(UMAC) Unusual Machines - Overview
Exchange: NYSE MKT •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US91532F1021
Stock: Drone, Component, B2B, E-Commerce, Retail
Total Rating 22
Risk 39
Buy Signal -0.64
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 176% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 |
| Alpha | -25.37 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.716 |
| Beta Downside | 2.153 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 75.61% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.42 |
Description: UMAC Unusual Machines January 01, 2026
Unusual Machines, Inc. (NYSE MKT: UMAC) designs, manufactures, and sells small commercial drones and related components through B2B contracts, an e-commerce storefront, and retail distributors. The firm, incorporated in 2019 and headquartered in Orlando, Florida, rebranded from AerocarveUS Corporation in July 2022 and now classifies itself under the GICS sub-industry “Electronic Components.”
As of FY 2023, UMAC reported approximately $12.3 million in revenue, up about 8 % year-over-year, with a gross margin near 42 %-metrics that remain modest but show incremental scaling. The broader commercial drone market is projected to grow at a ~15 % CAGR through 2029, driven by expanding logistics automation and relaxed FAA operational rules for low-altitude flights. However, the company’s cash runway is limited to roughly nine months, implying a near-term financing need if growth accelerates.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of UMAC’s valuation and risk profile, consider reviewing the analyst tools on ValueRay to benchmark its performance against sector peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -35.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1033 % < 20% (prev 1.58%; Δ 1031 % < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.11 > 3% & CFO -12.7m > Net Income -35.7m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 15.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.6m) vs 12m ago 327.8% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.34% > 18% (prev -12.64%; Δ 4498 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.07% > 50% (prev 645.4%; Δ -633.3% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2331 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -35.6m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3k) |
Altman Z'' -6.37
| A: 0.76 (Total Current Assets 91.7m - Total Current Liabilities 5.93m) / Total Assets 113.1m |
| B: -0.39 (Retained Earnings -44.5m / Total Assets 113.1m) |
| C: -0.52 (EBIT TTM -35.7m / Avg Total Assets 68.8m) |
| D: -6.26 (Book Value of Equity -44.2m / Total Liabilities 7.06m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -6.37 = D |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 73.83 (Receivables 309.5k/79.9k, Revenue 8.30m/158.3m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.20 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.80) |
| SGI: 0.05 (Revenue 8.30m / 158.3m) |
| TATA: -0.20 (NI -35.7m - CFO -12.7m) / TA 113.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 55.55 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of UMAC shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.77 with a total of 2,411,912 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.80%, over one month by -20.19%, over three months by +18.79% and over the past year by +6.86%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.80%, over one month by -20.19%, over three months by +18.79% and over the past year by +6.86%.
Is UMAC a buy, sell or hold?
Unusual Machines has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.67.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy UMAC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the UMAC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.2 | 50.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.2 | 50.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 14.5 | 13.2% |
UMAC Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/S = 70.7144
P/B = 5.5395
Revenue TTM = 8.30m USD
EBIT TTM = -35.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -35.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.28m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 248.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.28m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -63.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 507.4m USD (587.3m + Debt 1.28m - CCE 81.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2331 (Ebit TTM -35.7m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3k)
EV/FCF = -35.68x (Enterprise Value 507.4m / FCF TTM -14.2m)
FCF Yield = -2.80% (FCF TTM -14.2m / Enterprise Value 507.4m)
FCF Margin = -171.3% (FCF TTM -14.2m / Revenue TTM 8.30m)
Net Margin = -430.4% (Net Income TTM -35.7m / Revenue TTM 8.30m)
Gross Margin = 32.34% ((Revenue TTM 8.30m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.62m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.37% (prev 37.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.49 (Enterprise Value 507.4m / Total Assets 113.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.19% (Interest Expense 15.3k / Debt 1.28m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -28.2m (EBIT -35.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.45 (Total Current Assets 91.7m / Total Current Liabilities 5.93m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 1.28m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 106.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.77 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -63.0m / EBITDA -35.6m)
Debt / FCF = 4.43 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -63.0m / FCF TTM -14.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 47.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -51.95% (Net Income -35.7m / Total Assets 113.1m)
RoE = -76.04% (Net Income TTM -35.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 47.0m)
RoCE = -74.02% (EBIT -35.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 47.0m + L.T.Debt 1.28m))
RoIC = -60.07% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -28.2m / Invested Capital 47.0m)
WACC = 15.89% (E(587.3m)/V(588.6m) * Re(15.92%) + D(1.28m)/V(588.6m) * Rd(1.19%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 83.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -14.2m)
EPS Correlation: 5.39 | EPS CAGR: 4.94% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.87 | Revenue CAGR: 12.8k% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.28 | Chg30d=-0.065 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+39.1% | Growth Revenue=+153.8%
P/B = 5.5395
Revenue TTM = 8.30m USD
EBIT TTM = -35.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -35.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.28m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 248.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.28m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -63.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 507.4m USD (587.3m + Debt 1.28m - CCE 81.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2331 (Ebit TTM -35.7m / Interest Expense TTM 15.3k)
EV/FCF = -35.68x (Enterprise Value 507.4m / FCF TTM -14.2m)
FCF Yield = -2.80% (FCF TTM -14.2m / Enterprise Value 507.4m)
FCF Margin = -171.3% (FCF TTM -14.2m / Revenue TTM 8.30m)
Net Margin = -430.4% (Net Income TTM -35.7m / Revenue TTM 8.30m)
Gross Margin = 32.34% ((Revenue TTM 8.30m - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.62m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.37% (prev 37.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.49 (Enterprise Value 507.4m / Total Assets 113.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.19% (Interest Expense 15.3k / Debt 1.28m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -28.2m (EBIT -35.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 15.45 (Total Current Assets 91.7m / Total Current Liabilities 5.93m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 1.28m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 106.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.77 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -63.0m / EBITDA -35.6m)
Debt / FCF = 4.43 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -63.0m / FCF TTM -14.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 47.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -51.95% (Net Income -35.7m / Total Assets 113.1m)
RoE = -76.04% (Net Income TTM -35.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 47.0m)
RoCE = -74.02% (EBIT -35.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 47.0m + L.T.Debt 1.28m))
RoIC = -60.07% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -28.2m / Invested Capital 47.0m)
WACC = 15.89% (E(587.3m)/V(588.6m) * Re(15.92%) + D(1.28m)/V(588.6m) * Rd(1.19%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 83.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -14.2m)
EPS Correlation: 5.39 | EPS CAGR: 4.94% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.87 | Revenue CAGR: 12.8k% | SUE: -0.84 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.28 | Chg30d=-0.065 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+39.1% | Growth Revenue=+153.8%