LYG Stock Analysis: Lloyds Banking | NYSE

Banks - Regional | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 91.333m USD | 12M Return: 41.9% | US5394391099 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Retail Banking, Commercial Banking, Insurance, Mortgages
Total Rating 29
Safety 25
Buy Signal -0.39
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -4.1
Market Cap: 91.3B
Avg Turnover: 93.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility26.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.70%
VaR vs Median6.04%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.21
Rel. Str. IBD73.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.5
Character TTM
Beta0.598
Beta Downside0.095
Hurst Exponent0.491
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD22.72%
CAGR/Max DD2.23
CAGR/Mean DD9.95
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LYG over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.1571, "2021-09": 0.1104, "2021-12": 0.0956, "2022-03": 0.075, "2022-06": 0.1002, "2022-09": 0.0695, "2022-12": 0.1092, "2023-03": 0.11, "2023-06": 0.39, "2023-09": 0.11, "2023-12": 0.0858, "2024-03": 0.0848, "2024-06": 0.0862, "2024-09": 0.19, "2024-12": 0.0609, "2025-03": 0.09, "2025-06": 0.12, "2025-09": 0.06, "2025-12": 0.12, "2026-03": 0.13, "2026-06": 0.13,
EPS CAGR: -17.71%
EPS Trend: -68.9%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LYG over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 6381, 2021-09: 2030, 2021-12: 7934, 2022-03: 3921, 2022-06: 4818, 2022-09: 4308, 2022-12: 8616, 2023-03: 4808, 2023-06: 11038, 2023-09: -1944, 2023-12: 20066, 2024-03: 4387, 2024-06: 14196, 2024-09: -5106, 2024-12: 24137, 2025-03: 4695, 2025-06: 13885, 2025-09: -4328, 2025-12: 50749, 2026-03: 5184, 2026-06: 13843,
Rev. CAGR: 37.66%
Rev. Trend: 88.7%
Last SUE: 0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.2% 20
Feb +0.4% 5
Mar -3.4% 45
Apr +6.2% 52
May -1.2% 5
Jun -1.5% 8
Jul -0.9% 2
Aug -3.5% 33
Sep -1.8% 14
Oct +0.1% 0
Nov +4.0% 25
Dec +1.1% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LYG Lloyds Banking

Lloyds Banking Group plc is a major UK financial services provider operating through three core segments: Retail, Commercial Banking, and Insurance, Pensions and Investments. The Retail segment serves personal customers with current accounts, savings, mortgages, credit cards, unsecured loans, and motor finance, while Commercial Banking offers lending, transactional banking, working capital management, and risk management services to SMEs, corporates, and institutions. The Insurance, Pensions and Investments segment provides life assurance, investment, and pension products. The company distributes its offerings under a wide portfolio of well-known brands including Lloyds Bank, Halifax, Bank of Scotland, Scottish Widows, MBNA, and Lex Autolease.

Founded in 1695 and headquartered in London, the group is one of the UKs largest retail banks and is classified within the Diversified Banks sub-industry of the Financials sector. As an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) trading on the NYSE under the ticker LYG, the stock provides US investors with exposure to a UK-focused banking franchise dominated by mortgage lending, retail deposits, and commercial banking activities. The company was previously known as Lloyds TSB Group plc before adopting its current name in January 2009.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • BoE rate cuts compress net interest margins
  • UK mortgage book growth drives retail segment revenue
  • Scottish Widows fees depend on UK equity market levels
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.5
Net Income: 5.08b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.89 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -681.7% < 20% (prev -1.17k%; Δ 484.4% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 4.33b > Net Income 5.08b
Net Debt (40.7b) to EBITDA (10.9b): 3.73 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (14.9b) vs 12m ago -1.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.36% > 18% (prev 49.45%; Δ -19.10% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 6.84% > 50% (prev 4.09%; Δ 2.75% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.45b / Interest Expense TTM 17.1b)
Altman Z'' -2.82
A: -0.45 (Total Current Assets 62.9b - Total Current Liabilities 509b) / Total Assets 994b
B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 6.24b / Total Assets 994b)
C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 7.45b / Avg Total Assets 957b)
D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 47.0b / Total Liabilities 947b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.82 = D
Beneish M -2.20
DSRI: 0.66 (Receivables 1.40b/1.23b, Revenue 65.4b/37.6b)
GMI: 1.63 (GM 49.45% / 30.36%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.93 / AQ_t-1 0.92)
SGI: 1.74 (Revenue 65.4b / 37.6b)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 5.08b - CFO 4.33b) / TA 994b)
Beneish M = -2.20 (Cap -4..+1) = BB
What is the price of LYG shares?

As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.19 with a total of 8,494,576 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.38%, over one month by +6.52%, over three months by +20.42% and over the past year by +41.89%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.90 (which is 4.7% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is LYG a buy, sell or hold?

Lloyds Banking has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LYG.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LYG price?
Analysts Target Price 6.5 4.4%
Lloyds Banking (LYG) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 91.3b (91.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.6047
P/E Forward = 11.4811
P/S = 4.6378
P/B = 1.4424
P/EG = 0.7708
Revenue TTM = 65.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 7.45b USD
EBITDA TTM = 10.9b USD
Long Term Debt = 88.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 40.6b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 102b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 40.7b USD (calculated: Debt 102b - CCE 61.5b)
Enterprise Value = 132b USD (91.3b + Debt 102b - CCE 61.5b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.43 (Ebit TTM 7.45b / Interest Expense TTM 17.1b)
EV/FCF = -211.3x (Enterprise Value 132b / FCF TTM -625.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.47% (FCF TTM -625.0m / Enterprise Value 132b)
FCF Margin = -0.95% (FCF TTM -625.0m / Revenue TTM 65.4b)
Net Margin = 7.76% (Net Income TTM 5.08b / Revenue TTM 65.4b)
Gross Margin = 30.36% ((Revenue TTM 65.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 45.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.13 (Enterprise Value 132b / Total Assets 994b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 16.76% (Interest Expense 17.1b / Debt 102b)
Taxrate = 28.38% (2.11b / 7.45b)
NOPAT = 5.34b (EBIT 7.45b * (1 - 28.38%))
Current Ratio = 0.12 (Total Current Assets 62.9b / Total Current Liabilities 509b)
Debt / Equity = 2.18 (Debt 102b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 47.0b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.73 (Net Debt 40.7b / EBITDA 10.9b)
 Debt / FCF = -65.18 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 40.7b / FCF TTM -625.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 47.0b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.53% (Net Income 5.08b / Total Assets 994b)
RoE = 10.79% (Net Income TTM 5.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 47.0b)
RoCE = 5.51% (EBIT 7.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 47.0b + L.T.Debt 88.2b))
RoIC = 1.02% (NOPAT 5.34b / Invested Capital 522b)
WACC = 10.16% (E(91.3b)/V(194b) * Re(8.09%) + D(102b)/V(194b) * Rd(16.76%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -74.03 | Cagr: -2.92%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -625.0m)
 EPS Correlation: -68.86 | EPS CAGR: -17.71% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.75 | Revenue CAGR: 37.66% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-2.65% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.52 | Chg30d=-3.80% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+35.4% | GrowthRev=+10.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-0.41% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+21.1% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=1, down=0)