(OKLO) Oklo - Overview
Stock: Fission Reactors, Nuclear Recycling, Fuel Fabrication
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 108% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.87 |
| Alpha | 9.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.379 |
| Beta Downside | 1.812 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.34% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.34 |
Description: OKLO Oklo December 19, 2025
Oklo Inc. (NYSE:OKLO) designs and builds compact, advanced fission reactors aimed at delivering clean, reliable, and cost-effective electricity in the United States, while also commercializing a nuclear-fuel recycling process that turns spent waste into usable reactor fuel. The company has partnered with Newcleo to create a domestic advanced fuel-fabrication and manufacturing supply chain, and it is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Key metrics and sector drivers: as of Q3 2024, Oklo’s market capitalization hovers around $180 million, and its most advanced design, the Aurora micro-reactor, targets a 10-MW electric output with an estimated levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of $45–$55/MWh-competitive with natural-gas peakers. The U.S. Department of Energy has earmarked over $300 million in grants for next-generation nuclear projects, providing a potential funding pipeline for Oklo’s rollout. Additionally, the broader electric-utility sub-industry is benefiting from rising demand for carbon-free baseload capacity as states tighten renewable-energy mandates.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of OKLO’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the ValueRay analysis useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM) |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 > 3% & CFO -62.2m > Net Income -74.5m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 67.51 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (150.4m) vs 12m ago 23.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 2.79%; Δ -2.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -4.90 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -97.1m / Interest Expense TTM -19.9m) |
Altman Z'' -1.60
| A: 0.74 (Total Current Assets 931.8m - Total Current Liabilities 13.8m) / Total Assets 1.25b |
| B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -199.3m / Total Assets 1.25b) |
| C: -0.13 (EBIT TTM -97.6m / Avg Total Assets 770.0m) |
| D: -4.82 (Book Value of Equity -195.7m / Total Liabilities 40.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.60 = D |
What is the price of OKLO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.70%, over one month by -25.63%, over three months by -33.40% and over the past year by +48.87%.
Is OKLO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OKLO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 116.8 | 64.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 116.8 | 64.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 104.6 | 47.1% |
OKLO Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -97.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -97.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.66m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.16m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.94m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -408.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.52b USD (12.44b + Debt 1.94m - CCE 921.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.90 (Ebit TTM -97.6m / Interest Expense TTM -19.9m)
EV/FCF = -168.1x (Enterprise Value 11.52b / FCF TTM -68.5m)
FCF Yield = -0.59% (FCF TTM -68.5m / Enterprise Value 11.52b)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 336.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.24 (Enterprise Value 11.52b / Total Assets 1.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 161.1% (Interest Expense 3.13m / Debt 1.94m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -77.1m (EBIT -97.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 67.51 (Total Current Assets 931.8m / Total Current Liabilities 13.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 1.94m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.20 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -408.1m / EBITDA -97.1m)
Debt / FCF = 5.95 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -408.1m / FCF TTM -68.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 605.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.68% (Net Income -74.5m / Total Assets 1.25b)
RoE = -12.30% (Net Income TTM -74.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 605.5m)
RoCE = -16.07% (EBIT -97.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 605.5m + L.T.Debt 1.66m))
RoIC = -12.72% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -77.1m / Invested Capital 605.8m)
WACC = 14.68% (E(12.44b)/V(12.44b) * Re(14.68%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 14.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 47.36%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -68.5m)
EPS Correlation: -66.27 | EPS CAGR: -25.30% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 0.00 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.65 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-4.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%