(USFD) US Foods Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Fresh Foods, Frozen Foods, Dry Foods, Non-Food Supplies
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Alpha | -0.45 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.562 |
| Beta | 0.746 |
| Beta Downside | 0.747 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.01% |
| Mean DD | 4.94% |
| Median DD | 3.65% |
Description: USFD US Foods Holding December 19, 2025
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE: USFD) is a leading U.S. foodservice distributor that supplies fresh, frozen, dry, and non-food products to a broad customer base-including independent restaurants, national chains, hospitals, hotels, and institutional buyers-through an extensive logistics network headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois.
Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of roughly $27.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 3 %, reflecting modest profitability in a low-margin distribution business. Same-store sales growth was flat year-over-year, while the company’s inventory turnover improved to 6.2×, indicating tighter supply-chain management.
Sector-wide drivers that materially affect US Foods include persistent food-price inflation (driven by commodity volatility), labor-cost pressures in the restaurant industry, and the ongoing consolidation of restaurant operators, which can boost volume but also intensify pricing competition.
For a deeper quantitative view of USFD’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (558.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.35b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.43% (prev 1.73%; Δ -0.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.36b > Net Income 558.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.90b) to EBITDA (1.50b) ratio: 3.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (228.4m) change vs 12m ago -6.39% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.41% (prev 17.30%; Δ 0.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 284.3% (prev 277.0%; Δ 7.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.63
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 3.81b) / Total Assets 14.04b |
| (B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.50b / Total Assets 14.04b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.05b / Avg Total Assets 13.76b |
| (D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 2.54b / Total Liabilities 9.57b |
| Total Rating: 1.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.76
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.39% |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.50% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.00)% |
| 7. RoE 12.24% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 89.82% |
| 9. EPS Trend 81.81% |
What is the price of USFD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.46%, over one month by +0.25%, over three months by -1.04% and over the past year by +13.22%.
Is USFD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the USFD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 91.4 | 19% |
| Analysts Target Price | 91.4 | 19% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 94.4 | 22.9% |
USFD Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025
P/E Trailing = 32.1292
P/E Forward = 16.3132
P/S = 0.4439
P/B = 3.845
P/EG = 0.2439
Beta = 1.033
Revenue TTM = 39.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.05b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 120.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.26b USD (17.36b + Debt 4.95b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.39% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Enterprise Value 22.26b)
FCF Margin = 2.50% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Gross Margin = 17.41% ((Revenue TTM 39.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.20% (prev 17.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.58 (Enterprise Value 22.26b / Total Assets 14.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.53% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 4.95b)
Taxrate = 25.73% (53.0m / 206.0m)
NOPAT = 778.4m (EBIT 1.05b * (1 - 25.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 3.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 4.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 4.90b / EBITDA 1.50b)
Debt / FCF = 5.01 (Net Debt 4.90b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.97% (Net Income 558.0m / Total Assets 14.04b)
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.56b)
RoCE = 11.16% (EBIT 1.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.56b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 778.4m / Invested Capital 9.63b)
WACC = 7.08% (E(17.36b)/V(22.31b) * Re(8.77%) + D(4.95b)/V(22.31b) * Rd(1.53%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.12% ; FCFE base≈874.0m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.84b
Fair Price DCF = 122.3 (DCF Value 27.26b / Shares Outstanding 222.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 81.81 | EPS CAGR: 31.79% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 89.82 | Revenue CAGR: 7.99% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.68 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+10 | Growth EPS=+18.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%
Additional Sources for USFD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle