Net Income TTM 7.92b / Revenue TTM 474.9m)
Gross Margin = 70.12% ((Revenue TTM 474.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 141.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 70.46% (prev 68.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 57.62b / Total Assets 73.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.23% (Interest Expense 18.9m / Debt 8.22b)
Taxrate = 28.06% (1.09b / 3.87b)
NOPAT = 7.90b (EBIT 10.98b * (1 - 28.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 214.0m / Total Current Liabilities 324.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 8.22b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.74 (Net Debt 8.17b / EBITDA 11.00b)
Debt / FCF = -0.22 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 8.17b / FCF TTM -37.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 40.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.32% (Net Income 7.92b / Total Assets 73.62b)
RoE = 19.76% (Net Income TTM 7.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 40.06b)
RoCE = 22.76% (EBIT 10.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 40.06b + L.T.Debt 8.17b))
RoIC = 17.36% (NOPAT 7.90b / Invested Capital 45.48b)
WACC = 11.36% (E(49.45b)/V(57.67b) * Re(13.22%) + D(8.22b)/V(57.67b) * Rd(0.23%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 13.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 28.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -37.56b)
EPS Correlation: 24.05 | EPS CAGR: 13.02% | SUE: -2.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.47 | Revenue CAGR: -1.17% | SUE: 2.69 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.88 | Chg30d=+0.493 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=40.72 | Chg30d=+2.515 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+637.4% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%
Additional Sources for MSTR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle