(USFD) US Foods Holding - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US9120081099

Fresh Foods, Frozen Foods, Dry Foods, Non-Food Supplies

Food Distributors
Market Cap in USD: 17,021m

IPO / Inception: 2016-05-26
12m vs SPY: 2.65%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 31.79%
EPS Trend: 81.8%

Last SUE: 1.50
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 7.99%
Rev. Trend: 89.8%

Last SUE: 0.31
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	23.6%
Value at Risk 5%th	36.5%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.75%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.80
Alpha	8.15
CAGR/Max DD	1.69

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.525
Beta	0.748
Beta Downside	0.757

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	19.01%
Mean DD	5.09%
Median DD	3.90%

Description: USFD US Foods Holding December 19, 2025

US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE: USFD) is a leading U.S. foodservice distributor that supplies fresh, frozen, dry, and non-food products to a broad customer base-including independent restaurants, national chains, hospitals, hotels, and institutional buyers-through an extensive logistics network headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois.

Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of roughly $27.5 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 3 %, reflecting modest profitability in a low-margin distribution business. Same-store sales growth was flat year-over-year, while the company’s inventory turnover improved to 6.2×, indicating tighter supply-chain management.

Sector-wide drivers that materially affect US Foods include persistent food-price inflation (driven by commodity volatility), labor-cost pressures in the restaurant industry, and the ongoing consolidation of restaurant operators, which can boost volume but also intensify pricing competition.

For a deeper quantitative view of USFD’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (558.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.35b TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 1.43% (prev 1.73%; Δ -0.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.36b > Net Income 558.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (4.90b) to EBITDA (1.50b) ratio: 3.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (228.4m) change vs 12m ago -6.39% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 17.41% (prev 17.30%; Δ 0.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 284.3% (prev 277.0%; Δ 7.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.50b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.63

(A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 3.81b) / Total Assets 14.04b

(B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.50b / Total Assets 14.04b

(D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 2.54b / Total Liabilities 9.57b

Total Rating: 1.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.92

1. Piotroski 6.0pt

2. FCF Yield 4.46%

3. FCF Margin 2.50%

4. Debt/Equity 1.11

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.26

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.11)%

7. RoE 12.24%

8. Rev. Trend 89.82%

9. EPS Trend 81.81%

What is the price of USFD shares?

As of January 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 82.45 with a total of 4,016,833 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.47%, over one month by +8.20%, over three months by +6.94% and over the past year by +23.15%.

Is USFD a buy, sell or hold?

US Foods Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.47. Therefore, it is recommended to buy USFD.

Strong Buy: 10
Buy: 5
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the USFD price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	90.8	10.1%
Analysts Target Price	90.8	10.1%
ValueRay Target Price	102.5	24.4%

USFD Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026

P/E Trailing = 31.4958
P/E Forward = 16.0
P/S = 0.4351
P/B = 3.7692
P/EG = 0.2439
Revenue TTM = 39.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.05b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 120.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.92b USD (17.02b + Debt 4.95b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.41 (Ebit TTM 1.05b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.41x (Enterprise Value 21.92b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.46% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Enterprise Value 21.92b)
FCF Margin = 2.50% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Gross Margin = 17.41% ((Revenue TTM 39.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.20% (prev 17.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.56 (Enterprise Value 21.92b / Total Assets 14.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.53% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 4.95b)
Taxrate = 25.73% (53.0m / 206.0m)
NOPAT = 778.4m (EBIT 1.05b * (1 - 25.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 3.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 4.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.26 (Net Debt 4.90b / EBITDA 1.50b)
Debt / FCF = 5.01 (Net Debt 4.90b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.06% (Net Income 558.0m / Total Assets 14.04b)
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.56b)
RoCE = 11.16% (EBIT 1.05b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.56b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 778.4m / Invested Capital 9.63b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(17.02b)/V(21.97b) * Re(8.67%) + D(4.95b)/V(21.97b) * Rd(1.53%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.68% ; FCFF base≈874.0m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.84b
Fair Price DCF = 153.5 (EV 39.11b - Net Debt 4.90b = Equity 34.21b / Shares 222.9m; r=6.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 81.81 | EPS CAGR: 31.79% | SUE: 1.50 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 89.82 | Revenue CAGR: 7.99% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.71 | Chg30d=+0.023 | Revisions Net=+10 | Growth EPS=+19.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%

Additional Sources for USFD Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle