LYG Stock Analysis: Lloyds Banking | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 75.253m USD | 12M Return: 17.9% | US5394391099 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Banking, Mortgages, Insurance, Pensions
Total Rating 23
Safety 45
Buy Signal -0.47
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +0.6
Market Cap: 75.3B
Avg Turnover: 107M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.2%
VaR 5th Pctl6.00%
VaR vs Median6.29%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Rel. Str. IBD25.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.539
Beta Downside0.102
Hurst Exponent0.462
Choppyness26.4%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.72%
CAGR/Max DD1.96
CAGR/Mean DD8.32
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LYG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.1104, "2021-12": 0.0956, "2022-03": 0.075, "2022-06": 0.1002, "2022-09": 0.0695, "2022-12": 0.1092, "2023-03": 0.11, "2023-06": 0.39, "2023-09": 0.11, "2023-12": 0.0858, "2024-03": 0.0848, "2024-06": 0.0862, "2024-09": 0.19, "2024-12": 0.0609, "2025-03": 0.09, "2025-06": 0.12, "2025-09": 0.06, "2025-12": 0.12, "2026-03": 0.13, "2026-06": 0.13, "2026-09": 0.15,
EPS CAGR: -9.33%
EPS Trend: -39.9%
Last SUE: 0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LYG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2030, 2021-12: 7934, 2022-03: 3921, 2022-06: 4818, 2022-09: 4308, 2022-12: 8616, 2023-03: 4808, 2023-06: 11038, 2023-09: -1944, 2023-12: 20066, 2024-03: 4387, 2024-06: 14196, 2024-09: -5106, 2024-12: 24137, 2025-03: 4695, 2025-06: 13885, 2025-09: -4328, 2025-12: 50749, 2026-03: 5184, 2026-06: 13843, 2026-09: 5172,
Rev. CAGR: 36.28%
Rev. Trend: 88.8%
Last SUE: -0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +3.2% 20
Feb +0.4% 5
Mar -3.4% 45
Apr +6.2% 52
May -1.2% 5
Jun -1.5% 8
Jul -0.8% 2
Aug -4.2% 38
Sep -3.2% 20
Oct +0.1% 0
Nov +4.0% 25
Dec +1.1% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LYG Lloyds Banking

Lloyds Banking Group plc is a UK-based financial services company that operates through three main segments: Retail, Commercial Banking, and Insurance, Pensions and Investments. Its Retail division serves personal customers with current accounts, savings, mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, motor finance, and leasing solutions. The Commercial Banking segment provides lending, transactional banking, working capital management, debt financing, and risk management services to small and medium-sized businesses, corporates, and institutions. The Insurance, Pensions and Investments segment offers insurance, investment, pension management, and life assurance products, along with digital banking services.

The company distributes its products under a wide portfolio of brands, including Lloyds Bank, Halifax, Bank of Scotland, Scottish Widows, MBNA, Schroders Personal Wealth, Black Horse, Lex Autolease, Birmingham Midshires, LDC, AMC, Embark Group, Lloyds Living, Cavendish Online, Tusker, and HGP. Lloyds was founded in 1695 and is headquartered in London. It was formerly known as Lloyds TSB Group plc before adopting its current name in January 2009.

As a diversified UK bank, Lloyds generates revenue primarily through net interest income from lending activities, fee-based income from banking services, and premium and investment income from its insurance and pensions operations. The company trades on the NYSE as an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) under the ticker LYG, allowing US investors indirect exposure to its London-listed ordinary shares.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Bank of England rate cuts pressure net interest margins
  • Scottish Widows insurance and wealth fees accelerate
  • Capital returns resume with dividend and share buyback
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 6.04b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.87 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -597.3% < 20% (prev -1.15k%; Δ 557.2% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 4.33b > Net Income 6.04b
Net Debt (39.2b) to EBITDA (12.1b): 3.25 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (57.5b) vs 12m ago 279.6% < -2%
Gross Margin: 39.19% > 18% (prev 50.48%; Δ -11.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 7.76% > 50% (prev 4.09%; Δ 3.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.50 > 6 (EBIT TTM 8.61b / Interest Expense TTM 17.1b)
Altman Z'' -2.82
A: -0.45 (Total Current Assets 63.7b - Total Current Liabilities 511b) / Total Assets 995b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 6.29b / Total Assets 995b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 8.61b / Avg Total Assets 966b)
D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 45.7b / Total Liabilities 949b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.82 = D
What is the price of LYG shares?

As of November 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.27 with a total of 27,862,777 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.18%, over one month by -3.48%, over three months by -14.12% and over the past year by +17.94%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.90 (which is 7% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is LYG a buy, sell or hold?

Lloyds Banking has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.50. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LYG.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LYG price?
Analysts Target Price 6.6 24.9%
Lloyds Banking (LYG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 75.3b (75.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.0962
P/E Forward = 9.1996
P/S = 3.7293
P/B = 1.2567
P/EG = 0.6175
Revenue TTM = 74.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.61b USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.1b USD
Long Term Debt = 88.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 40.6b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 95.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 39.2b USD (calculated: Debt 95.1b - CCE 55.9b)
Enterprise Value = 114b USD (75.3b + Debt 95.1b - CCE 55.9b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.50 (Ebit TTM 8.61b / Interest Expense TTM 17.1b)
EV/FCF = -183.2x (Enterprise Value 114b / FCF TTM -625.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.55% (FCF TTM -625.0m / Enterprise Value 114b)
FCF Margin = -0.83% (FCF TTM -625.0m / Revenue TTM 74.9b)
Net Margin = 8.06% (Net Income TTM 6.04b / Revenue TTM 74.9b)
Gross Margin = 39.19% ((Revenue TTM 74.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 45.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 114b / Total Assets 995b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 18.01% (Interest Expense 17.1b / Debt 95.1b)
Taxrate = 31.76% (2.73b / 8.61b)
NOPAT = 5.87b (EBIT 8.61b * (1 - 31.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 63.7b / Total Current Liabilities 511b)
Debt / Equity = 2.08 (Debt 95.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.25 (Net Debt 39.2b / EBITDA 12.1b)
 Debt / FCF = -62.76 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 39.2b / FCF TTM -625.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 47.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.63% (Net Income 6.04b / Total Assets 995b)
RoE = 12.82% (Net Income TTM 6.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 47.1b)
RoCE = 6.36% (EBIT 8.61b / Capital Employed (Equity 47.1b + L.T.Debt 88.2b))
RoIC = 1.13% (NOPAT 5.87b / Invested Capital 521b)
WACC = 10.15% (E(75.3b)/V(170b) * Re(7.45%) + D(95.1b)/V(170b) * Rd(18.01%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 7.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -74.03 | Cagr: -2.92%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -625.0m)
 EPS Correlation: -39.86 | EPS CAGR: -9.33% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.76 | Revenue CAGR: 36.28% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=-0.42% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+39.3% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-3.22% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+15.4% | GrowthRev=+8.4%