USFD Stock Analysis: US Foods Holding | NYSE
Food Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.712m USD | 12M Return: 31.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 281M
EPS Trend: 99.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 99.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.1 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE: USFD) is a large-cap U.S. foodservice distributor that markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to a broad range of foodservice customers across the country. Its customer base spans independently owned single and multi-unit restaurants, regional and national chains, healthcare facilities, hospitality venues, government and military accounts, educational institutions, and retail locations. The company also offers MOXe, an integrated foodservice business application that supports ordering, menu management, and back-of-house operations for operators.
Headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, US Foods is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Food Distributors sub-industry, a segment that operates on high-volume, low-margin economics reliant on wide product assortments, route-based delivery logistics, and long-standing supplier relationships. The company completed its initial public offering in May 2016 and adopted its current name from USF Holding Corp. in February 2016.
- Restaurant traffic recovery boosts organic foodservice volume growth
- Gross margin expansion driven by pricing actions and supply chain efficiencies
- Aggressive share repurchases accelerate capital returns to shareholders
| Net Income: 677.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.98 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.36% < 20% (prev 1.56%; Δ -0.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.27b > Net Income 677.0m |
| Net Debt (5.47b) to EBITDA (1.66b): 3.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (223.4m) vs 12m ago -4.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.40% > 18% (prev 17.38%; Δ 0.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 285.3% > 50% (prev 280.4%; Δ 4.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 303.0m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 4.36b - Total Current Liabilities 3.82b) / Total Assets 14.2b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 2.79b / Total Assets 14.2b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.20b / Avg Total Assets 13.9b) |
| D: 0.44 (Book Value of Equity 4.33b / Total Liabilities 9.83b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.93 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 2.40b/2.30b, Revenue 39.7b/38.3b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 17.38% / 17.40%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.52) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 39.7b / 38.3b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 677.0m - CFO 1.27b) / TA 14.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 101.90 with a total of 2,680,650 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.87%, over one month by +25.45%, over three months by +12.19% and over the past year by +31.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 98.40 (which is 3.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
US Foods Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.53. Therefore, it is recommended to buy USFD.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 104.5 | 2.6% |
P/E Trailing = 33.1953
P/E Forward = 21.7391
P/S = 0.5456
P/B = 4.9965
P/EG = 0.2439
Revenue TTM = 39.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.20b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 142.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 355.0m
Net Debt = 5.47b USD (calculated: Debt 5.52b - CCE 49.0m)
Enterprise Value = 27.2b USD (21.7b + Debt 5.52b - CCE 49.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.94 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 303.0m)
EV/FCF = 32.06x (Enterprise Value 27.2b / FCF TTM 848.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.12% (FCF TTM 848.0m / Enterprise Value 27.2b)
FCF Margin = 2.14% (FCF TTM 848.0m / Revenue TTM 39.7b)
Net Margin = 1.71% (Net Income TTM 677.0m / Revenue TTM 39.7b)
Gross Margin = 17.40% ((Revenue TTM 39.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.20% (prev 17.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.92 (Enterprise Value 27.2b / Total Assets 14.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.49% (Interest Expense 303.0m / Debt 5.52b)
Taxrate = 24.10% (215.0m / 892.0m)
NOPAT = 907.0m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 24.10%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 4.36b / Total Current Liabilities 3.82b)
Debt / Equity = 1.27 (Debt 5.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.29 (Net Debt 5.47b / EBITDA 1.66b)
Debt / FCF = 6.45 (Net Debt 5.47b / FCF TTM 848.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.43b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.87% (Net Income 677.0m / Total Assets 14.2b)
RoE = 15.27% (Net Income TTM 677.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.43b)
RoCE = 12.63% (EBIT 1.20b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.43b + L.T.Debt 5.03b))
RoIC = 8.69% (NOPAT 907.0m / Invested Capital 10.4b)
WACC = 7.62% (E(21.7b)/V(27.2b) * Re(8.50%) + D(5.52b)/V(27.2b) * Rd(5.49%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.88 | Cagr: -4.57%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈944.0m ; Y1≈827.8m ; Y5≈668.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.90 (EV 10.7b - Net Debt 5.47b = Equity 5.26b / Shares 220.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.50 | EPS CAGR: 20.88% | SUE: -1.57 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.37 | Revenue CAGR: 5.12% | SUE: -0.71 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.84% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.69 | Chg30d=-0.82% | Revisions=-65% | GrowthEPS=+17.9% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.49 | Chg30d=-0.91% | Revisions=-41% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -65%