(USFD) US Foods Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Fresh,Frozen,Dry,Non-Food,Equipment
USFD EPS (Earnings per Share)
USFD Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.3% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha Jensen | -7.10 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.559 |
| Beta | 1.040 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 19.01% |
| Mean DD | 4.66% |
Description: USFD US Foods Holding October 16, 2025
US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE:USFD) markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, dry, and non-food products to a diverse set of U.S. food-service customers-including independent restaurants, national chains, hospitals, hotels, schools, and government entities. The company, incorporated in 2007 and headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois, rebranded from USF Holding Corp. to its current name in February 2016 and operates within the Food Distributors sub-industry.
Key operational metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly $29.5 billion, with an operating margin of about 3 percent, reflecting the low-margin nature of food-distribution. Same-store sales grew ~2 percent year-over-year, driven by modest menu-price inflation and a rebound in out-of-home dining. The sector’s primary macro drivers are labor-cost pressures, commodity-price volatility, and continued consolidation among restaurant operators, which can amplify US Foods’ scale advantages.
For a deeper quantitative dive into USFD’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
USFD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16,382m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-05-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -6.12% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.47 of 5 |
USFD Dividends
Currently no dividends paidUSFD Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 28.75% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.51 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 6.16 |
| Current Volume | 1473.9k |
| Average Volume | 1632.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (558.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.35b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.43% (prev 1.73%; Δ -0.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.36b > Net Income 558.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.90b) to EBITDA (1.52b) ratio: 3.23 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.15 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (228.4m) change vs 12m ago -6.39% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.41% (prev 17.30%; Δ 0.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 284.3% (prev 277.0%; Δ 7.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.46 (EBITDA TTM 1.52b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.64
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 4.37b - Total Current Liabilities 3.81b) / Total Assets 14.04b |
| (B) 0.18 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.50b / Total Assets 14.04b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.06b / Avg Total Assets 13.76b |
| (D) 0.27 = Book Value of Equity 2.54b / Total Liabilities 9.57b |
| Total Rating: 1.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.68
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.60% = 2.30 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.50% = 0.63 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.11 = 1.92 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.23 = -2.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.34)% = 0.43 |
| 7. RoE 12.24% = 1.02 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.75% = 6.81 |
| 9. EPS Trend 72.79% = 3.64 |
What is the price of USFD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.62%, over one month by -3.44%, over three months by -7.74% and over the past year by +8.79%.
Is US Foods Holding a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of USFD is around 75.39 USD . This means that USFD is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.42%.
Is USFD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the USFD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 91.9 | 26.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 91.9 | 26.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 83.6 | 14.6% |
USFD Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.6167
P/E Forward = 16.2075
P/S = 0.4188
P/B = 3.6755
P/EG = 0.2439
Beta = 1.04
Revenue TTM = 39.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.52b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 120.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.28b USD (16.38b + Debt 4.95b - CCE 56.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.46 (Ebit TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 307.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.60% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Enterprise Value 21.28b)
FCF Margin = 2.50% (FCF TTM 978.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Revenue TTM 39.12b)
Gross Margin = 17.41% ((Revenue TTM 39.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 32.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.20% (prev 17.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.52 (Enterprise Value 21.28b / Total Assets 14.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.53% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 4.95b)
Taxrate = 25.73% (53.0m / 206.0m)
NOPAT = 788.0m (EBIT 1.06b * (1 - 25.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.15 (Total Current Assets 4.37b / Total Current Liabilities 3.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.11 (Debt 4.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.23 (Net Debt 4.90b / EBITDA 1.52b)
Debt / FCF = 5.01 (Net Debt 4.90b / FCF TTM 978.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.56b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.97% (Net Income 558.0m / Total Assets 14.04b)
RoE = 12.24% (Net Income TTM 558.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.56b)
RoCE = 11.31% (EBIT 1.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.56b + L.T.Debt 4.82b))
RoIC = 8.17% (NOPAT 788.0m / Invested Capital 9.65b)
WACC = 7.83% (E(16.38b)/V(21.33b) * Re(9.85%) + D(4.95b)/V(21.33b) * Rd(1.53%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.80% ; FCFE base≈874.0m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.84b
Fair Price DCF = 102.3 (DCF Value 22.81b / Shares Outstanding 222.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 72.79 | EPS CAGR: 27.38% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.75 | Revenue CAGR: 6.75% | SUE: 0.31 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for USFD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle