(ODFL) Old Dominion Freight Line - Overview
Stock: LTL Services, Expedited Transport, Drayage, Brokerage, Consulting
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Alpha | -11.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.141 |
| Beta Downside | 0.969 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.18% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
Description: ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line December 17, 2025
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is a U.S.-based less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier that provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, along with expedited shipments, container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply-chain consulting. The firm also runs its own service and fleet-maintenance facilities. As of 31 Dec 2024, ODFL owned 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup-and-delivery trailers, reflecting a sizable asset base for a pure-play LTL operator.
Key performance indicators from recent filings show an operating ratio of 84.5 % in 2024, indicating strong cost control relative to peers, and a year-over-year revenue growth of ≈ 9 % driven by robust e-commerce demand and higher freight rates. Capacity utilization hovered around 92 %, while average spot-rate pricing rose roughly 5 % year-on-year, underscoring the sector’s sensitivity to macro-economic freight-rate cycles and fuel-price volatility. The LTL market’s growth is further supported by continued “last-mile” delivery expansion and supply-chain reshoring trends.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ODFL’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income: 1.06b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.53 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.02% < 20% (prev 3.06%; Δ -1.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 1.46b > Net Income 1.06b |
| Net Debt (38.4m) to EBITDA (1.75b): 0.02 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (210.9m) vs 12m ago -2.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.01% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3266 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 101.9% > 50% (prev 109.2%; Δ -7.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 37.6k > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.75b / Interest Expense TTM 37.0k) |
Altman Z'' 7.59
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 663.8m - Total Current Liabilities 551.4m) / Total Assets 5.52b |
| B: 0.73 (Retained Earnings 4.01b / Total Assets 5.52b) |
| C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Avg Total Assets 5.47b) |
| D: 3.22 (Book Value of Equity 4.03b / Total Liabilities 1.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.59 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.09
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 540.1m/576.7m, Revenue 5.57b/5.92b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 33.01% / 35.19%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.94 (Revenue 5.57b / 5.92b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 1.06b - CFO 1.46b) / TA 5.52b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ODFL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.90%, over one month by +19.89%, over three months by +47.34% and over the past year by +4.11%.
Is ODFL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the ODFL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 167.8 | -17.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 167.8 | -17.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 207.8 | 2.6% |
ODFL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 33.7838
P/S = 6.5294
P/B = 8.4651
P/EG = 3.4678
Revenue TTM = 5.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.39b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 65.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 85.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 38.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.44b USD (36.40b + Debt 85.0m - CCE 46.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 37.6k (Ebit TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 37.0k)
EV/FCF = 39.58x (Enterprise Value 36.44b / FCF TTM 920.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.53% (FCF TTM 920.7m / Enterprise Value 36.44b)
FCF Margin = 16.52% (FCF TTM 920.7m / Revenue TTM 5.57b)
Net Margin = 18.97% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Revenue TTM 5.57b)
Gross Margin = 33.01% ((Revenue TTM 5.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.34% (prev 32.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.61 (Enterprise Value 36.44b / Total Assets 5.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 4000 / Debt 85.0m)
Taxrate = 24.91% (89.9m / 360.8m)
NOPAT = 1.05b (EBIT 1.39b * (1 - 24.91%))
Current Ratio = 1.20 (Total Current Assets 663.8m / Total Current Liabilities 551.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 85.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.02 (Net Debt 38.4m / EBITDA 1.75b)
Debt / FCF = 0.04 (Net Debt 38.4m / FCF TTM 920.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.33% (Net Income 1.06b / Total Assets 5.52b)
RoE = 24.92% (Net Income TTM 1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.24b)
RoCE = 32.31% (EBIT 1.39b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.24b + L.T.Debt 65.0m))
RoIC = 24.10% (NOPAT 1.05b / Invested Capital 4.34b)
WACC = 10.10% (E(36.40b)/V(36.49b) * Re(10.12%) + D(85.0m)/V(36.49b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.94%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.08% ; FCFF base≈947.9m ; Y1≈962.4m ; Y5≈1.05b
Fair Price DCF = 62.29 (EV 13.06b - Net Debt 38.4m = Equity 13.02b / Shares 209.1m; r=10.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.26% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -85.78 | EPS CAGR: -15.53% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -54.95 | Revenue CAGR: -0.07% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.08 | Chg30d=-0.110 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+5.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.3%